D J C wrote:There's really people that aren't excited for the Bulls pick? Literally every year dating back to 2003, nearly 20 years now, there's been an all star caliber player taken between picks 7 and 13. We'll have our choice of that range of prospects, and after seeing Chuma and Cole develop so quickly I'm liking our chances better at picking the right one.
From 2003 to 2020 total of 119 players were drafted in that range.
2004 Igoudala, Deng
2008 Brook Lopez
2009 Curry, Derozan
2010 Hayward, George
2011 Kemba Klay
2012 Drummond, Lillard
2014 Randle, Lavine
19 out of 119 players meaning you have, at average ,11% chance for allstar. However, take this term "allstar" very loosly because it just means player showed up for allstar game once. Drummond, Deng, Lopez, Noah, Sabonis, Bynum, Igoudala were never "stars" nor ever lead their teams anywhere.
Most experts,however, belive that "soft tank" is best tank, so guys like Curry, George, Mitchell, Lillard are not brought to apsolute disasters of a team and that allowed them to develop in competitive enviroment and become better players faster and reach their max potential.
Bulls pick isn't safe bet, there is around 2/3 chance of keeping it and 1/3 of losing it. And because draft isn't deep enough and it's very easy to predict that no Michael Porter Jr type will be falling from grace from projected 1# to 8th , it's hard to look at some Jaden Springer, Isaiah Jackson or Wagner and be crazy exited, at least to me.
I don't care if we lose that pick this year. It will be very hard task to play all those young players next year anyway. With returning Isaac and Fultz, and adding own rookie, adding some veteran leadership, PT for most young players compared to this year will go down. Especially Cole, and if we draft SG , Hampton is in that case, third stringer already.
Prediction day after Vuc, Gordon, Evan departure - most fans who are celebrating birth of new rebuild will be crying how rebuild is painful before 2022-23 season ends.
Date of writeup: March 26th, 2021.