Jay555 wrote:76ciology wrote:phillynative wrote:
I mean moreso are our players too predictable down the stretch compared to other top teams?
I think its more of the TOs
Harden lead the top players on TOs in crunch time while only shooting 28% from field. Embiid is 3rd. 17.8 TO% 3rd highest in crunch time
Offensively 96ORtg is also bad in crunch time given how talented our team is. Nets is at 126 ORtg
With Harden and Embiid, we should be the most lethal team on crunch time on offense.
Offensively in crunch time we’re just comparable to the Bucks. And we’re way more talented than that.
The reason Nets are high in ORtg is because they have KD and Kyrie who thrive in crunch time. I would argue they could outplay most if not all teams if the game is close.
On the other hand, Harden/Embiid are the opposite of that (at least based on past trend) which affects our ceiling in the playoffs.
As a long term Harden fan, I personally don’t see how Harden would improve it except maybe age could do something to it which I doubt. Of course, if Harden utilises his mid range more which is quite good instead of his drive and 3 pt shooting in crunch time, then I can see his crunch time performance improve a little bit percentage wise.
That leads to Embiid. Wing players have won most of the FMVP awards in the past decade or so. It’s pretty rare for a center to do it. That’s not to say he can not. Basically again, mid range would be key here. If Embiid can have a historic run this year, then there is a chance. By that, I mean his mid range would need to be deadly in crunch times come playoffs because that’s how these playoffs are won. See Kawai, KD etc. Lebron/Curry are a bit different coz Lebron has freakish athleticism/talent and Curry is the goat of 3pt shooting.
Other than the stars, your role players who have clutch genes in them would also help a ton. See Steve Kerr, Robert Horry etc. I personally think Melton has that in him which is great for us and I hope Melton gets to finish the game no matter what. Because he gives us D and much needed 3 when it counts. I don’t see Tobi and Maxey doing much in crunch times.
For a deep payoff run, the odds are against us from our players and coaching staff standpoint. But anything can happen. All it takes is for Harden and Embiid to finally figuring it out and Doc not being a weak link as usual.
Harden was just fine in the clutch tonight