KillMonger wrote:Are you comfortable with Chicago getting better odds to leapfrog into the top 4? with every loss their odds get better, i'd rather them win some games to be honest....when is it too close for comfort?
Chicago looks most likely to slot as 7th worst. There the cumulative odds to go top-4 is about 1-in-3. If the Bulls slide back to a play-in competition, it is an about 10% chance to go top-4 (assuming the team fails to make the playoffs - and then slots 15).
So, you are asking if we fans want to take the chance at a 66.6% get of the 7 vs. a 90% chance to get the 10. Personally I will not fret about something outside of Magic control. The Magic will get the pick or not, and it will slot from 7-to-15 if is conveys.
Another question is, would you rather the Magic get the Bulls pick this year or hit a year? If the Bulls go top-4, then the team might be more likely to lose games next year than they would have otherwise. In other words, Chicago is unlikely to make next years playoffs, unless there is a play-in again. There Orlando might end up with two picks in the 7-12 range (its own included).
I am ok with Orlando drafting 7-10 next year over 7-10 this year. The team will be more developed and more capable of absorbing two rookies. But given the deep draft, I am ok with the Magic getting the Bulls pick this year as well, if either Moody or Kispert is the outcome.