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538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ

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538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#1 » by LloydFree » Tue Jul 16, 2019 10:44 pm

76ers team projection, as currently constructed, has the 76ers as the highest point differential and most likely NBA Champ.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-way-too-early-projections-for-the-2019-20-nba-season/amp/

Meanwhile, some guys that are smarter than Elton Brand, have ditched their League Pass for his failure to take Carsen Edwards in the 2nd round... LOL
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#2 » by Tony Franciosa » Tue Jul 16, 2019 10:48 pm

Cool. Is it October yet? Gonna be the longest rest of summer ever.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#3 » by youngcrev » Tue Jul 16, 2019 11:13 pm

That's cool... But at the same time, meh.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#4 » by SixthStreet » Tue Jul 16, 2019 11:19 pm

I’m sure this is primarily accounted for by the addition of Horford.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#5 » by Sixerscan » Tue Jul 16, 2019 11:29 pm

SixthStreet wrote:I’m sure this is primarily accounted for by the addition of Horford.


Can see their grades for our players here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/76ers/

Horford is the most positive addition, but Richardson and O'Quinn are also positive. Thybulle and Neto are also pretty close to neutral.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#6 » by Slacktard » Wed Jul 17, 2019 12:27 am

They predicted Hillary winning.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#7 » by Arsenal » Wed Jul 17, 2019 2:02 am

Slacktard wrote:They predicted Hillary winning.


They were the best prediction by far. They had 70% Hillary / 30% Trump on the day of the election whereas everyone else had Hillary at 90%+.
#ThankYouSam | #TrustTheProcess
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#8 » by Sixerscan » Wed Jul 17, 2019 2:04 am

Arsenal wrote:
Slacktard wrote:They predicted Hillary winning.


They were the best prediction by far. They had 70% Hillary / 30% Trump on the day of the election whereas everyone else had Hillary at 90%+.

Well they have the Sixers as like a 30% chance of winning so that bodes well!
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#9 » by Stanford » Wed Jul 17, 2019 2:09 am

Oh, cool! Well that's the same as winning a championship. Elton's work is done!
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#10 » by ProcessDoctor » Wed Jul 17, 2019 3:29 am

I think their model is pretty useful. Like any model, it’s been wrong before but still seems better than the others.

Us getting to and winning the finals will come down to how our young stars handle the moment and what our matchup is. I.e. we have a much better shot against a team like Houston compared to the Clippers IMO.
2019-2020 Philadelphia 76ers:

Simmons/Burke/Neto/Milton
Richardson/Smith/Korkmaz
Harris/Ennis/Thybulle
Horford/Scott/Bolden
Embiid/O’Quinn
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#11 » by 76ciology » Wed Jul 17, 2019 4:00 am

Wait. Who did we add? Did Jr smith sign with us?
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#12 » by LloydFree » Wed Jul 17, 2019 10:44 am

ProcessDoctor wrote:I think their model is pretty useful. Like any model, it’s been wrong before but still seems better than the others.

Us getting to and winning the finals will come down to how our young stars handle the moment and what our matchup is. I.e. we have a much better shot against a team like Houston compared to the Clippers IMO.

Actually, I like our chances against everybody other than the Clippers. George and Kawhi both seam to be our Kryptonite the last couple of years.
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Actually if you ask me which Center I want for my perfect championship caliber team, I will chose Asik hands down
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#13 » by cool93 » Wed Jul 17, 2019 11:08 am

Nets 38 wins
Pacers 39 wins

Like, wtf is this?
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#14 » by LloydFree » Wed Jul 17, 2019 11:55 am

I thought the Pacers projection looked out of line. Then I looked at their roster without Oladipo. On paper, they really don't look scary at all. Their roster doesn't really look much better than the Magic's once you remove Oladipo, honestly.
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Actually if you ask me which Center I want for my perfect championship caliber team, I will chose Asik hands down
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#15 » by Kobblehead » Wed Jul 17, 2019 12:50 pm

I really like the Pacers. I think they could be Denver of the East.

Oladipo
Sabonis
Brogdon
Turner
Lamb
Warren

They have 6 bonafide starting calibur players.

If one of Sumner, Holiday or Leaf emerge, they're even deeper.

Lock for a Top 4 finish, IMO.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#16 » by youngcrev » Wed Jul 17, 2019 1:02 pm

The Pacers weren't very good after Oladipo went down. They lost Bogdanovic, Young, Collison, Joseph, Evans, Matthews and O'Quinn. While I like Brogdon a lot, and like they're off-season in general with them getting younger, I think they got worse. They'll be decent if Oladipo comes back strong, and will struggle to make the playoffs if he doesn't.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#17 » by Kobblehead » Wed Jul 17, 2019 1:10 pm

youngcrev wrote:The Pacers weren't very good after Oladipo went down. They lost Bogdanovic, Young, Collison, Joseph, Evans, Matthews and O'Quinn. While I like Brogdon a lot, and like they're off-season in general with them getting younger, I think they got worse. They'll be decent if Oladipo comes back strong, and will struggle to make the playoffs if he doesn't.

Oladipo went down in the first half of the season and they still won 48 games. They might not have been playoff dangerous afterwards, but they were defying everyone that expected them to fall off up until the very end.

Let's be real, the only actual losses on that list of players is Bogdanovic, Young, and Collison. Joseph sucked for them, Evans was a nightmare mistake signing, Matthews was a buyout addition that never clicked, and O'Quinn was their 3rd C that they didn't even play.

Brogdon, Warren, Lamb > Bogdonovic, Young, Collison

I think they definitely got better with the trio they brought in, as opposed to what went out.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#18 » by ivysixer2000 » Wed Jul 17, 2019 1:14 pm

Sixerscan wrote:
SixthStreet wrote:I’m sure this is primarily accounted for by the addition of Horford.


Can see their grades for our players here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/76ers/

Horford is the most positive addition, but Richardson and O'Quinn are also positive. Thybulle and Neto are also pretty close to neutral.


Zhaire is by far the most confusing to me, no mins and ranked too low IMO. Thybulle getting 17 mins a game while Zhaire gets 7, don't see how that can happen.

As of right now, if Ben, Jojo, and Josh are off the court (I know thats alot, but will happen with rest and stuff)....Zhaire is going to have to be out there.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#19 » by Sixerscan » Wed Jul 17, 2019 1:29 pm

ivysixer2000 wrote:
Sixerscan wrote:
SixthStreet wrote:I’m sure this is primarily accounted for by the addition of Horford.


Can see their grades for our players here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/76ers/

Horford is the most positive addition, but Richardson and O'Quinn are also positive. Thybulle and Neto are also pretty close to neutral.


Zhaire is by far the most confusing to me, no mins and ranked too low IMO. Thybulle getting 17 mins a game while Zhaire gets 7, don't see how that can happen.

As of right now, if Ben, Jojo, and Josh are off the court (I know thats alot, but will happen with rest and stuff)....Zhaire is going to have to be out there.


I think it’s just hard for a model to project a guy like Zhaire that has barely played because of unique reasons.
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Re: 538 projects 76ers as most likely NBA Champ 

Post#20 » by youngcrev » Wed Jul 17, 2019 1:32 pm

Kobblehead wrote:
youngcrev wrote:The Pacers weren't very good after Oladipo went down. They lost Bogdanovic, Young, Collison, Joseph, Evans, Matthews and O'Quinn. While I like Brogdon a lot, and like they're off-season in general with them getting younger, I think they got worse. They'll be decent if Oladipo comes back strong, and will struggle to make the playoffs if he doesn't.

Oladipo went down in the first half of the season and they still won 48 games. They might not have been playoff dangerous afterwards, but they were defying everyone that expected them to fall off up until the very end.

Let's be real, the only actual losses on that list of players is Bogdanovic, Young, and Collison. Joseph sucked for them, Evans was a nightmare mistake signing, Matthews was a buyout addition that never clicked, and O'Quinn was their 3rd C that they didn't even play.

Brogdon, Warren, Lamb > Bogdonovic, Young, Collison

I think they definitely got better with the trio they brought in, as opposed to what went out.


They stayed afloat at first due to a cake schedule before falling off a cliff the last couple of months and getting swept by the Celtics.

I think they improved at PG going from Collison/Joseph to Brogdon/Holiday, but Warren/Lamb is a clear step down from Bogdanovic/Young.

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