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Sarver's open letter to Suns fans

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GMATCallahan
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Re: Sarver's open letter to Suns fans 

Post#81 » by GMATCallahan » Sat Apr 9, 2016 5:12 am

RunDogGun wrote:What has Bryan done since leaving the Suns with his vision?


... for what it may be worth ...

What’s unfair to Bryan Colangelo is this: He’s no charity case, but the cries of nepotism are unavoidable. He’s been NBA Executive of the Year twice, constructing playoff teams in Phoenix and Toronto. Every NBA executive has hits and misses, but Bryan Colangelo has had significant successes – there’s no denying it.

If Jerry Colangelo forever wanted to hire his son, Bryan was beyond reluctant to accept a job there, sources said. From the moment the Sixers hired Jerry, Bryan kept pursuing available NBA opportunities. He believed he had a great chance to get the Brooklyn Nets’ job, but was crestfallen when Sean Marks was chosen over him. Colangelo fought his way through the nepotism charges with the Suns, where he was ultimately responsible for signing Steve Nash, drafting Amar’e Stoudemire and assembling the cast of coach Mike D’Antoni’s Seven Seconds or Less contender. In Toronto, Bryan Colangelo’s body of work looked stronger with distance: drafting and re-signing DeMar DeRozan; trading for Kyle Lowry; and hiring Dwane Casey as coach.


http://sports.yahoo.com/news/how-the-76ers-unraveled-sam-hinkie-193118470.html
NavLDO
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Re: Sarver's open letter to Suns fans 

Post#82 » by NavLDO » Sat Apr 9, 2016 6:47 pm

GMATCallahan wrote:
RunDogGun wrote:
silverstyne wrote:Haha! Sounds like somebody is feeling the pinch in the purse strings.

Sarver has always been a finance person, I believe that the financial statements have not been kind to him this season nor the last. He must be thinking of drastic ways to drum up fan interest as we dive deep into our lean tanking years.

That is why i love JC. You knew hed always have the Suns in the playoffs. Yes, we didnt win the championship but year in and year out, we knew we could count the suns to be competitive. Financially, it was a financially sustainable model as well in comparison to this Sarver junk.

But JC didn't "always" have us in the playoffs. We have been competitive under Sarver as well, often just barely missing the playoffs. Under both owners, we have rarely been in the top five in the lottery.

No, the Suns were not "always" in the playoffs under Jerry Colangelo, but they did make the postseason for thirteen consecutive years from 1989-2001 (winning over 50 regular season games in ten of those thirteen years, by the way) and twenty-one times in twenty-four seasons from 1978-2001 (making the playoffs 87.5 percent of the time over a span of virtually a quarter-century). From 1976-2001, Phoenix reached the playoffs twenty-two times in twenty-six seasons (84.6 percent of the time) and advanced to two NBA Finals.

Under Sarver, the Suns have now missed the playoffs for six straight seasons (more misses in a six-year span than in a twenty-six year span under Colangelo from 1976-2001) and in seven of the last eight seasons. The "competitive," "just barely missing the playoffs" years have collectively been something of a disaster, as they have prevented the Suns from scoring the high lottery picks that could have facilitated a successful or more expeditious rebuilding process. -- Oh, you mean he could have drafted Hezonja, WCS, Russell, and Kaminsky instead of Booker?? Honestly, how many players drafted ahead of Booker has been more productive for their team, or better 'facilitated' their teams rise to power? Or how about in 2014, instead of Warren, we could have drafted Exum, Smart, Embiid, Vonleh, Saric, oooorrrr, we could have drafted the better SF in Doogie McBuckets. Sorry if I am confused on how exactly those picks would have somehow better 'facilitated' our rebuild. Where we picked has not negatively affected our rebuild at all, especially considering that pre-McD, the Suns had a history of 'selling' their draft picks for cash, or trading them away on draft night. Not to mention that we've collected a nice haul of draft picks since McD took over. We've already drafted 6 players in the 1st Rd the past 3 years and we have another 6x 1st Rd picks in the next 3 years. Ennis 'facilitated' us getting Knight (yeah, I know, but point is, he facilitated getting a trade done for a young (just turned 23, I believe) player who was viewed as a guy that could help us now, instead of the LAL pick, or Ennis, that/who wouldn't likely materialize for a couple of seasons, at best.

Sarver held onto Nash too long, whereas Colangelo traded Charles Barkley while Sir Charles retained legitimate value, hence acquiring assets that Colangelo used to reconstruct the roster quickly without ever missing the playoffs.

(Oh, and are we not glad that all of Steve Nash and Grant Hill's "mentoring" in 2012 molded Markieff Morris into a model citizen and professional who emerged as a valuable team leader and franchise pillar? Oh, wait ...)

And when the Suns missed the playoffs in 2002 and 2004, they used those non-playoff seasons very constructively to launch a dynamic "rebuild." The 2002 disappointment ended up producing Joe Johnson (via trade) and Amare Stoudemire (via the ninth overall draft pick), while the 2004 disappointment ended up producing Steve Nash and Quentin Richardson (via free agency) thanks to all the salary cap space that Colangelo had cleared. Thus those two lottery seasons yielded four of the club's five starters on the 2005 team that won a league-best 62 games and launched an outstanding six-year run. Compare that value and dynamism to what the Suns have accrued from all the lottery seasons of recent years under Sarver.

To be sure, Jerry Colangelo (and Bryan Colangelo) made their share of mistakes, but the Suns are in the midst of their most futile stretch in franchise history. Never before has Phoenix missed the playoffs in six straight seasons.


While disappointing, some of our misfortune is just that, misfortune. I'm with you on the whole "Sarver stinks," but he's not the only cause. Yes, he hired McD and Horny, and following their 1st year, Horny was a legitimate Coach of the Year candidate; and we only missed the playoffs due to how crazy strong the West was that year. They would've been the 5 seed this year, the 8 seed last year, they were tied with the 3rd Seed in the East that year, and the 6th seed the year prior. So yes, that's bad luck, and had we made it that year, you likely wouldn't be making this post...and who knows, maybe our FA outcome would've been different. And as you mentioned, a couple of our Vets that we were depending on to be cornerstones of our development, 'flaked' out on us (and that's all I'm gonna say on that). So those circumstances had a much larger effect on the team than Sarver being our owner. I almost feel 'dirty' defending him, but I feel as though you are casting TOO much blame on Sarver for the Suns' demise; I believe there were much larger influences at play during these 6 years than what influences Sarver cast upon the team.

So while technically correct--we haven't made the playoffs in 6 years--realistically, that's looking at a single piece of information without context.

In 2010-2011, (40-42) we would've been the 8th Seed in the East.
In 2011-2012, (33-33) we were a mere 3 games out in the West, and would've been just 2 games out in the East.
In 2014-2015, (39-43) we would've been the 8th Seed in the East.

Now, you might say "well, we play in the West, so that doesn't matter," but I disagree. It shows two things-1. Bad luck of which conference we play in, and 2. since we do play in the West, the tougher Conference, our team would likely have done even better playing an Eastern Conference schedule.

From '82-'83 season through '87-'88 season, we went to 3 Playoff series, though our winning % in that stretch was .459; when compared to this season (obvious tank and multiple games without use of our top 3 PGs, and quite a few more without our top 2 PGs. So:

.459 vs .437, yet 3 playoff series vs 0

So that is what I mean by context. 2 of the 3 playoff births were with a .439 and .500 winning %.

and head-to-head, each season from best to worst:

53-29 vs 48-34
41-41 vs 33-33
36-46 vs 40-42
36-46 vs 39-43
32-50 vs 25-57
28-54 vs 21-58

So the 2nd through 4th best seasons of our most recent 6 years were as good or better than the '82-'88 seasons 2nd through 4th best seasons. Yet somehow the 2nd and 3rd best seasons back then were playoff squads with a .500 season, and a .439 winning %, and out most recent best season with a .585 winning % wasn't??? Again, a lot of bad luck, or I guess better termed, a lot of unfortunate circumstances.
GMATCallahan
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Re: Sarver's open letter to Suns fans 

Post#83 » by GMATCallahan » Sun Apr 10, 2016 6:04 am

NavLDO wrote:Oh, you mean he could have drafted Hezonja, WCS, Russell, and Kaminsky instead of Booker?? Honestly, how many players drafted ahead of Booker has been more productive for their team, or better 'facilitated' their teams rise to power? Or how about in 2014, instead of Warren, we could have drafted Exum, Smart, Embiid, Vonleh, Saric, oooorrrr, we could have drafted the better SF in Doogie McBuckets. Sorry if I am confused on how exactly those picks would have somehow better 'facilitated' our rebuild. Where we picked has not negatively affected our rebuild at all, especially considering that pre-McD, the Suns had a history of 'selling' their draft picks for cash, or trading them away on draft night. Not to mention that we've collected a nice haul of draft picks since McD took over. We've already drafted 6 players in the 1st Rd the past 3 years and we have another 6x 1st Rd picks in the next 3 years. Ennis 'facilitated' us getting Knight (yeah, I know, but point is, he facilitated getting a trade done for a young (just turned 23, I believe) player who was viewed as a guy that could help us now, instead of the LAL pick, or Ennis, that/who wouldn't likely materialize for a couple of seasons, at best.

While disappointing, some of our misfortune is just that, misfortune. I'm with you on the whole "Sarver stinks," but he's not the only cause. Yes, he hired McD and Horny, and following their 1st year, Horny was a legitimate Coach of the Year candidate; and we only missed the playoffs due to how crazy strong the West was that year. They would've been the 5 seed this year, the 8 seed last year, they were tied with the 3rd Seed in the East that year, and the 6th seed the year prior. So yes, that's bad luck, and had we made it that year, you likely wouldn't be making this post...and who knows, maybe our FA outcome would've been different. And as you mentioned, a couple of our Vets that we were depending on to be cornerstones of our development, 'flaked' out on us (and that's all I'm gonna say on that). So those circumstances had a much larger effect on the team than Sarver being our owner. I almost feel 'dirty' defending him, but I feel as though you are casting TOO much blame on Sarver for the Suns' demise; I believe there were much larger influences at play during these 6 years than what influences Sarver cast upon the team.

So while technically correct--we haven't made the playoffs in 6 years--realistically, that's looking at a single piece of information without context.

In 2010-2011, (40-42) we would've been the 8th Seed in the East.
In 2011-2012, (33-33) we were a mere 3 games out in the West, and would've been just 2 games out in the East.
In 2014-2015, (39-43) we would've been the 8th Seed in the East.

Now, you might say "well, we play in the West, so that doesn't matter," but I disagree. It shows two things-1. Bad luck of which conference we play in, and 2. since we do play in the West, the tougher Conference, our team would likely have done even better playing an Eastern Conference schedule.

From '82-'83 season through '87-'88 season, we went to 3 Playoff series, though our winning % in that stretch was .459; when compared to this season (obvious tank and multiple games without use of our top 3 PGs, and quite a few more without our top 2 PGs. So:

.459 vs .437, yet 3 playoff series vs 0

So that is what I mean by context. 2 of the 3 playoff births were with a .439 and .500 winning %.

and head-to-head, each season from best to worst:

53-29 vs 48-34
41-41 vs 33-33
36-46 vs 40-42
36-46 vs 39-43
32-50 vs 25-57
28-54 vs 21-58

So the 2nd through 4th best seasons of our most recent 6 years were as good or better than the '82-'88 seasons 2nd through 4th best seasons. Yet somehow the 2nd and 3rd best seasons back then were playoff squads with a .500 season, and a .439 winning %, and out most recent best season with a .585 winning % wasn't??? Again, a lot of bad luck, or I guess better termed, a lot of unfortunate circumstances.


Regarding draft picks, what if the Suns had picked first overall in 2012 and had been able to draft Anthony Davis? Obviously, we do not know if Phoenix would have ended up in that slot had the Suns traded Steve Nash and declined to re-sign Grant Hill rather than engage in another hapless pursuit of an eighth seed, but the possibility would have existed. A higher selection could have also netted Damian Lillard or Andre Drummond. Instead, with the thirteenth pick, Phoenix drafted Kendall Marshall.

The overall point is that when a franchise has missed the playoffs in six out of seven seasons (now seven of eight), yet has drafted thirteenth or fourteenth in all those lottery seasons except for one, that franchise has resided in the NBA's version of purgatory. Indeed, there is an overarching strategic flaw at play.

Yes, outside of the Los Angeles Lakers, the West constituted a very mediocre conference for most of the 1980s. However, the conference proved much stronger from 1990-2004, and Colangelo's Suns reached the postseason almost every year during that span. (The Suns also missed the playoffs, by the way, with some very good records in the 1970s, so Colangelo encountered some bad luck as well.)

The West has been quite shallow this season, too, but the Suns again are not in the playoffs. Sure, bad luck always plays a role here and there, but it cannot account for perennial results over a sustained stretch. Again, the Suns are now missing the playoffs for the seventh time in the last eight seasons, and I would argue that there is a correlation between those results and drafting thirteenth or fourteenth almost every year.

I would also reiterate something that I have previously stated in this thread, namely that records are only fully relevant for the given year in which they occur. We really do now know what the Suns' 48 wins in '13-'14 would have translated to in, say, '86-'87 or even this season in '15-'16.

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