W/L Prediction For Regular Season

[ExplosionsInDaSky]

After looking over the schedule and watching these first two games of the year. As is....This team in my opinion is projected at 41-41 for the year. That's dead even .500 ball assuming Joel Embiid stays healthy. Keep in mind, this is "as is", meaning no Ben Simmons, no trade of Ben Simmons, nothing, just this current roster assembled as it is.

The schedule gets tough for the first 20 games of this year and I can see at one being 5-6 games under .500 with a bunch of freaking out and losing our minds. If Joel goes down, we're lotto bound and I think all of us know that. However, upon looking at the schedule, there are stretches available to us where we can make a nice little run and get some wins, maybe build some better chemistry. This season is going to be a step back for us I think altogether. We're going to have to keep cool through all this and hope for the best. Hopefully this doesn't get too out of hand, but I am personally bracing myself for an 8th seed and a possible play in game. I think the east especially is dramatically improved. Chicago looks like a top four team this year, Atlanta looks like they could make a finals run or at least give Brooklyn and Milwaukee a run for their money. Washington has a lot of depth and are much better, you have to figure that both Toronto and Boston are in the mix to do some damage as well. Even Cleveland will prove to be tough to beat, and lets not forget the New York Knicks who look extremely tough this year as well.

In short, we're going to have to win the games we're supposed to win and we're also going to have to beat some of the better teams in the league. That means not giving away home games when we lead for 3/4 of the game. Sadly, these epic deflating meltdowns are going to continue against the better teams in the league due to us just not having a closer. So...Am I overreacting when say 41-41 is a legit possibility? That's with Joel Embiid remaining healthy and only doing his regular good ole "Load Management."

[Stanford]

I think we win 50 games.

[RedSalsa]

I think we take a step back but if Morey can pull something off we could get to the second round again. Can’t see us getting to the ECF.

45-37

[ExplosionsInDaSky]

I think we take a step back but if Morey can pull something off we could get to the second round again. Can’t see us getting to the ECF.

45-37

Give or take a few games, that is where I see us. It's going to be a rough season. Not 2014 rough, but we're going to feel like more of a treadmill team as opposed to a contending team.

[Kobblehead]

It's hard to predict. We're playing with one arm behind our back with $30m+ worth of our cap not on the court. If the situation doesn't get resolved, I guess we'll like be a bottom 4 seed in the conference.

[mjkvol]

This is a 45 win team as it stands (assuming a healthy Embiid), with some youth that should improve as the season goes on. One more play made (or Rivers getting his head out of his arse) and last night is a solid W where we outplayed the Nets all night. That should get us a 5-6 seed and most likely a 1st round exit.

[76thBearCub]

All comes down to how many games Joel can play at a high level.

[thenbaman]

52-30

[RedSalsa]

52-30

Wow! I don’t see it but I hope like hell you’re right!

[zaz102]

Hard to gage with a huge question mark hanging over the team, but they still have Embiid and the bench seems decent. I'll go 50 wins.

[HotelVitale]

This is a 45 win team as it stands (assuming a healthy Embiid), with some youth that should improve as the season goes on. One more play made (or Rivers getting his head out of his arse) and last night is a solid W where we outplayed the Nets all night. That should get us a 5-6 seed and most likely a 1st round exit.

That sounds right to me, though I'd add in a few more wins since we have the RS trinity of good defense, solid chemistry/vet execution, and shooting.

For the PO I also think we shouldn't count ourselves out against any of the likely 3-5 seeds. ATL, BOS, MIA, NYK are the favorites for those spots, with ATL as the general favorite, and those teams are beatable with the current team plus a likely addition or two. I'd assume we eventually get another playmaker either in a Ben trade or some other way by the time the PO roll around. Remember we were legitimately better than ATL last year and let that series slip away.

52-30

Wow! I don’t see it but I hope like hell you’re right!

We were on pace for 56 last year, and Simmons will likely turn into something decent at some point. We didn't really lose anything else and have another year of continuity, plus vibes seem good. We overachieved some last year and not having Simmons definitely costs us in the RS, so I would think that 50ish is probably the consensus expectation. That 48-52 range is where I'd go if I had something riding on it.

[Sixerscan]

They won the equivalent of 56 games last year with Embiid not having some sort of fluky healthy injury season. Their vegas preseason over/under (which bakes in the Simmons nonsense) is 50.5. Not sure where the low 40s predictions come from. I would probably take the slight under at 50-32.

[mjkvol]

This is a 45 win team as it stands (assuming a healthy Embiid), with some youth that should improve as the season goes on. One more play made (or Rivers getting his head out of his arse) and last night is a solid W where we outplayed the Nets all night. That should get us a 5-6 seed and most likely a 1st round exit.

That sounds right to me, though I'd add in a few more wins since we have the RS trinity of good defense, solid chemistry/vet execution, and shooting.

For the PO I also think we shouldn't count ourselves out against any of the likely 3-5 seeds. ATL, BOS, MIA, NYK are the favorites for those spots, with ATL as the general favorite, and those teams are beatable with the current team plus a likely addition or two. I'd assume we eventually get another playmaker either in a Ben trade or some other way by the time the PO roll around. Remember we were legitimately better than ATL last year and let that series slip away.

We were on pace for 56 last year, and Simmons will likely turn into something decent at some point. We didn't really lose anything else and have another year of continuity, plus vibes seem good. We overachieved some last year and not having Simmons definitely costs us in the RS, so I would think that 50ish is probably the consensus expectation. That 48-52 range is where I'd go if I had something riding on it.

My initial post was 46-50 wins, and I backed it up to 45, but it wouldn't surprise me if this is a 50 win team. And that's a good point about 1st round opponents, there's no one close to unbeatable there. The Heat might be the team I would least want to play, as with that personnel and coach they figure to get better as the season goes on.

[zaz102]

They won the equivalent of 56 games last year with Embiid not having some sort of fluky healthy injury season. Their vegas preseason over/under (which bakes in the Simmons nonsense) is 50.5. Not sure where the low 40s predictions come from. I would probably take the slight under at 50-32.

I chose 50 wins, but TBF, I don't think Vegas can really account for the Simmons situation. They probably split the difference. I could see if you're higher on Ben or you feel they're going to be missing him/no trade or something.

Only thing I wouldn't get is if you think Ben was killing us and think low 40s.

[ExplosionsInDaSky]

They won the equivalent of 56 games last year with Embiid not having some sort of fluky healthy injury season. Their vegas preseason over/under (which bakes in the Simmons nonsense) is 50.5. Not sure where the low 40s predictions come from. I would probably take the slight under at 50-32.

I got 41-41 as the worst possible outcome after looking at the schedule. Chicago, Charlotte, Washington, New York are teams we usually breeze through in the regular season and they are all very improved, while we have regressed without Simmons or the potential return for him in a trade. My prediction was also "as is", meaning no trade, no Simmons, just this roster.

[the_process]

I feel like 45 wins, a 6 seed, and a 1st round exit is about right. Assuming no trades and that Jo is relatively healthy (60+ games played).