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Vegas odds on Magic's under/over: were 40.5 now 34.5

Moderators: Knightro, Howard Mass, UCFJayBird, Def Swami, ChosenSavior, SOUL, UCF

Which odds do you take?

40.5 Over
5
10%
40.5 Under
14
29%
34.5 Over
14
29%
34.5 Under
15
31%
 
Total votes: 48

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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#21 » by MagicMadness » Fri Jul 7, 2017 6:39 pm

Didn't it get changed to 36? I thought I heard that on the radio yesterday.

Either way, I don't get it. Issac is a project, and so far we haven't made any real moves during FA.

At this point, I'm completely fine with just rounding out the roster and going from there. See if Payton and/or Gordon make the 4th-year jump, and watch Issac begin his career. Get another top-5 pick and continue the Rebuild Part 2.
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#22 » by Scottg247 » Fri Jul 7, 2017 6:41 pm

Seeing us not make any moves yet which I am totally fine with btw and also hearing our new President and GM saying they wanted to sit back and evaluate this year I am predicting 25 wins. I think they will play the young guys and let them make mistakes and learn from them. Maybe we make a deadline deal moving Vooch or something as well. I am having a hard time being optimistic like I usually am but this is the best I got right now haha.
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#23 » by OrlChamps2030 » Fri Jul 7, 2017 6:58 pm

MagicMadness wrote:Didn't it get changed to 36? I thought I heard that on the radio yesterday.

Either way, I don't get it. Issac is a project, and so far we haven't made any real moves during FA.

At this point, I'm completely fine with just rounding out the roster and going from there. See if Payton and/or Gordon make the 4th-year jump, and watch Issac begin his career. Get another top-5 pick and continue the Rebuild Part 2.


I just saw a line @ 36.5. 40.5 is madness. I really don't see us in the same groip as Miami and Philly. I hope people locked in their bets when the line was 40.5
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#24 » by rcklsscognition » Fri Jul 7, 2017 8:37 pm

I was just looking and we're projected as 7th in the East.
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#25 » by p0peye » Fri Jul 7, 2017 8:58 pm

Last Guardian wrote:Wonder what the logic is behind that number. I hope our young guys do great but nothing suggests we will be a good team.


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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#26 » by drsd » Fri Jul 7, 2017 9:05 pm

..
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#27 » by drsd » Fri Jul 7, 2017 9:05 pm

NBAchamps2017 wrote:We 'MUST' end up the next season 20-62. We must get the No. 1 pick!


You are going to be disappointed if you are hoping for a tank season. I would bet a house (just not mine) that Orlando wins more than 31 games.


Skin wrote:Voted under. We'll be picking in the Top 5 again. Strap in.




Massive injury issues would be needed for this. I look at something in the 8-11 range.
Edit: of course the Magic could just miss the playoffs and go top-3 in the lottery. I am cool with that!



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Re: RE: Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#28 » by zuppafly » Fri Jul 7, 2017 9:06 pm

OrlDave wrote:What did Vegas have for us last year? Anyone remember?

36.5

The year before was closer, I believe. IMO Vegas has pretty good prediction records.

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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#29 » by drsd » Fri Jul 7, 2017 9:08 pm

MagicMadness wrote:Didn't it get changed to 36?



At 36, this is a tough bet for me. The homer in me says "vote over." But Vučević would need a 70+ game season for that, and he has been injury prone.

A tough bet at 36 !



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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#30 » by Joel Embust » Fri Jul 7, 2017 9:43 pm

Sssttt!

Need to put money on that before they change the line. :p
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#31 » by cedric76 » Fri Jul 7, 2017 10:13 pm

Over

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Offer goga a 1+1 deal

unleash Jett next seaon

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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#32 » by Optimus_Steel » Fri Jul 7, 2017 10:58 pm

Same team as last year essentially and 40+ wins? Lmao. This is a bad team.

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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#33 » by BlueBalls » Fri Jul 7, 2017 11:21 pm

Banging the under here. Hard.
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#34 » by rcklsscognition » Sat Jul 8, 2017 12:59 am

Surely this has to drop to 32 ish after their first signing.
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#35 » by eyriq » Sat Jul 8, 2017 4:29 am

They drink from the same well as 538.

We had a perfect storm of underachieving last year, marking the season as a probable outlier. Also, our youth allows for a lot of improvement to come organically.

I still voted the under. Just a knee jerk reaction. I can and probably will talk myself into projecting a playoff berth the closer we get to October, but that is how I roll.
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#36 » by Bergmaniac » Sat Jul 8, 2017 8:08 am

eyriq wrote:They drink from the same well as 538.

We had a perfect storm of underachieving last year, marking the season as a probable outlier.

Our SRS (based on the margin of victory and strength of opponents) indicated that we should have lost even more games actually. Basketballreference.com had us at 24 expected wins based on the SRS.
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#37 » by Skybox » Sat Jul 8, 2017 3:45 pm

Here's what could reasonably happen to get to 40.5...Meaning, many things that are NOT locks that COULD go right...

1. Hezonja is our star rookie (reborn/recommitted/things just "click"). His projected skill set, size, and aggressive demeanor basically would provide what our roster needs most...a young, inexpensive, developing, long wing who can shoot and pass and play with fire.
2. Unload Augustin and Watson for future cap space, expirings, late picks whatever. Augustin could contribute to a good team, not ours. As much as I like Vuc, I feel kind of the same way about him.
3. Mack provides a stable, smart, error-free backup PG. Augustin was the opposite-though occasionally, could shoot.
4. Isaac develops as a younger, longer, faster Draymond East (I know, but just on the same "path", do whatever's needed, High IQ 6th man for now)-block a big shot, hit a big 3, make a big steal, switch on perimeter-cause defensive chaos with AG and EP.
5. EP and AG keep playing like they were, aggressive, angry, smart...hit just enough to keep D's honest. Both, along with Mario are Most Improved candidates.
6. Biz beasts on D, offensive glass, stays in his lane on O, sets teeth-rattling screens, cuts down mistakes.
7. Fournier and Ross stabilize...hit shots, spread the floor, occasional 25 point outbursts, play smart, play D, move the ball.

Unlikely that all come true, but you can't tell me that at least some of them couldn't. I think stability and organic growth among this group has been absent and, fingers crossed, some of those guys have yet to blossom under Vogel (who has a history of not sucking-even though I was baffled by a lot of things last year...maybe FO, ownership/goals were confusing and unclear).
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#38 » by fendilim » Sat Jul 8, 2017 4:02 pm

I'm gonna say under but no so much. We won 32 last year in Vogel's first season. I think we'd win more now that AG is in the right position and this being Vogel's second year.
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#39 » by OrlandO » Sat Jul 8, 2017 4:19 pm

fendilim wrote:I'm gonna say under but no so much. We won 32 last year in Vogel's first season. I think we'd win more now that AG is in the right position and this being Vogel's second year.

won 29*
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Re: Vegas odds on Magic's under/over at 40.5 

Post#40 » by OrlandO » Sat Jul 8, 2017 4:22 pm

actual over/under is 36.5 just like last year... need to redo the poll.

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