Mike1989 wrote:UCFJayBird wrote:AshBlackstone wrote:Just give every team the same chance of winning the top pick. Problem solved.
That defeats the purpose of the lottery in the 1st place, which is to help the worst teams get better. If everyone has the same odds the worst team in the league could be in the cellars for years, which is awful for that fan base and that organization and will be detrimental to the league in the long run. Sure, it gets rid of tanking, but the result is far worse.
So the alternative is to get rid of the lottery and adopt the NFL draft system. That way the worst team does get the top pick.
That encourages tanking even more. You want a system that helps the worst teams get better to provide parity. But you don't want a system that encourages teams being worse than they really are to game the system and get a better pick.
Perhaps change the lottery so that it isn't just the first 3 picks decided by chance, but rather the entire lottery. This might encourage a borderline playoff team to tank at the last second to miss the playoffs and have a shot at a higher pick, so also change it so that the lottery isn't every team that doesn't make the playoffs, perhaps just the Top 10. That way Teams 11-20 or so are still trying for the playoffs and not tanking at the last second. It also encourages Teams 21-30 to not tank, because the odds of getting a Top 3 pick aren't as great as the current format.
Like you said, no system is perfect. Doesn't mean it can't be better, but I think we have to remember the goal is to help bad teams get better and provide parity but discourage tanking for the sake of a higher pick.