Post#71 » by Ericb5 » Tue Jan 5, 2016 8:53 pm
I like Holmes too, but can't we avoid the pitfall that happens all the time where someone without a pedigree does well in a limited role, and then we start falling in love with them and start making assumptions about what they will be?
The only thing that Holmes has earned at this point is playing time, and we shouldn't expect anything more than that from him until he proves a lot more.
If some sort of injuries forced him to play 30 minutes a night for 20 games or so, and he played with the same efficiency and production then we can start thinking about him as a future piece. For now, he is an afterthought.
He is a young kid showing potential. The whole idea of "He does X with 10 minutes, so he will do Y with 30 minutes" is completely flawed.
IMO the evaluation process for him should be like this:
1. Is he an NBA player?
I think that he has shown that he belongs in the league, and has a future.
2. Can he fill a top 7-8 rotation role on a good team?
Maybe, but still an open question.
3. Can he be a starter, and play starter's minutes?
No idea
4. Can he be a star?
No idea
5. Can he be a franchise player?
No idea.
With people like Noel or Okafor, the first 3 questions are rock solid. I would say with Grant that he, like Holmes, is in the middle of trying to prove the second question, and I would say that he is ahead of Holmes on that one so far.
Holmes and Grant are both nice prospects to have, but neither of them should really be part of the equation in terms of how we think about the state of our team.