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Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6

Moderators: bwgood77, lilfishi22, Qwigglez

What is Aaron Gordon worth?

$25-29m a year ($29m is max)
0
No votes
$20-25m a year
6
10%
$18-20m a year
11
19%
$15-18m a year
19
33%
$12-15m a year
18
31%
Less than $12m a year
4
7%
 
Total votes: 58

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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1281 » by AtheJ415 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 2:45 am

bigfoot wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:One free agent who might be flying under the radar and could be a good fit for a one season big payday is Dewayne Dedmon. He is putting together a decent year from the three point line. Probably would fit really well next to Bender. One year and $22M would he bite? Does it even make sense to go after him for a couple years as a replacement for Len?


What? $22 million for Dewayne Dedmon? These types of centers will not command that type of money. He has a $6.3 million player option. He's worth about that..maybe a little more.

There are a lot of free agent centers this summer. There will not be a bidding war.


Agree ... so someone offers him a 3 year $18M contract. But if we want a one year rental would he take a 1-year $22M while we wait one year for our young prospect to develop. Also have his salary available to use in a trade for Davis, Cousins, or superstar whose contracts are $30M+


1 of 2 things is happening here, either you are suggesting Dedmon is going to get an $18 mil per year offer over 3 years from a team (so $54 mil total), in which case I think you are off by maybe 8 figures annually, or you are saying he is getting $18 mil total ($6 mil per year) and wondering if he would take $22 mil (an extra 4 mil in total) to take a 1 year deal over a 3, in which case the answer is obviously yes unless he just can't add.

Please look at the amount of cap space teams have this offseason (it isn't a lot. Not like the last 2 years). Then please find ones who need a center who would even come close to offering him $18 mil a year and let me know who that team is. This is not even close to a realistic scenario. It is like asking if we could get Lebron for $13 mil a year.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1282 » by bwgood77 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 2:54 am

AtheJ415 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
What? $22 million for Dewayne Dedmon? These types of centers will not command that type of money. He has a $6.3 million player option. He's worth about that..maybe a little more.

There are a lot of free agent centers this summer. There will not be a bidding war.


Agree ... so someone offers him a 3 year $18M contract. But if we want a one year rental would he take a 1-year $22M while we wait one year for our young prospect to develop. Also have his salary available to use in a trade for Davis, Cousins, or superstar whose contracts are $30M+


1 of 2 things is happening here, either you are suggesting Dedmon is going to get an $18 mil per year offer over 3 years from a team (so $54 mil total), in which case I think you are off by maybe 8 figures annually, or you are saying he is getting $18 mil total ($6 mil per year) and wondering if he would take $22 mil (an extra 4 mil in total) to take a 1 year deal over a 3, in which case the answer is obviously yes unless he just can't add.

Please look at the amount of cap space teams have this offseason (it isn't a lot. Not like the last 2 years). Then please find ones who need a center who would even come close to offering him $18 mil a year and let me know who that team is. This is not even close to a realistic scenario. It is like asking if we could get Lebron for $13 mil a year.


Pretty sure he is saying 3/18 total, so 22 would trump the total of 18. But if for some reason we really did want Dedmon on a one year deal and he was being offered 3/18, I imagine he'd still go for something like $15 million over 1 year over $18 over 3.

I really can't believe we are talking about giving Dedmon $22 million though.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1283 » by AtheJ415 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 2:55 am

bigfoot wrote:
AtheJ415 wrote:He is literally on pace to set the school record for blocked shots in a season. He has 22 blocks in his last 10 games.


Still ... half the block rate of Bamba and 2/3 of JJJ. Len averaged 2.1 in college and only gets 1.0 for his NBA career. Ayton averages 1.8 blocks per game and is one of the most physically gifted college players this year. What's wrong with the defensive side of his game. Because if he was a real rim protector Arizona would have one of the better defenses in college and instead they are one of the worst.


I'm not saying his defense is good in the slightest. I think he has the tools to excel on that end though. Plenty of NBA guys have improved upon weaknesses from college to become a strength or at least average in the league. I am just saying that it isn't true that he doesn't block many shots. Arizona has had a ton of NBA players and he is about to break the school record, and has improved in that area of late (up from 1.5 or so per game to 1.8 on the season due to the 2.2 average over the last 10). Bamba has a standing reach ahead of Gobert, so I don't expect him to get more than Bamba. JJJ is uncanny blocking shots but not nearly the overall offensive player or physical freak that Ayton is imo.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1284 » by lilfishi22 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:01 am

bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:I'll say this, generally when we talk about under the radar players, you usually talk about being able to get them on the cheap. Going $22m on an under the radar player sounds ridiculous to me.


Redick's top salary was $7M and he was a role player at best. Certainly under the radar last year as a free agent. No one expected him to get $23M. Why would the sixers waste money doing this?? What is their logic? Throwing away money?

KCP's top salary was $3.6M and starter averaging 13pts on a losing team. Another under the radar free agent last year. Instead he got $18M from the Lakers. Why??

Two teams with young, promising players (Lakes and Sixers) needed a few things.

1) Short term contracts to preserve cap space for the following season. - fair enough but why $22m to one player?
2) A veteran presence to help the young guys win - I'm sure you can get that for less than $22m
3) Big contracts to move in a trade for a legit star. Otherwise they would have to include too many of their young players to get salaries to match. - Sounds reasonable but I haven't seen much evidence of this. If a star is traded, very rarely is a $20m expiring contract moved. Also spending $22m on the off chance a legit star becomes available isn't really a good reason to spend $22m
4) No body has a lot of dead space anymore. The cap floor is about $90M and the cap is $99M so about $9M million max of dead space. Suns don't have that much ... only $6M this year. No team would ever have enough dead space to absorb a max contract of a superstar. You have to have big contracts to keep from moving too many players. - This doesn't make sense. If we're going to spend $22m of our cap space (I don't even know if we have that) on player, why wouldn't we just use that cap space to absorb players? Spending $22m on one player means you HAVE to move at least $22m in a trade. What if the team doesn't want to move $22m+ because it means they need to throw in players they still need? I think they'd rather have cap space than a $22m expiring.

I doubt anyone thinks that Redick or KCP are super elite players and deserving of max or near max money. Those two were being knowingly used by GMs to make possible deals in return for big paydays.

I never said Dedmon is an elite player just that he has some skills at the position that might fit in our team and actually could help us next year. Certainly better than stone-hand Len and old-man Chandler and probably better than a rookie prospect big man that takes a year or two to develop.

Those are two extreme examples, neither of which gives a good or logical reason to give Dedmon, of all players $22 million dollars. LA did it to gain favor with Rich Paul/Lebron while Philly did it to reach the salary cap floor.

This isn't about whether Dedmon is elite or not, it's the merit and sense in spending $22m on one guy.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1285 » by bwgood77 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:19 am

Mulhollanddrive wrote:Per 36
Dedmon: 15 points, 11 rebounds, 1 block @ 116 O-Rating
Player B: 14 points, 13 rebounds, 1 block @ 121 O-Rating

Spoiler:
Alex Len


That one was easy to guess.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1286 » by bigfoot » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:19 am

bwgood77 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
What? $22 million for Dewayne Dedmon? These types of centers will not command that type of money. He has a $6.3 million player option. He's worth about that..maybe a little more.

There are a lot of free agent centers this summer. There will not be a bidding war.


Agree ... so someone offers him a 3 year $18M contract. But if we want a one year rental would he take a 1-year $22M while we wait one year for our young prospect to develop. Also have his salary available to use in a trade for Davis, Cousins, or superstar whose contracts are $30M+


You don't need a contract to trade for a player if you have the cap space. If we had $22 million in cap space to spend on Dedmon, that cap space could absorb anything that a Dedmon trade could accomplish. And the cap space could absorb other players as well, if a team wanted to trade us someone (for cap space relief and maybe give us an asset) and didn't want to pay Dedmon half his contract.


Sure we could try to swing trades this summer with our cap space to get a superstar but probably is not happening. Once the 2018-2019 season starts team don't have $22M in cap space. The most they have is $10M and usually less because there is a salary floor. To prepare for the next in-season trade window (next February) you need to have moveable contracts. For example, we could sign 3 or 4 players to one year contracts. But then when you make a trade for a superstar and have to send them 5 players with small contracts to meet the salary of the $35M superstar you run into problems. The team receiving those players has to waive them (or give away salary). That's why an $18M to $23M expiring contract is valuable when the situation presents itself. May not happen but at least you are ready if it happens.

The other problem is our roster is already at 15 players next year just with our two new 1st round picks. Sure we could waive Ulis and Reed but we are not filling our roster with 3-4 average players at $6-7M for one year contracts. We don't have the roster size for it.

Edit: Yes I did mean $6M/year for three years on Dedmon
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1287 » by bigfoot » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:22 am

Mulhollanddrive wrote:Per 36
Dedmon: 15 points, 11 rebounds, 1 block @ 116 O-Rating
Player B: 14 points, 13 rebounds, 1 block @ 121 O-Rating

Spoiler:
Alex Len


.000
.380

Can you guess what it is and who it belongs too?
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1288 » by bwgood77 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:24 am

bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:I'll say this, generally when we talk about under the radar players, you usually talk about being able to get them on the cheap. Going $22m on an under the radar player sounds ridiculous to me.


Redick's top salary was $7M and he was a role player at best. Certainly under the radar last year as a free agent. No one expected him to get $23M. Why would the sixers waste money doing this?? What is their logic? Throwing away money?

KCP's top salary was $3.6M and starter averaging 13pts on a losing team. Another under the radar free agent last year. Instead he got $18M from the Lakers. Why??

Two teams with young, promising players (Lakes and Sixers) needed a few things.

1) Short term contracts to preserve cap space for the following season.
2) A veteran presence to help the young guys win
3) Big contracts to move in a trade for a legit star. Otherwise they would have to include too many of their young players to get salaries to match.
4) No body has a lot of dead space anymore. The cap floor is about $90M and the cap is $99M so about $9M million max of dead space. Suns don't have that much ... only $6M this year. No team would ever have enough dead space to absorb a max contract of a superstar. You have to have big contracts to keep from moving too many players.

I doubt anyone thinks that Redick or KCP are super elite players and deserving of max or near max money. Those two were being knowingly used by GMs to make possible deals in return for big paydays.

I never said Dedmon is an elite player just that he has some skills at the position that might fit in our team and actually could help us next year. Certainly better than stone-hand Len and old-man Chandler and probably better than a rookie prospect big man that takes a year or two to develop.


SVG let KCP walk...because he didn't want to deal with Rich Paul's demands. He thinks he's worth a lot. Both Redick and KCP are extremely good at what they do... Redick is a great shooter (what Philly desperately needed) and KCP is a great defender. They didn't sign these guys to trade them. You don't sign guys on good faith one year contracts.

As a matter of fact, I don't even think you are allowed to trade guys on one year contracts without their approval...kind of like Len right now...same with Mirotic being able to nix his trade to NO unless Chicago picked up second year option before trade.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1289 » by lilfishi22 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:34 am

bwgood77 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:I'll say this, generally when we talk about under the radar players, you usually talk about being able to get them on the cheap. Going $22m on an under the radar player sounds ridiculous to me.


Redick's top salary was $7M and he was a role player at best. Certainly under the radar last year as a free agent. No one expected him to get $23M. Why would the sixers waste money doing this?? What is their logic? Throwing away money?

KCP's top salary was $3.6M and starter averaging 13pts on a losing team. Another under the radar free agent last year. Instead he got $18M from the Lakers. Why??

Two teams with young, promising players (Lakes and Sixers) needed a few things.

1) Short term contracts to preserve cap space for the following season.
2) A veteran presence to help the young guys win
3) Big contracts to move in a trade for a legit star. Otherwise they would have to include too many of their young players to get salaries to match.
4) No body has a lot of dead space anymore. The cap floor is about $90M and the cap is $99M so about $9M million max of dead space. Suns don't have that much ... only $6M this year. No team would ever have enough dead space to absorb a max contract of a superstar. You have to have big contracts to keep from moving too many players.

I doubt anyone thinks that Redick or KCP are super elite players and deserving of max or near max money. Those two were being knowingly used by GMs to make possible deals in return for big paydays.

I never said Dedmon is an elite player just that he has some skills at the position that might fit in our team and actually could help us next year. Certainly better than stone-hand Len and old-man Chandler and probably better than a rookie prospect big man that takes a year or two to develop.


SVG let KCP walk...because he didn't want to deal with Rich Paul's demands. He thinks he's worth a lot. Both Redick and KCP are extremely good at what they do... Redick is a great shooter (what Philly desperately needed) and KCP is a great defender. They didn't sign these guys to trade them. You don't sign guys on good faith one year contracts.

As a matter of fact, I don't even think you are allowed to trade guys on one year contracts without their approval...kind of like Len right now...same with Mirotic being able to nix his trade to NO unless Chicago picked up second year option before trade.

Players on one year deals can be traded without their approval. It's all to do with Bird/Early Bird rights. Players on a one year deal don't get those rights so they can be traded without their approval. Len is a bit different because even though he's signed a qualifying offer it's still part of his original rookie deal which comes with Bird Rights. He can only be traded if he consents because he'll loses his Bird Rights.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1290 » by Waylay13 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:34 am

DRK wrote:Shot blocking is the most overrated stat in basketball.

Granted, I havent done much research into this year’s crop of prospects, but in the modern NBA I value much more a big man’s ability to switch onto guards on the perimeter than block shots.

What this team needs is a physical big man, who is athletic and can finish at a high rate at the rim. A team can have all the floor spacing in the world, but if you dont have a player that can finish 1v1 under the basket, your offensive system will never be efficient as defences wont respect the roll, and wont bother to help the roll man defender, thus allowing open shooters.


Can Ayton be our next Amare?


players with the ability to finish at the rim , you mean like Warren, JJ and even Booker if the path to the rim isnt blocked with a big man?
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1291 » by bigfoot » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:38 am

lilfishi22 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:I'll say this, generally when we talk about under the radar players, you usually talk about being able to get them on the cheap. Going $22m on an under the radar player sounds ridiculous to me.


Redick's top salary was $7M and he was a role player at best. Certainly under the radar last year as a free agent. No one expected him to get $23M. Why would the sixers waste money doing this?? What is their logic? Throwing away money?

KCP's top salary was $3.6M and starter averaging 13pts on a losing team. Another under the radar free agent last year. Instead he got $18M from the Lakers. Why??

Two teams with young, promising players (Lakes and Sixers) needed a few things.

1) Short term contracts to preserve cap space for the following season. - fair enough but why $22m to one player?
2) A veteran presence to help the young guys win - I'm sure you can get that for less than $22m
3) Big contracts to move in a trade for a legit star. Otherwise they would have to include too many of their young players to get salaries to match. - Sounds reasonable but I haven't seen much evidence of this. If a star is traded, very rarely is a $20m expiring contract moved. Also spending $22m on the off chance a legit star becomes available isn't really a good reason to spend $22m
4) No body has a lot of dead space anymore. The cap floor is about $90M and the cap is $99M so about $9M million max of dead space. Suns don't have that much ... only $6M this year. No team would ever have enough dead space to absorb a max contract of a superstar. You have to have big contracts to keep from moving too many players. - This doesn't make sense. If we're going to spend $22m of our cap space (I don't even know if we have that) on player, why wouldn't we just use that cap space to absorb players? Spending $22m on one player means you HAVE to move at least $22m in a trade. What if the team doesn't want to move $22m+ because it means they need to throw in players they still need? I think they'd rather have cap space than a $22m expiring.

I doubt anyone thinks that Redick or KCP are super elite players and deserving of max or near max money. Those two were being knowingly used by GMs to make possible deals in return for big paydays.

I never said Dedmon is an elite player just that he has some skills at the position that might fit in our team and actually could help us next year. Certainly better than stone-hand Len and old-man Chandler and probably better than a rookie prospect big man that takes a year or two to develop.

Those are two extreme examples, neither of which gives a good or logical reason to give Dedmon, of all players $22 million dollars. LA did it to gain favor with Rich Paul/Lebron while Philly did it to reach the salary cap floor.

This isn't about whether Dedmon is elite or not, it's the merit and sense in spending $22m on one guy.


Dedmon is stretch 5. Contrary to what other people think they are not a dime a dozen in the NBA. In fact there are probably less than 10 centers who take a decent number of three pointers and hit better than a third of them (.333). Dedmon hits .380 this year which is number three in the league behind Horford and KAT. Look if the Suns can get him for $15M on a one year contract sure. But we have to replace Bledsoe's(Monroe's) and Len's salary with someone this summer to meet the cap floor and do it within the constraints of our roster size which is at 15 already this summer including the 2 rookie contracts being added. And then we have to be realistic that Gordon and Capela are gonna be matched and that Lebron/George/Cousins are staying put or going to the Lakers/Sixers.
If your building a big board for free agents it shouldn't include any of the legit stars or the two RFAs.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1292 » by bigfoot » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:42 am

Waylay13 wrote:
DRK wrote:Shot blocking is the most overrated stat in basketball.

Granted, I havent done much research into this year’s crop of prospects, but in the modern NBA I value much more a big man’s ability to switch onto guards on the perimeter than block shots.

What this team needs is a physical big man, who is athletic and can finish at a high rate at the rim. A team can have all the floor spacing in the world, but if you dont have a player that can finish 1v1 under the basket, your offensive system will never be efficient as defences wont respect the roll, and wont bother to help the roll man defender, thus allowing open shooters.


Can Ayton be our next Amare?


players with the ability to finish at the rim , you mean like Warren, JJ and even Booker if the path to the rim isnt blocked with a big man?


This is exactly one of the reasons to have stretch 4's and 5's. For example, Bender and Dedmon camping on the three point line opens up the lane for Warren, JJ, and Booker. It also allows for pick and pop if both the guard and big cover the ball handler.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1293 » by AtheJ415 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:49 am

bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
Redick's top salary was $7M and he was a role player at best. Certainly under the radar last year as a free agent. No one expected him to get $23M. Why would the sixers waste money doing this?? What is their logic? Throwing away money?

KCP's top salary was $3.6M and starter averaging 13pts on a losing team. Another under the radar free agent last year. Instead he got $18M from the Lakers. Why??

Two teams with young, promising players (Lakes and Sixers) needed a few things.

1) Short term contracts to preserve cap space for the following season. - fair enough but why $22m to one player?
2) A veteran presence to help the young guys win - I'm sure you can get that for less than $22m
3) Big contracts to move in a trade for a legit star. Otherwise they would have to include too many of their young players to get salaries to match. - Sounds reasonable but I haven't seen much evidence of this. If a star is traded, very rarely is a $20m expiring contract moved. Also spending $22m on the off chance a legit star becomes available isn't really a good reason to spend $22m
4) No body has a lot of dead space anymore. The cap floor is about $90M and the cap is $99M so about $9M million max of dead space. Suns don't have that much ... only $6M this year. No team would ever have enough dead space to absorb a max contract of a superstar. You have to have big contracts to keep from moving too many players. - This doesn't make sense. If we're going to spend $22m of our cap space (I don't even know if we have that) on player, why wouldn't we just use that cap space to absorb players? Spending $22m on one player means you HAVE to move at least $22m in a trade. What if the team doesn't want to move $22m+ because it means they need to throw in players they still need? I think they'd rather have cap space than a $22m expiring.

I doubt anyone thinks that Redick or KCP are super elite players and deserving of max or near max money. Those two were being knowingly used by GMs to make possible deals in return for big paydays.

I never said Dedmon is an elite player just that he has some skills at the position that might fit in our team and actually could help us next year. Certainly better than stone-hand Len and old-man Chandler and probably better than a rookie prospect big man that takes a year or two to develop.

Those are two extreme examples, neither of which gives a good or logical reason to give Dedmon, of all players $22 million dollars. LA did it to gain favor with Rich Paul/Lebron while Philly did it to reach the salary cap floor.

This isn't about whether Dedmon is elite or not, it's the merit and sense in spending $22m on one guy.


Dedmon is stretch 5. Contrary to what other people think they are not a dime a dozen in the NBA. In fact there are probably less than 10 centers who take a decent number of three pointers and hit better than a third of them (.333). Dedmon hits .380 this year which is number three in the league behind Horford and KAT. Look if the Suns can get him for $15M on a one year contract sure. But we have to replace Bledsoe's(Monroe's) and Len's salary with someone this summer to meet the cap floor and do it within the constraints of our roster size which is at 15 already this summer including the 2 rookie contracts being added. And then we have to be realistic that Gordon and Capela are gonna be matched and that Lebron/George/Cousins are staying put or going to the Lakers/Sixers.
If your building a big board for free agents it shouldn't include any of the legit stars or the two RFAs.


This is flawed because there are many players in today's NBA who have the ability to, and often do, play center and shoot 3s. Even PJ freaking Tucker plays center on Houston and shoots 3s a bunch. Draymond does it in GS. Having Dedmon on the court simply because he can do that and shoot 3s, despite not really being good at anything else, is not smart, let alone paying him $22 mil for that option.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1294 » by bwgood77 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:51 am

bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
Redick's top salary was $7M and he was a role player at best. Certainly under the radar last year as a free agent. No one expected him to get $23M. Why would the sixers waste money doing this?? What is their logic? Throwing away money?

KCP's top salary was $3.6M and starter averaging 13pts on a losing team. Another under the radar free agent last year. Instead he got $18M from the Lakers. Why??

Two teams with young, promising players (Lakes and Sixers) needed a few things.

1) Short term contracts to preserve cap space for the following season. - fair enough but why $22m to one player?
2) A veteran presence to help the young guys win - I'm sure you can get that for less than $22m
3) Big contracts to move in a trade for a legit star. Otherwise they would have to include too many of their young players to get salaries to match. - Sounds reasonable but I haven't seen much evidence of this. If a star is traded, very rarely is a $20m expiring contract moved. Also spending $22m on the off chance a legit star becomes available isn't really a good reason to spend $22m
4) No body has a lot of dead space anymore. The cap floor is about $90M and the cap is $99M so about $9M million max of dead space. Suns don't have that much ... only $6M this year. No team would ever have enough dead space to absorb a max contract of a superstar. You have to have big contracts to keep from moving too many players. - This doesn't make sense. If we're going to spend $22m of our cap space (I don't even know if we have that) on player, why wouldn't we just use that cap space to absorb players? Spending $22m on one player means you HAVE to move at least $22m in a trade. What if the team doesn't want to move $22m+ because it means they need to throw in players they still need? I think they'd rather have cap space than a $22m expiring.

I doubt anyone thinks that Redick or KCP are super elite players and deserving of max or near max money. Those two were being knowingly used by GMs to make possible deals in return for big paydays.

I never said Dedmon is an elite player just that he has some skills at the position that might fit in our team and actually could help us next year. Certainly better than stone-hand Len and old-man Chandler and probably better than a rookie prospect big man that takes a year or two to develop.

Those are two extreme examples, neither of which gives a good or logical reason to give Dedmon, of all players $22 million dollars. LA did it to gain favor with Rich Paul/Lebron while Philly did it to reach the salary cap floor.

This isn't about whether Dedmon is elite or not, it's the merit and sense in spending $22m on one guy.


Dedmon is stretch 5. Contrary to what other people think they are not a dime a dozen in the NBA. In fact there are probably less than 10 centers who take a decent number of three pointers and hit better than a third of them (.333). Dedmon hits .380 this year which is number three in the league behind Horford and KAT. Look if the Suns can get him for $15M on a one year contract sure. But we have to replace Bledsoe's(Monroe's) and Len's salary with someone this summer to meet the cap floor and do it within the constraints of our roster size which is at 15 already this summer including the 2 rookie contracts being added. And then we have to be realistic that Gordon and Capela are gonna be matched and that Lebron/George/Cousins are staying put or going to the Lakers/Sixers.
If your building a big board for free agents it shouldn't include any of the legit stars or the two RFAs.


It's a pretty limited sample size...he never shot 3s before this season (well, he shot 1, 1 season and missed) and he's only shot 71 this season, making 27. So he's made 27 three pointers in his 5 years in the league so I don't know if I'd be totally confident in calling him a stretch 5. I mean he is doing it in a very limited way this year at 1.7 attempts per game.

Bender has over double the volume and has hit 81 (3x as many) 3 pointers on a higher percentage.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1295 » by KLEON » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:59 am

What do you guys think about Kyle Anderson?
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1296 » by AtheJ415 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 4:00 am

Also, Dedmon isn't even the best 3 point shooting center on Atlanta. Muscala is a career 40% 3 point shooter. Anthony Tolliver is still rocking 41.2% from 3 this year. We have a guy in Alec Peters who can probably be around 35% worst case making next to nothing.

I mean, if this were so key, we could simply use Peters and Bender as our 5s, and Atlanta would be doing a hell of a lot better with Dedmon and Muscala.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1297 » by sunsbum » Mon Feb 12, 2018 4:05 am

DRK wrote:Shot blocking is the most overrated stat in basketball.

Granted, I havent done much research into this year’s crop of prospects, but in the modern NBA I value much more a big man’s ability to switch onto guards on the perimeter than block shots.

What this team needs is a physical big man, who is athletic and can finish at a high rate at the rim. A team can have all the floor spacing in the world, but if you dont have a player that can finish 1v1 under the basket, your offensive system will never be efficient as defences wont respect the roll, and wont bother to help the roll man defender, thus allowing open shooters.


Can Ayton be our next Amare?


I disagree with shotblocking be the most overrated stat. I'm sitting here watching the blazers turning away from shots inside against Utah because Gobert is literally just standing there, he could be checking a babe out on the sideline not even paying attention to whats going on in front of him and he changes the game. We are a weak rebounding team as well so saying canceling out a somewhat traditional center also potentially gives the other team more posessions. I think a lot of centers coming out this year like Ayton, Bamba and Carter Jr are kind of viewed as traditional C's, but still offer some of the intangibles it takes to play in the modern nba.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1298 » by thamadkant » Mon Feb 12, 2018 4:32 am

Dedmon is not what the Suns need at this time. They need a high impact center not just an OK one.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1299 » by lilfishi22 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 4:40 am

bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
Redick's top salary was $7M and he was a role player at best. Certainly under the radar last year as a free agent. No one expected him to get $23M. Why would the sixers waste money doing this?? What is their logic? Throwing away money?

KCP's top salary was $3.6M and starter averaging 13pts on a losing team. Another under the radar free agent last year. Instead he got $18M from the Lakers. Why??

Two teams with young, promising players (Lakes and Sixers) needed a few things.

1) Short term contracts to preserve cap space for the following season. - fair enough but why $22m to one player?
2) A veteran presence to help the young guys win - I'm sure you can get that for less than $22m
3) Big contracts to move in a trade for a legit star. Otherwise they would have to include too many of their young players to get salaries to match. - Sounds reasonable but I haven't seen much evidence of this. If a star is traded, very rarely is a $20m expiring contract moved. Also spending $22m on the off chance a legit star becomes available isn't really a good reason to spend $22m
4) No body has a lot of dead space anymore. The cap floor is about $90M and the cap is $99M so about $9M million max of dead space. Suns don't have that much ... only $6M this year. No team would ever have enough dead space to absorb a max contract of a superstar. You have to have big contracts to keep from moving too many players. - This doesn't make sense. If we're going to spend $22m of our cap space (I don't even know if we have that) on player, why wouldn't we just use that cap space to absorb players? Spending $22m on one player means you HAVE to move at least $22m in a trade. What if the team doesn't want to move $22m+ because it means they need to throw in players they still need? I think they'd rather have cap space than a $22m expiring.

I doubt anyone thinks that Redick or KCP are super elite players and deserving of max or near max money. Those two were being knowingly used by GMs to make possible deals in return for big paydays.

I never said Dedmon is an elite player just that he has some skills at the position that might fit in our team and actually could help us next year. Certainly better than stone-hand Len and old-man Chandler and probably better than a rookie prospect big man that takes a year or two to develop.

Those are two extreme examples, neither of which gives a good or logical reason to give Dedmon, of all players $22 million dollars. LA did it to gain favor with Rich Paul/Lebron while Philly did it to reach the salary cap floor.

This isn't about whether Dedmon is elite or not, it's the merit and sense in spending $22m on one guy.


Dedmon is stretch 5. Contrary to what other people think they are not a dime a dozen in the NBA. In fact there are probably less than 10 centers who take a decent number of three pointers and hit better than a third of them (.333). Dedmon hits .380 this year which is number three in the league behind Horford and KAT. Look if the Suns can get him for $15M on a one year contract sure. But we have to replace Bledsoe's(Monroe's) and Len's salary with someone this summer to meet the cap floor and do it within the constraints of our roster size which is at 15 already this summer including the 2 rookie contracts being added. And then we have to be realistic that Gordon and Capela are gonna be matched and that Lebron/George/Cousins are staying put or going to the Lakers/Sixers.
If your building a big board for free agents it shouldn't include any of the legit stars or the two RFAs.

I get the appeal of Dedmon, I really do. But spending $22m on the off chance a superstar becomes available and said team actually wants to move $22m or more worth of assets is not a good way to spend money.

The cap floor for 2019 should be around $97m (based on $108m salary cap), with Len renounced, our 1st round picks (around $8m combined) and Payton resigned for $8m, that leaves us with less than $5m to hit the cap floor. Certainly don't need a $15-22m player to reach it.

Guys on contract next season:
Knight, Chandler, TJ, Dudley, Jackson, Williams (non-guaranteed), Bender, Booker, Daniels, Chriss, Ulis (non-guaranteed), Reed (non-guaranteed) and 2 first rounders. That's 14, leaving us with one spot. Ulis, Reed and Williams are all non-guaranteed roster spots which can be cut fairly easily to create space should we want to sign players in FA.

In my view, If you must have Dedmon, I'd go $10m for Dedmon for 2 years giving us his Early Bird Rights and his services for two years so we have some continuity and a $10m expiring the season after. If it doesn't get it done, then whatever. Onto the next.
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Re: Season Speculation, Trade Ideas & Discussion Pt. 6 

Post#1300 » by lilfishi22 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 5:00 am

sunsbum wrote:
DRK wrote:Shot blocking is the most overrated stat in basketball.

Granted, I havent done much research into this year’s crop of prospects, but in the modern NBA I value much more a big man’s ability to switch onto guards on the perimeter than block shots.

What this team needs is a physical big man, who is athletic and can finish at a high rate at the rim. A team can have all the floor spacing in the world, but if you dont have a player that can finish 1v1 under the basket, your offensive system will never be efficient as defences wont respect the roll, and wont bother to help the roll man defender, thus allowing open shooters.


Can Ayton be our next Amare?


I disagree with shotblocking be the most overrated stat. I'm sitting here watching the blazers turning away from shots inside against Utah because Gobert is literally just standing there, he could be checking a babe out on the sideline not even paying attention to whats going on in front of him and he changes the game. We are a weak rebounding team as well so saying canceling out a somewhat traditional center also potentially gives the other team more posessions. I think a lot of centers coming out this year like Ayton, Bamba and Carter Jr are kind of viewed as traditional C's, but still offer some of the intangibles it takes to play in the modern nba.
I wouldn't say it's totally overrated because they do have an impact but I would say it's largely overshadowed by the impact of bigs who can switch and defend the PnR. Today's NBA consist of a lot of PnR and using PnR's to draw our interior defenders which makes shot blocking less of a factor while being able to defend the guards on the switch out a lot more important.

Gobert is a DPOY candidate almost every year because of his shot blocking and also because of his ability to use his length and foots peed to switch out on the PnR. Bender probably isn't going to be an elite shot blocker but his ability to guard the perimeter on switch outs is a highly valued skill. IMO if I had to choose between a big who can block shots or a guy who can switch out, I'd take the big who can switch out.

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