the_process wrote:Negrodamus wrote:spikeslovechild wrote:
I tried not to call out any one specific person but since you took the mantle and ran with it...
My issue isn't with those who didn't like Fultz pre-draft and for example like Llyod wanted to take Ball number one overall. Or whomever. My issue is those who take what Fultz did in 4 games with a bum shoulder and extrapolate it for an entire 10 year career and then say we should have drafted Tatum or Mitchell or whatever. Players they in most cases weren't even pushing pre-draft. 
You do realize that very few GM's hit on even 50 percent of their picks let alone all of them. The only time I really have had a problem is when a GM goes against the consensus and is wrong. For example when BC went against the consensus and took Bargs. Or when BC went against the consensus and took that SF I forget his name instead of Drummond. 
He took the right guy and is getting killed. I don't get it. Not only did he take the right guy but he hasn't even played a real game where he has been able to perform healthy. Noone had any questions about Fultz shot pre draft. Watch the videos. All I would ask is if you were pro selecting Fultz or neutral you let the situation play put before deciding we should have taken someone else.
I'd agree with you if we had the first pick, but we traded up for the first pick. So we lose assets for him. I get the gripes against Fultz because I wasn't a huge fan of him predraft. So to move up and grab him rubbed me the wrong way. I hope I'm wrong and he's the best player in this draft, but he didn't, and still doesn't, come off as a transcendent talent. 
I don't think Lloyd wanted to take anyone #1 overall. I'm pretty sure he was anti trade all together in a draft like this but I won't speak for him.
Also, if you're on the consensus pick, I'm sure you were completely fine with taking Nerlens and MCW over Giannis, right? 
No NBA GM was taking Giannis with a lottery pick. Good on him and good on MIL that Giannis has reached 99% of his potential. Most players don’t achieve that. Using the extreme outlier is not a valid criticism.
 
You don't need to look at only Giannis. Look at any massive bust over the past 10 years and it's a result of poor scouting/groupthink and a poor understanding of that players psyche. We, as fans, do not have the resources to look into the latter issue, but the former is available to everyone. I'm sure the Grizzlies would love to have that Hasheem Thabeet pick back in 2009, right?
There is the perceived value that the talking heads mold into your heads and then there's the actual value if you watch the players play and use the advanced stats as a tool. 
So, when I see:
The only time I really have had a problem is when a GM goes against the consensus and is wrong.
I shake my head because if the decision is made with a sound reason, then I'm on board with making that selection and being wrong.
Fultz was a disaster on defense at UW. He took inefficient shots (to his credit he made many of them). His team was a nightmare all season. He was pretty pedestrian at the rim. Those type of things scared me a bit from selecting him at three; terrified me at #1 at the expense of a pick that could be a transcendent talent later on. That's not a sound decision.
With that said, I have been encouraged by his play. I hope he has committed to defense and is working on his body so he can finish through contact. But with the information that was at hand before the draft, he was not worth the price tag.