GelbeWand09 wrote:MagicMatic wrote:tiderulz wrote:we also took Bamba at 5.
GS took Wiseman at 2.
Bagley went 2
Bender went 4
Okafor went 3. Willie Cauley-stein went 6 same draft
yes, they did 1 year in college. but its hard to predict big men
Bigs are always a bigger risk to me. The ones projected at the top of drafts rarely pan out or retain value.
I’m actually more surprised when a player like Ayton for example meets their draft position compared to other talent on the board.That’s not to say taking Ayton over Doncic wasn’t stupid, but he was definitely worthy of top 3 in that draft retrospectively.
Not only that, but there are always more examples of bigs taken later that exceed expectations compared to other positions.
I think projected 2 way bigs are a good bet. They are just exremely rare but kinda always succeed like Davis, Embiid, Ayton, Bam & probably Mobley. Ayton had some questions about his defense but awesome tools. I thought Mobley gonna be the best player of last years draft because he showed 2way potential.
Drafting defensive bigs (even with a 3Pt shot) that high or not elite offensive bigs with bad defense / defensive tools is the mistake in my opinion. The reason i like Chet. He probably wont be a 1st or 2nd option, but he's gonna be a good offensive player with All-Defensive 1st team potential. In a draft like this, i take that and run.
I like Jabari or Ivey but i think they have at least as many questionmarks as Chet. I just fear we end up with Paolo and i get Vuc flashbacks for the next 5 years. ''Yo man, he scores 20ppg so everyone else must be the problem we cant win''
Yeah that’s my fear also.
I could make a case that spending a top 3 pick on a big is always a stupid idea. Why? Because they are almost never #1 options on offense and that’s what I’m expecting if they spend a pick that high in the modern age.
Even in the best case scenario that you draft Embiid or Jokic with a top 3 pick, and the hype pans out, those teams still have to be built to accommodate the offense running through them. Dwight had the perfect setup, for his skill set as a #1 pick, and they still couldn’t get it done. Ayton is the third option on his team and he was a #1 pick.
The problem with this draft is that the most hyped players are all bigs that I hear aren’t primary #1 options, they don’t pass the eye test either for that to be true. It’s basically consensus at this point that some combination of Jabari, Chet, or Paolo are going 1-3. Paolo could be that guy but he also has red flags and won’t be exploiting his size at the next level. I don’t know if Jabari is “two-way” or is capable of creating offense as a primary option. Chet looks like a gimmick to me and I’ll believe it (his offense) when I see it at the next level.
