gdog2004 wrote:Ericb5 wrote:LloydFree wrote:I don't think the guy who made the Lemarcus Aldridge comparison, took any consideration for catch-&-shoot ability. I think he searched for the first 6'11 player he could find, who didn't rebound early in his career and said "see, this guy didn't rebound and he's a star, therefore Okafor will be a star". Its hilarious how it actually became a "thing" on the site for a few weeks.
The argument was never whether or not Okafor would become Aldridge. The argument was that if Aldridge could improve his rebounding why couldn't Okafor? The same thing with Marc Gasol. If Gasol could do it, why couldn't Okafor?
It's the people that think that a player that can't do something will never be able to do something that are going out on a limb. Players do improve in key weaknesses, and Aldridge improved his rebounding, and Gasol improved his defense.
Okafor has obviously done neither at this point, but you aren't representing the argument properly.
The argument was always about the future and not the present.
Great point Eric and lost on almost all Sixer fans. If Okafor were exactly like he was in his rookie year with all the same weaknesses 10 years in the league, then yeah, I see everyone point. But lets not decide what the guy is after he has literally played 55 games healthy IN HIS CAREER. For all the pride some fans take in understanding the process, and being smarter than the "average fan or national media member" this simple fact says the exact opposite. Not everyone is Embiid right off the bat. Guys take time.
Most people are rational enough to expect a young player with several weaknesses to improve over time and hopefully become a useful player. However, it's less reasonable to expect a player that is bad at nearly everything to improve to at enough things to be useful.
Also, the whole "X player was bad at Y and improved, so therefore Okafor could" argument is so weak. Rebounding doesn't tend to improve much over time. Using outliers for your argument highlights how improbable it is that he'll improve, which is problematic when it's only one of many useful skills he still needs to learn and improve upon.
Using a probabilistic approach, it just seems pretty unlikely he ever develops into a particularly good player.