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j-ragg wrote:70 games is definitely the NBA's goal for every team. Only big question left to me is how do they plan on getting the 14 non-playoff teams to just play a few games then call it a season.

rcklsscognition wrote:Just imagine if 1 single person/player comes down with it. The whole thing would get shut down again.

rcklsscognition wrote:Just imagine if 1 single person/player comes down with it. The whole thing would get shut down again.

On Thursday's call, the league was vague in detailing several resumption scenarios still under consideration, including a modified 30-team regular-season schedule directly to the playoffs, pool-play rounds of a play-in tournament and play-in models with fewer than 30, but more than 16 teams, sources said. Several members of the league's board of governors believe that the NBA's preference isn't to bring every team to resume the season, but that remains undecided. First, the fewer teams, the fewer people at risk to spread or contract COVID-19. Also, with little chance to play more than five to seven regular season games, a month of preparation seems like an excessive investment for teams at the bottom of the standings.

And the idea of rewarding the league's very worst teams in a play-in tournament has been met with scant enthusiasm. Among the teams at the bottom of the standings, most privately want nothing more than to keep their draft lottery odds strong -- not dilute those percentages trying to win a handful of meaningless games. They're even less enthusiastic about including key, veteran players and risking injuries in those games.

Nevertheless, 30 teams completing a comparable number of regular-season games prior to the playoffs makes for a more equitable weighting of lottery odds for the NBA draft --- and gives the league a chance to maximize revenue streams for regional sports network television contracts.

rcklsscognition wrote:The amount of lawyer bills required for this thing to go down has got to be staggering.

Def Swami wrote:

rcklsscognition wrote:Just imagine if 1 single person/player comes down with it. The whole thing would get shut down again.

Adam Silver said that if that were the case, then we shouldn't even pursue this. It sounds like the NBA's plan is the same as what the German soccer league is doing. Which is if a player tests positive, then they quarantine that player for a certain time, test everyone in contact, and resume play. The league is going to have to be tolerate positive tests for this to even work, and it seems like both players and the NBA have accepted that risk.

thelead wrote:

Def Swami wrote:

rcklsscognition wrote:Just imagine if 1 single person/player comes down with it. The whole thing would get shut down again.

Adam Silver said that if that were the case, then we shouldn't even pursue this. It sounds like the NBA's plan is the same as what the German soccer league is doing. Which is if a player tests positive, then they quarantine that player for a certain time, test everyone in contact, and resume play. The league is going to have to be tolerate positive tests for this to even work, and it seems like both players and the NBA have accepted that risk.

This doesn't make sense. If a player tests positive, that means he has exposed the entire team. If the rest of the team continues to play, and then the handful of teammates test positive after the incubation period (median is 4-5 days), now more teams (and players) have been exposed.

I don't see how this ends well if anyone tests positive.

rcklsscognition wrote:Just imagine if 1 single person/player comes down with it. The whole thing would get shut down again.

thelead wrote:

Def Swami wrote:

rcklsscognition wrote:Just imagine if 1 single person/player comes down with it. The whole thing would get shut down again.

Adam Silver said that if that were the case, then we shouldn't even pursue this. It sounds like the NBA's plan is the same as what the German soccer league is doing. Which is if a player tests positive, then they quarantine that player for a certain time, test everyone in contact, and resume play. The league is going to have to be tolerate positive tests for this to even work, and it seems like both players and the NBA have accepted that risk.

This doesn't make sense. If a player tests positive, that means he has exposed the entire team. If the rest of the team continues to play, and then the handful of teammates test positive after the incubation period (median is 4-5 days), now more teams (and players) have been exposed.

I don't see how this ends well if anyone tests positive.

rcklsscognition wrote:The most interesting aspect of this is their plan if someone tests positive. I know they're saying they'll just quarantine the positive person, but it seems impossible they wouldn't have already exposed at least dozens of others by the time they test positive, even in the most controlled environment. They're really rolling the dice if they just let everyone else carry on as normal, but if those are the rules that everyone agrees to then, game on.

MagicFan101 wrote:

thelead wrote:

Def Swami wrote:Adam Silver said that if that were the case, then we shouldn't even pursue this. It sounds like the NBA's plan is the same as what the German soccer league is doing. Which is if a player tests positive, then they quarantine that player for a certain time, test everyone in contact, and resume play. The league is going to have to be tolerate positive tests for this to even work, and it seems like both players and the NBA have accepted that risk.

This doesn't make sense. If a player tests positive, that means he has exposed the entire team. If the rest of the team continues to play, and then the handful of teammates test positive after the incubation period (median is 4-5 days), now more teams (and players) have been exposed.

I don't see how this ends well if anyone tests positive.

This is why other leagues around the world which have tried this have failed to reopen successfully.

Saying you will just lock down that one player at a time and accept the risk is a nice thought but then you have a second player and third and fourth and so on and soon you don’t have a team.

If they do a good job of testing everyone upfront and 100% LOCKING everyone down from the outside world during this playoff period then it might work.