EArl wrote:No Modric, Bale, Marcelo and now possibly no Benzema really does stack the odds in Atletis favor. Good thing its in Bernabeu which is about the only thing they have looking forward for themselves.
Terrible luck. Benzema is now unlikely to play according to their papers - I think he will play though(too important of a game and of a player to miss out on the game of the seaason) but it doesn't look like he will be fully fit.
I think Coentrao will be fine, he has a good history in these sort of games. More reliable than Marcelo on the defensive end and ok going forward - again just not sure about his fitness, seems to be always hurt.
Bale has been struggling this season and hasn't made a jump in his form for Real. He's had massive problems dealing with the lack of space and has been found out a few too many times not really still being able to play in tighter spaces. He'll be a big miss though, because he's an athlete and he would be huge to pressure without the ball and then take advantage of the two or three times he'd get the ball in space.
Real Madrid will need to get creative and... pratical. I wouldn't be shocked if they played Pepe in midfield or something like that. No need to try and be adventurous in the lineup. They have a Brazilian guy who just arrived, Illarramendi who hasn't responded well to the high fee he cost. On the other side, they'll probably face Tiago, Gabi, Koke, Arda who operate like a machine and have been a nightmare for Real. Very challenging situation. I think Real need to play it safe in midfield, match their four guys and hope that Isco breaks off his slump and puts in a good shift in midfield.
[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s4_qO026U0w[/youtube]
Porto fans at the airport to show support as players departed for Germany.
Still pessimistic about this. Just think something bad will happen(look for the team to shoot themselves in the foot or ahem a little help from the ref) or more simply, Bayern will naturally be better and do enough to qualify, last year during the first half they had a good spell of pressure and if they're able to do that for a longer period, I can see Porto buckling.
Porto are coached by a guy who is very close to Guardiola and share the same philosophy. It's a team that's based on possession, high pressure... and they are going up against a team filled with world champions, at their venue... and will be asked to defend and be disciplined. Something they haven't been doing much all season and aren't really adapted to it. I also miss seeing a speedy guy like Tello on the lineup, in the first leg, Porto made the most of mistakes and a long ball forward, but only had two good counter attacks outside that. It would be surprising to see Porto going through without having to score away and for that they'll have to make the most of the few chances they'll have with a team that's more adapted to play possession football, not sure they'll be able to have periods where they can control the ball against a team like Bayern and in Germany.
This season there's a drop off from last year in quality. Atletico isn't as good. Real's health issues. Bayern's health issues. Barcelona is not really much better than last year but they've been effective(scoring from dead ball situations, grinding out results more than in the past)... there's no dominant team though. Barcelona is the favourite by default but no team is as scary as they were in previous occasions.