It’s not “an (X) player draft”
Posted: Tue Jun 29, 2021 12:02 am
I just want to push back on the sentiment that this draft, or any draft, is ever an (X) player draft. People are really attached to something which has just been a media label, but history has shown us time and again that the pundits are wrong.
To be clear, I’m not saying this draft is 4, 5, 6 or whatever deep. I just want people to take a step back from this headline narrative that we seem to be falling into.
Think of last year’s draft. It was a supposed “3 player draft”, with Edwards, Wiseman and Ball the top prizes. Early results would suggest there were 3 top performers from that class, but Haliburton was that 3rd player, not Wiseman - and Haliburton went 12th.
Other early standouts are guys like Bey, Maxey and Quickley - all taken outside the lottery. But some of those lottery guys seem set to keep improving so time will show how deep and impactful it was. Before the college season, Cole Anthony was a top prospect - and then he slid to 16.
2019 was a 3 player draft of Zion, Ja and Barret. Cam Reddish was in early talks of it being a ‘top 4-5 draft’. By the end of last season Herro looked like the steal and more of a top 3 guy than Barret. Since then he’s underwhelmed, and Garland, Cam Johnson and others are rising.
2018 was a “6 player draft”, where we got Bamba at 6. We would all agree he hasn’t looked the part since then. JJJr is a very good player, but he was sandwiched between two bonafide star players in Luka and Young. Bagley has probably been even more underwhelming than Bamba, relative to his draft position. Since then SGA, MPJ, Sexton and others have made it clear they were amongst the top players drafted that year despite none being considered part of the ‘top 6’.
The same could happen for this draft. Cade is the only safe bet I see. Mobley might be good, but like JJJr he might later find himself taking a drop in a redraft. Green might be Wiggins. Suggs might be George Hill. Kuminga might be Anunoby. At the same time, Sengun might be Jokic, JT Thor might be Anthony Davis, Tre Mann might be Steph Curry, Giddey might be Doncic (
).
These aren’t guarantees, but neither is being labelled part of a “top whatever” by media talking heads. Form your own opinion. If that means Barnes, Bouknight, Moody or whoever is your guy at 5, cool. Don’t let yourself fall into the trap of believing we’re safe in getting one of the top players just because a whole lot of people have started parroting the same story.
To be clear, I’m not saying this draft is 4, 5, 6 or whatever deep. I just want people to take a step back from this headline narrative that we seem to be falling into.
Think of last year’s draft. It was a supposed “3 player draft”, with Edwards, Wiseman and Ball the top prizes. Early results would suggest there were 3 top performers from that class, but Haliburton was that 3rd player, not Wiseman - and Haliburton went 12th.
Other early standouts are guys like Bey, Maxey and Quickley - all taken outside the lottery. But some of those lottery guys seem set to keep improving so time will show how deep and impactful it was. Before the college season, Cole Anthony was a top prospect - and then he slid to 16.
2019 was a 3 player draft of Zion, Ja and Barret. Cam Reddish was in early talks of it being a ‘top 4-5 draft’. By the end of last season Herro looked like the steal and more of a top 3 guy than Barret. Since then he’s underwhelmed, and Garland, Cam Johnson and others are rising.
2018 was a “6 player draft”, where we got Bamba at 6. We would all agree he hasn’t looked the part since then. JJJr is a very good player, but he was sandwiched between two bonafide star players in Luka and Young. Bagley has probably been even more underwhelming than Bamba, relative to his draft position. Since then SGA, MPJ, Sexton and others have made it clear they were amongst the top players drafted that year despite none being considered part of the ‘top 6’.
The same could happen for this draft. Cade is the only safe bet I see. Mobley might be good, but like JJJr he might later find himself taking a drop in a redraft. Green might be Wiggins. Suggs might be George Hill. Kuminga might be Anunoby. At the same time, Sengun might be Jokic, JT Thor might be Anthony Davis, Tre Mann might be Steph Curry, Giddey might be Doncic (

These aren’t guarantees, but neither is being labelled part of a “top whatever” by media talking heads. Form your own opinion. If that means Barnes, Bouknight, Moody or whoever is your guy at 5, cool. Don’t let yourself fall into the trap of believing we’re safe in getting one of the top players just because a whole lot of people have started parroting the same story.