basketballRob wrote:pepe1991 wrote:that's from real GM.com
Cap space for 2021-22, 2022-23 and 2023-24 are already set. Salary cap won't exceed $120M mark until 2024-25. So your implications that salary cap will go to $170 in near future is simply data you made up.
MLE won't hit $12M a year mark until at least 2026. You said that MLE will hit $15M soon, by this projections, it won't reach that point until somewhere in 2030.
Regardless, paying Mikal Brdiges $25M in 2022 (119M cap space = 21% cap space) is equal as paying Ryan Anderson /Jabari Parker $20M in 2019. Simply overpay for little they offer.
Ironically here's the link where the salary cap will go up to 171m in 4 years (2025). So I was 1 million off.
The max salary will start at 60m per year and 79m in the final year. My projection about the MLE being 15m will probably be close.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/mortenjensen/2021/09/19/with-new-tv-deal-looming-nba-teams-could-spend-big-on-extensions/?sh=74a65c433e85Sent from my SM-G950U using
RealGM Forums mobile app
You realise it's one side of a story, right? It's what NBA will ask. 75 billion dollars. Issue,however, is that they don't have sustainable argument for this. Their tv ratings are on decline, including Bucks - Suns nba finals that saw 32% drop in audience among USA fans from year before. And even Heat- Lakers finals in 2020 had horrendus ratings.
And even if they get that deal (and they probably won't) , it still makes no difference for nba 2022 free agency , as nex CBA deal would kickstart at 2025-26 season, as all 4 years contracts signed in 2022 will be expired or expiring by the time it matters.
The last time the cap spiked was in 2016, when the current television deal kicked in. In one offseason, the cap jumped from $70 million all the way up to $94.1 million -- a 32% bump in one offseason. This had two extremely negative consequences for the NBA.
First, it allowed several contending teams to generate cap space without sacrificing players that were already on their cap sheet. Most notably, the Warriors were able to sign Durant while retaining Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, Andre Iguodala and Shaun Livingston. The last two players need to be mentioned because the Warriors actually could have signed Durant without the spike, at least in theory. Trading Iguodala and Livingston could have saved Golden State roughly $17 million in space that could have gone to Durant, but the spike allowed them to sign a former MVP without giving up anyone from their core. The Warriors went on to win the next two championships with a roster that many consider the greatest in NBA history.
The second, and other major consequence, was far more universal. NBA teams suddenly had an enormous amount of space that, thanks to the league's 90% salary floor, they had to spend. The problem was that beyond Durant and a few others, there weren't many players that deserved all of that money. Nicolas Batum signed for as much money in 2016 as Carmelo Anthony got two years earlier in 2014. Mike Conley was, for a period, the highest-paid player in NBA history. Several contracts worth north of $50 million -- Ryan Anderson's $80 million deal from the Knicks, Joakim Noah's $72 million pact with the Knicks, Luol Deng's identical contract from the Lakers, and others -- ultimately needed to be waived and stretch because they were so toxic to their team's balance sheets. Others were traded with draft picks attached.
So even if this happends, by 2025, this time around they will be doing cap smoothing, raising salary over 9 years slowly.
Regardless of all this, paying role players $100M in 22 will still be ugly overpay.
Life is what happens when you're busy making other plans. -John Lennon
