jonbob17 wrote: OrlChamps2030 wrote:
If Harris goes for an efficient 15 ppg on a 36% 3-ball and competent defense, I could see him resigned to a 2-year 30M deal.
If Harris puts up those stats I could see that happening..
But like many other vets that have come here in the post-D12 era it’s probably more likely he has another down year on a tanking team with sub-optimal spacing..
Why would we have sub-optimal spacing? Both of our bigs can shoot, and don't have much of a post game. Our PFs are perimeter oriented. The spacing will be fine. Whether or not guys can make shots is to be determined, but the paint isn't going to be clogged.
This simply isn't true.
Post trades, orlando had the worst 3 point shooting team in nba, combined with the worst efficiency on offense in whole league. Thunder, second worst, actually had huge 1,4% better eFG than Orlando. Orlando was almost 6% below lowest ranked nba playoff team in both efficiency and 3 point range. Needless to say it's a huge swing.
Both of our bigs can shoot
Bamba is career 32,5% three point shooter. Well below league's average. But on surface that number looks better than it is. He is very poor FT shooter (10% below league's average) and awful mid range shooter.
Wendell flat out does not have nba 3 point range. 24% for 3 means out of 20 shots, he will probably make 4 to 5.
Our PFs are perimeter oriented
Yes , they are, because other aspects of their games are somehow even worst than their mediocre shooting.
Okeke can't attack rim, or at leatst never does. He is another "3 point specialist " who isn't even average shooter, but in complete lack of ability to go at rim, he camps at perimeter and shoots. We talk about player who drew 20 shooting fouls in 45 games.
Isaac, same story, clumsy when attacking rim, lack ballhandling skills to go at his man, and when he does, he ends up shooting mid range. Results are as expected. Career putrid 33% mid range shooter, below average 3 ponit shooter ( 33%) and slightly above average FT shooter. Last one doesn't really matter as long as he draws 1 shooting fouls a game.
And i'm not too confident Wagner has nba range in him as rookie, there is plenty of evidence he doesn't.
. Whether or not guys can make shots is to be determined, but the paint isn't going to be clogged
If you have projected 2 to 3 guys on whole roster, who will even be in conversation to hit 36% for 3 ( and that's hardly even average, let alone anything amazing ) your paint will get clogged because teams will sag off and dare you to shoot. especially because this team will boost pace and shoot s*** loud of out of balance shots (and My God, turnovers rate will be painful to watch).
Prediction day after Vuc, Gordon, Evan departure - most fans who are celebrating birth of new rebuild will be crying how rebuild is painful before 2022-23 season ends.
Date of writeup: March 26th, 2021.