Orlando Magic 20 Game Report

[Knightro]

Stats courtesy of NBA.com.

ORLANDO MAGIC
Record: 10-10, 6th in Eastern Conference, 6-4 record in games 11-20
Expected W/L: 8-12 (+2 overachieving)

Traditional Team Stats
PPG: 105.7 (25th) - was 101.8 (30th)
Opp PPG: 108.6 (9th) - was 110.5 (14th)
FG%: 45.1% (20th) - was 42.6% (29th)
3PT%: 34.1% (22nd) - was 31.0% (28th)
FT%: 77.8% (11th) - was 72.9% (21st)
Opp FG%: 46.3% (19th) - was 46.9% (18th)
Opp 3PT%: 35.8% (19th) - was 37.8% (24th)
Opp FTA: 22.0 per game (8th) - was 20.6 (3rd)

Advanced Team Stats
ORTG: 105.4 (26th) - was 101.7 (30th)
DRTG: 108.4 (14th) - was 110.5 (20th)
NetRTG: -3.1 (24th) - was -10.9 (29th)
Assist %: 64.9 (3rd) - was 62.9 (6th)
Ast/TO: 1.90 (3rd) - was 1.88 (5th)
Ast Ratio: 18.8 (3rd) - was 17.7 (12th)
DReb%: 72.5 (15th) - was 73.1 (15th)
Reb%: 48.4 (23rd) - was 48.5 (23rd)
TS%: 54.2 (21st) - was 50.9 (30th)
Pace: 100.18 (23rd) - was 100.05 (21st)

Four Factors (Shooting, Turnovers, Rebounding, FTs)
EFG%: 51.2 (20th) - was 48.0 (29th)
FT Rate: .202 (30th) - was .205 (30th)
TOV%: 13.8 (9th) - was 13.1 (4th)
OReb%: 25.3 (24th) - was 26.7 (20th)
Opp EFG%: 52.5 (20th) - was 53.5 (18th)
Opp FT Rate: .252 (10th) - was .234 (4th)
Opp TO%: 15.1 (11th) - was 14.5 (16th)
Opp OReb%: 27.5 (15th) - was 26.9 (15th)

Miscellaneous Team Stats
Pts of TO: 17.0 (17th) - was 15.1 (23rd)
2nd Chance Pts: 13.8 (14th) - was 15.6 (6th)
Fastbreak Pts: 11.2 (22nd) - was 11.7 (21st)
Pts in Paint: 43.9 (25th) - was 41.8 (28th)
Opp Pts of TO: 16.3 (12th) - was 15.1 (8th)
Opp 2nd Chance Pts: 13.6 (16th) - was 11.8 (10th)
Opp Fastbreak Pts: 12.8 (10th) - was 11.3 (3rd)
Opp Pts in Paint: 47.0 (9th) - was 44.0 (5th)

Team Scoring Stats
% of FGA 2PT: 64.6% (15th) - was 65.2% (15th)
% of FGA 3PT: 35.4% (16th) - was 34.8% (16th)
% of points off 2PTA: 56.0% (10th) - was 57.4% (8th)
% of points of midrange: 14.5% (4th) - was 16.3% (3rd)
% of points off 3PT: 30.7% (9th) - was 29.2% (16th)
% of points off fastbreak: 10.6% (20th) - was 11.5% (18th)
% of points off free throws: 13.3% (30th) - was 13.5% (29th)
% of points off turnovers: 16.0% (11th) - was 14.8% (14th)
% of points in paint: 41.6% (22nd) - was 41.1% (24th)
2PT FG Made Assist %: 57.1% (2nd) - was 55.1% (4th)
2PT FG Made Unassisted: 42.9% (29th) - was 44.9% (27th)
3PT FG Made Assist %: 86.1% (6th) - was 85.9% (8th)
3PT FG Made Unassisted: 13.9% (25th) - was 14.1 (23rd)
FG Made Assist %: 64.9% (3rd) - was 62.9% (6th)
FG Made Unassisted: 35.1% (28th) - was 37.1% (25th)

Shot Dashboard
FGA Closest Defender 0-2 feet: 1.9 per game (1st) - was 1.8 per game (3rd)
FG% Closest Defender 0-2 feet: 30.8% (10th) - was 44.4% (1st)
FGA Closest Defender 2-4 feet: 9.5 per game (17th) - was 9.3 per game (14th)
FG% Closest Defender 2-4 feet: 33.2% (18th) - was 31.2% (17th)
FGA Closest Defender 4-6 feet: 22.1 (3rd) - was 25.3 per game (1st)
FG% Closest Defender 4-6 feet: 35.5% (22nd) - was 33.2% (26th)
FGA Closest Defender 6+ feet: 19.6 per game (10th) - was 19.7 per game (11th)
FG% Closest Defender 6+: 39.5% (10th) - was 36.0% (25th)
3PTA Closest Defender 0-2 feet: 0.8 per game (1st) - was 0.6 per game (4th)
3PT% Closest Defender 0-2 feet: 13.3% (18th) - was 16.7% (15th)
3PTA Closest Defender 2-4 feet: 2.7 per game (19th) - was 2.4 per game (24th)
3PT% Closest Defender 2-4 feet: 27.8% (17th) - was 25.0% (23rd)
3PTA Closest Defender 4-6 feet: 12.4 per game (13th) - was 13.8 per game (3rd)
3PT% Closest Defender 4-6 feet: 30.2% (29th) - was 26.8% (29th)
3PTA Closest Defender 6+ feet: 15.7 per game (16th) - was 15.0 per game (18th)
3PT% Closest Defender 6+: 38.3% (9th) - was 36.0% (22nd)

Shooting Stats
FGA Restricted Area: 25.3 per game (27th) - was 25.6 per game (25th)
FG% Restricted: 66.0 (4th) - was 64.1% (10th)
FGA Paint: 13.9 per game (14th) - was 13.6 per game (15th)
FG% Paint: 37.8 (17th) - was 33.1% (25th)
FGA Midrange: 18.6 per game (4th) - was 20.5 per game (4th)
FG% Midrange: 41.1% (12th) - was 40.0% (17th)
3PTA Left Corner 3: 3.7 per game (9th) - was 3.9 per game (8th)
3PT% Left Corner: 39.2% (14th) - was 43.6% (14th)
3PTA Right Corner 3: 2.1 per game (28th) - was 2.1 per game (27th)
3PT% Right Corner: 23.8% (28th) - was 19.0% (30th)
3PTA Top 3: 24.5 per game (12th) - was 25.4 per game (13th)
3PT% Top: 34.9% (16th) - was 31.1% (28th)
Opp FGA Restricted Area: 28.3 per game (9th) - was 26.5 per game (6th)
Opp FG% Restricted: 63.7% (19th) - was 63.0% (17th)
Opp FGA Paint: 14.6 per game (20th) - was 14.6 per game (22nd)
Opp FG% Paint: 37.7% (12th) - was 36.3% (6th)
Opp FGA Midrange: 14.1 per game (14th) - was 16.3 per game (7th)
Opp FG% Midrange: 42.9% (21st) - was 47.2% (29th)
Opp FGA Left Corner 3: 2.5 per game (1st) - was 2.2 per game (1st)
Opp 3PT% Left Corner: 32.7% (5th) - was 45.5% (27th)
Opp FGA Right Corner 3: 3.2 per game (12th) - was 2.8 per game (10th)
Opp 3PT% Right Corner: 46.0% (28th) - was 35.7% (12th)
Opp FGA Top 3: 24.3 per game (15th) - was 25.4 per game (21st)
Opp 3PT% Top: 35.3% (18th) - was 37.8% (26th)

Thoughts...

The Magic's shooting luck is starting normalize, both offensively and defensively.
-The Magic's offensive and defensive numbers have both improved at the 20 game mark compared to the 10 game mark, but it doesn't seem like they're taking better shots or forcing tougher shots. Basically they are just shooting better on their open shots and opponents are shooting worse on theirs. Specifically opponents were shooting a pretty absurd 47% from midrange which has regressed back to a more normal 43%.

The Magic still desperately need individual shot creators in the half court.
-The Magic are dead last in free throw rate and 27th in shots attempts at the rim. Augustin has been really solid shooting the ball and not turning it over, but he's just not a guy who can consistently get into the lane and create shots for himself or others. Upgrade him with a real starting caliber PG and let him replace Grant as the backup and this offense would really blow up.

The Magic have actually regressed slightly in several of Clifford's key areas.
-Clifford is old school. He's always been a HUGE four factors guy. Don't foul. Don't turn the ball over. Don't give up 2nd chance points. All things tied to effort and "playing the right way". The Magic, somewhat surprisingly, have NOT been all that spectacular in any of these areas, specifically compared to how his team's played in Charlotte. Turnovers and fouls are up, rebounding is down from the 10 game mark.

When it goes bad... it goes BAD.
-The Magic's average margin of victory is 8.6, but their margin of defeat is 14.4. They already have four losses of at least 22 points in 20 games. Some of this can be attributed to their massive struggle to generate easy points at the line and at the rim. Some can be attributed to Augustin/Vucevic's combined inability to defend high end pick and roll point guards.