Ericb5 wrote:sixerswillrule wrote:Ericb5 wrote:
As much as I defend and love Okafor, I would put the chances of them BOTH being traded by this time next year at better than 50-50.
They are both too good to be backups, and unless Embiid crashes, we don't have the spot for them. Since I put Okafor's chances of surviving at the 4 at around 50%, I think he will be traded if he can't play there mostly full time.
I definitely wouldn't trade both unless we can get great value for each. Even then it's questionable given Embiid's uncertainty. Neither is too good to be a 30 mpg player, which either one could be on the team together with Embiid if he's healthy.
The only way either one of them gets 30 minutes a game with a healthy Embiid in year 2, is if they can play half the time at the 4. I think that Okafor may be able to do that, but I don't think that Noel can. Okafor this year will have to prove that he can play a lot of minutes at the 4. If he can't, then he is just auditioning to be traded.
This up coming season will be the last one where there will be any more than 15 minutes or so available at center in the heathy Embiid scenario.
The only way one of them will need to play half their time at the 4 in year 2 is if Embiid plays 33 mpg in year 2. Not only is that ~95% likely not to happen in year 2, that may not happen in Embiid's entire career. Even if he stays generally healthy, I could easily see him being capped at 30 mpg to stay on the safe side.















