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2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread

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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1441 » by Kobblehead » Mon Jan 16, 2017 12:31 am

Negrodamus wrote:I'm actually expecting Frank Ntilikina to push many of these guards in the months approaching the draft. He has shown that he can use his length defensively, is a massive guard, and has shown an improving three point shot.

Are we positive he's a PG? His distributing metrics seem pretty low volume for a lead guard.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1442 » by Slizeezyc » Mon Jan 16, 2017 12:38 am

Kobblehead wrote:@Slizeezyc, I'm saying very specifically that Fultz has not played well enough to pass any of these other Gs.

Three years ago, Marcus Smart was clearly the best guard prospect in the draft.
Two years ago, D'Angelo Russell was clearly the best guard prospect in the draft.
Last year, Kris Dunn was clearly the best guard prospect in the draft.

From an age-to-excellence and performance perspective, how can anyone say Markelle Fultz has been better than (let alone well ahead of the pack of) Lonzo Ball, Malik Monk or De'Aaron Fox? From a skillset perspective, how can anyone say Markelle Fultz is clearly ahead of Dennis Smith Jr.?

To me, Markelle Fultz is very much within the pack and not pulling ahead of any of these guys. And in terms of projecting skillsets, Dennis Smith ticks every box Fultz does with even better physical ability and grit.


I mean Fultz is the youngest of them, and what he's done from a statistical level as a whole is better than any of them. He's scoring 20+ a game while having 5 assists, 5 boards, shooting above 40% from deep and 50% from two on a high usage. Nobody else has that, Freshman or otherwise. Take it for what it is and pick it apart if you want, but it is a thing.

You can say Ball maybe has the most elite skill at one thing, Smith has best athleticism etc., but it's a bit unfair to say Fultz isn't doing "anything" to separate himself.

Also, as for those other drafts, I mean:

Fultz>Smart/Dunn/Russell. And to be original point, Ball/Smith>Smart/Russell/Dunn

And beyond that,

Exum was the only competition for Smart. Mudiay was the only one around Russell. And Murray/Hield were the only ones around Dunn. None of those "secondary" guys equate to a Ball/Smith in terms of competition. Which is sort of my point in saying, this is just a really good guard class, and it makes it hard to separate further.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1443 » by Slizeezyc » Mon Jan 16, 2017 12:38 am

Kobblehead wrote:
Negrodamus wrote:I'm actually expecting Frank Ntilikina to push many of these guards in the months approaching the draft. He has shown that he can use his length defensively, is a massive guard, and has shown an improving three point shot.

Are we positive he's a PG? His distributing metrics seem pretty low volume for a lead guard.


He doesn't play as a lead guard on his teams sans at the U-18/19 stuff, so hard to know.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1444 » by eagereyez » Mon Jan 16, 2017 12:47 am

I think DSJ will be the closest challenger to Fultz. They both fit the attack first PG mold that is currently dominating the NBA. Their fit in the modern era is crystal clear. Jackson could approach and exceed that level of dominance if he ever learns how to shoot.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1445 » by cksdayoff » Mon Jan 16, 2017 12:56 am

Jackson needs to get rid of that hitch.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1446 » by eagereyez » Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:14 am

cksdayoff wrote:Jackson needs to get rid of that hitch.

He should play PF if he can't fix that ugly jumper. I'm thinking he could be played similar to Giannis in a point-forward type of role. He'd be a killer small-ball PF.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1447 » by Marcus » Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:15 am

cksdayoff wrote:Jackson needs to get rid of that hitch.


Doesn't feel like he's ever had somebody work with him on it. They will in the league and with his drive to be the best I think he can be molded.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1448 » by Kobblehead » Mon Jan 16, 2017 1:51 am

You're right in that Fultz and Smith are the most modern archetypal G talents in this draft.

I don't think that matters in the grand scheme of things if Ball and Monk continue to outplay them.

Ball's IQ, vision, unselfishness, shooting proficiency and physical tools make him special.

Monk's age-to-dominance as a scorer is pretty unprecedented in the recent era. When's the last time we had a freshman like him? His offensive game as a true freshman is at the same level Buddy Hield's was during his PotY senior season.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1449 » by Kobblehead » Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:09 am

No worries whatsoever about Jackson, offensively. Dude is shooting like hot garbage from the free throw line and beyond the arc and scoring still seems effortless to him. He still generates wide open looks and knocks down mid-range jumpers with ease. Handle is too nice. Slashing threat is too scary for defenders. And his drive and work ethic is so high. He's going to squeeze every drop of water from the stone in regards to his talent.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1450 » by leorautins » Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:28 am

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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1451 » by HankTheTank » Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:31 am

Kobblehead wrote:You're right in that Fultz and Smith are the most modern archetypal G talents in this draft.

I don't think that matters in the grand scheme of things if Ball and Monk continue to outplay them.

Ball's IQ, vision, unselfishness, shooting proficiency and physical tools make him special.

Monk's age-to-dominance as a scorer is pretty unprecedented in the recent era. When's the last time we had a freshman like him? His offensive game as a true freshman is at the same level Buddy Hield's was during his PotY senior season.


Good post. I'll add, there is not a lot separating the top 8 or so players in this draft. That, combined with where the Sixers are in the building process, mean I would be paying close attention to intangibles if I were BC. Who do you want to surround Embiid with? High character, willing defender, team first guys imo.

Jackson is said to be a driven leader, Ball appears to be a very unselfish player, and while he doesn't blow me away, Tatum's defensive stats show he is engaged on that end. I want to see more of Fultz. An NC state friend who watches all their games said Smith is a phenom but is always screaming at his teammates. I want to see how Monk defends and plays in the tourney... It's early, lots of time to see how it plays out.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1452 » by AdotSmoove » Mon Jan 16, 2017 2:57 am

Ericb5 wrote:I'm not sure why Ball seems to be treated with a bunch of skepticism by many people. He should be recognized as elite.

Two things that make people underestimate him I think are his ridiculous shooting form that just seems like it shouldn't work, and that he has been SO damn good that it seems too good to be true.

I mean he had high school stats that were so good that people assumed that they over estimated his talent, and thought that he couldn't continue with that production as he moves up to the next level. The stats are down in college, but still show the same elite skills.

I think that if people just judge him fairly with their eyes that he is clearly a special talent.

He is in the same ballpark as Simmons when it comes to passing and vision, and you can never have enough of that on the floor.

On top of that, he competes, and is a terrific spot up shooter. He is definitely capable of playing off the ball, and he can defend both back court spots.

I think that he is an excellent fit with our team.


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I'm a big fan of Ball and have been saying that he is a better pick for us than Fultz. That being said, Ball is not in Simmons passing ballpark. Simmons can not only make every pass that any other NBA player can, he can make passes that other NBA players couldn't even dream of attempting. Simmons literally makes passing look fun. Not many players to ever play the game have made passing look like something that the cool kids do, but Simmons does. Ball on the other hand can see everyone on the floor and is extremely efficient/smart with his decisions, but he does not make you stop the tape with a pass and say "wait, what the hell just happened."


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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1453 » by Kobblehead » Mon Jan 16, 2017 3:06 am

Ball's passing might not have the creativity and magic of Ben's, but his vision and ball placement is pretty special in its own right. For a rough analogy, if Ben's passing is Pistol Pete, Ball's is about on-par with Rubio's.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1454 » by AdotSmoove » Mon Jan 16, 2017 3:07 am

Kobblehead wrote:
cksdayoff wrote:
Kobblehead wrote:I didn't say he was an elite slasher. I said he was an elite finisher. Someone finishing well over 70% at the rim is an elite finisher. There's no arguing that fact.


you're right, my mistake. and his % definitely backs your point, but when i think of an elite finisher, i picture someone making layup attempts with defenders underneath the basket. Maybe Lonzo Ball has it in him to do it, I just haven't seen it yet.

I don't think Ball will ever adopt a slasher/finisher playing style, but he will use his vertical explosiveness to finish a high percentage of his attempts on the break and of course on cuts to the basket off Simmons feeds.

Among the slashing PGs in this year's draft (Smith, Fultz and Fox), I think Markelle will have the most trouble continuing that at the next level. For one thing, he's nowhere near as twitchy and explosive as Smith and nowhere near as quick and agile as Fox. We consistently see him getting stymied at the arc and struggling to blow by guys. His teammates suck, but there are still physical shortcomings we can't just brush off.


Agreed. And the whole "his team sucks and there's no space so he can't get to the rim at will" is garbage. I remember another player on a horrendous team that seemed to be able to get to the rim at will just fine. Oh, and he did it without an outside shot whatsoever. Yes, I'm referring to Ben Simmons. Sure Ben is gigantic for a ball handler, but shouldn't that make it easier to stay in front of him assuming his gigantic size takes away from his quickness and explosiveness. Other teams weren't leaving their bigs on an island to deal with Simmons either, they sent double teams and lined up guards on him to try to stop him from penetrating and they also gave him a five foot cushion at all times. None if it worked and Simmons literally got to the rim whenever he wanted.


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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1455 » by phiphan » Mon Jan 16, 2017 3:30 am

cksdayoff wrote:
Kobblehead wrote:I didn't say he was an elite slasher. I said he was an elite finisher. Someone finishing well over 70% at the rim is an elite finisher. There's no arguing that fact.


you're right, my mistake. and his % definitely backs your point, but when i think of an elite finisher, i picture someone making layup attempts with defenders underneath the basket. Maybe Lonzo Ball has it in him to do it, I just haven't seen it yet.


Kobble, you said he could use his elite finishing off the pick and roll. That's a slashing situation. You want to walk back your original statement that's cool, but we're in the no spin zone here baby.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1456 » by Kobblehead » Mon Jan 16, 2017 3:42 am

phiphan wrote:
cksdayoff wrote:
Kobblehead wrote:I didn't say he was an elite slasher. I said he was an elite finisher. Someone finishing well over 70% at the rim is an elite finisher. There's no arguing that fact.


you're right, my mistake. and his % definitely backs your point, but when i think of an elite finisher, i picture someone making layup attempts with defenders underneath the basket. Maybe Lonzo Ball has it in him to do it, I just haven't seen it yet.


Kobble, you said he could use his elite finishing off the pick and roll. That's a slashing situation. You want to walk back your original statement that's cool, but we're in the no spin zone here baby.

I said he'd be more inclined to use the screen to get to the rim or create an open look for someone else than he would taking a mid-range pull up jumper. I never said he was going to be John Wall.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1457 » by Kobblehead » Mon Jan 16, 2017 3:44 am

Stop focusing so much on finding a pick and roll PG just because those are league conventions. We'll have a 250 pound floor general. There will be nothing conventional about our offense.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1458 » by phiphan » Mon Jan 16, 2017 4:01 am

Definitely looking forward to seeing Ben play -- it may open up a lot of options for us. I actually like Ball a lot but I am still skeptical in a few ways. But with combined BBIQ of Simmons and Ball on the court they might spontaneously invent nuclear fusion.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1459 » by sixers4real » Mon Jan 16, 2017 5:09 am

I hope we get one of Fultz/Ball/Smith (Top4) as a PG.
And one of Monk Isaac with the Lakers pick as a wing.
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Re: 2016-2017 College Basketball / '17 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#1460 » by Kolkmania » Mon Jan 16, 2017 6:58 am

Slizeezyc wrote:
Kobblehead wrote:@Slizeezyc, I'm saying very specifically that Fultz has not played well enough to pass any of these other Gs.

Three years ago, Marcus Smart was clearly the best guard prospect in the draft.
Two years ago, D'Angelo Russell was clearly the best guard prospect in the draft.
Last year, Kris Dunn was clearly the best guard prospect in the draft.

From an age-to-excellence and performance perspective, how can anyone say Markelle Fultz has been better than (let alone well ahead of the pack of) Lonzo Ball, Malik Monk or De'Aaron Fox? From a skillset perspective, how can anyone say Markelle Fultz is clearly ahead of Dennis Smith Jr.?

To me, Markelle Fultz is very much within the pack and not pulling ahead of any of these guys. And in terms of projecting skillsets, Dennis Smith ticks every box Fultz does with even better physical ability and grit.


I mean Fultz is the youngest of them, and what he's done from a statistical level as a whole is better than any of them. He's scoring 20+ a game while having 5 assists, 5 boards, shooting above 40% from deep and 50% from two on a high usage. Nobody else has that, Freshman or otherwise. Take it for what it is and pick it apart if you want, but it is a thing.

You can say Ball maybe has the most elite skill at one thing, Smith has best athleticism etc., but it's a bit unfair to say Fultz isn't doing "anything" to separate himself.

Also, as for those other drafts, I mean:

Fultz>Smart/Dunn/Russell. And to be original point, Ball/Smith>Smart/Russell/Dunn

And beyond that,

Exum was the only competition for Smart. Mudiay was the only one around Russell. And Murray/Hield were the only ones around Dunn. None of those "secondary" guys equate to a Ball/Smith in terms of competition. Which is sort of my point in saying, this is just a really good guard class, and it makes it hard to separate further.


Karl-Anthony Towns was a prospect who did everything well, but wasn't elite at one aspect like Jahlil Okafor. You look at the complete package of a prospect and try to imagine how it translates in the NBA. Dribble penetration is my biggest question mark with Markelle Fultz.

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