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Trade Deadline Countdown....December 2015

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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#181 » by bwgood77 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 6:16 am

Barkley_34 wrote:
AtheJ415 wrote:I'll add this too, for those questioning whether experience can really make guys turn the ball over less or pass better:

Both Knight and Bledsoe this year have lower turnover %'s. Look at their career TO%'s and they clearly show a declining trend. Bledsoe's assist %'s also clearly show a positive trend. Knight's assist % is down, but he's playing the 2 now as opposed to the 1, so I expect that.

I see the same trends with Goran, Steph, Rubio, Lowry, Nash (up until he became really, really old, at which point it reversed),in their year to year numbers. Only really Chris Paul of the people I saw showed little improvement, but that's likely because he is an unusual passer who came right into the league at an elite level. So this idea that guys are born with a high or low IQ, imo, is faulty. There are some specific scenarios where that holds (Javale McGee, possibly Devin Booker on the good side, Rick Carlisle as a player even), but overall guys usually learn how to avoid turnovers and get better at passing via experience, playing, and coaching.



I really like your posts, very aware and without hatred. Only the actual analysis. As I said earlier, most of the fans have never seen the franchise go through this process to rebuild, which makes the sentimental analysis, this even more difficult. Please continue posting.


I agree. GMAT is that way as well, so I found it interesting when they were debating, both with well reasoned thoughts, and really, no strawman arguments. Anyway, carry on.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#182 » by bwgood77 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 6:21 am

SF88 wrote:
AtheJ415 wrote:Here's one for Warren:

http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=0&p1=warretj01&y1=2016&p2=parkeja01&y2=2016&y3=2013&p3=haywago01&p4=tuckepj01&y4=2016&p5=georgpa01&y5=2013&p6=leonaka01&y6=2014


He's nearly identical to Hayward in some key areas. Also, this further questions how in the hell he sees fewer minutes than Tucker at any point.

Crazy that for being as much of a non 3pt shooter as he is, Warren's only made 7 less 3s than Tucker...despite playing over 100 minutes less :lol:


He's actually been solid from 3 this year. Hasn't shot it much, but more recently. But likely because the coaches said he will get a chance to start when he starts showing ability to hit the 3. And he has. Thus he starts.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#183 » by bwgood77 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 6:25 am

TASTIC wrote:How about the Blazers?

Could we get Harkless + Leonard for Kieff? Neither guy has delivered on their potential though both would be after a sizeable raise I suspect.

I just can't see us getting a deal where the majority of Suns fans are happy. Casual fans will likely be like 'WTF is that all?!' whereas realists like readers of this forum will probably understand the reality that his value is only slightly higher than mine! Haha


I think Portland has tried VERY hard to rid the Jailblazers nickname so I don't see a Kieff to the Blazers trade happening.
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Re: RE: Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#184 » by jredsaz » Sat Dec 26, 2015 6:26 am

alphagorilla wrote:If we choose to blow it up here are some ideas.

Bledsoe for Peyton/Oladipo and Aaron Gordon

Kieff for Noah Vonleh

Chandler and Archie for Jokim Noah

Brandon Knight for Kmart and top3 protected 2016


Peyton/Price
Booker/Kmart
Warren/PJ
Gordon/Vonleh
Len/Noah

Its a major change and not all of them need to happen to move forward. We would suck but we do that already, so no harm.


I have been thinking about a Bledsoe to Orlando trade since the Jazz game. Lol.

Idk if the value is there for Gordon plus.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#185 » by bwgood77 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 6:42 am

SF88 wrote:I'm watching this Spurs-Rockets game and my goodness, Corey Brewer makes so many dumb plays and is such a frustrating player. No where Rockets fans despise this guy so much.


I was thinking Rockets fans did despise him. You don't think they do anywhere?

Taking a page out of RunDogGun's book, though I didn't add the :-o .
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#186 » by Kerrsed » Sat Dec 26, 2015 7:21 am

Chandler/Tucker/Morris to OKC for Kanter/Waiters/McGary
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#187 » by theSUNalsoRISES » Sat Dec 26, 2015 7:24 am

Well Portis wont be heading our way, the last few games he has showed some real potential with noah out. Wonder how hollis Jefferson is going?. The nets are all in by default. Maybe another "local" product the stanimal. Detroit might be thinking they are one piece from being a serious contender.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#188 » by bwgood77 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 7:37 am

Kerrsed wrote:Chandler/Tucker/Morris to OKC for Kanter/Waiters/McGary


Them going to OKC is really interesting. Chandler there seems perfect for them. Big problem though is that we would HAVE to take Kanter back and he is good offensively, but you don't want him playing too many minutes since he has shown that teams get outscored with him on the floor. They'd have to cough up picks I think or something because despite the fact they are taking Tyson's contract, we are probably taking a worse one. Waiters and McGary don't do much for me. I can't imagine I'd rather have Waiters playing than Booker, and McGary, don't know enough about....good in college, guessing he plays out a rookie contract and moves on to another career but I haven't heard any buzz about the guy.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#189 » by AtheJ415 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 8:15 am

I'd prefer dumping everyone on Brooklyn over taking Kanter. He's like a 0.1 value above replacement guy (so basically he's a neutral effect player) getting a max deal. That would scare me. I'd also prefer Jones over him if that was still on the table.

His D is just so so bad. That's actually the thing that concerns me with Knight most--that his D hasn't improved really over his career. Both are still really young, but for Knight it should be fairly easy to improve a lot on D given how bad he is right now. The fact that he hasn't is concerning.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#190 » by bwgood77 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 8:25 am

AtheJ415 wrote:I'd prefer dumping everyone on Brooklyn over taking Kanter. He's like a 0.1 value above replacement guy (so basically he's a neutral effect player) getting a max deal. That would scare me. I'd also prefer Jones over him if that was still on the table.


Oh yeah, we just need to get Jones. It seems like that is it. If we can just let Lawson expire with a Kieff/Tucker swap for Lawson and him I guess either they are hoping for more for Lawson or we are hoping for more for Tucker, but if that's the case, the hands could fold soon. Probably better than waiting for Brewer if we can cut the money in 2016, thought that might be the same reason they want to wait. McD better time it right when he bluffs and says he has another offer he is about to take unless we can get it done now (obviously hugely hypothetical).
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#191 » by Kerrsed » Sat Dec 26, 2015 9:16 am

AtheJ415 wrote:I'd prefer dumping everyone on Brooklyn over taking Kanter. He's like a 0.1 value above replacement guy (so basically he's a neutral effect player) getting a max deal. That would scare me. I'd also prefer Jones over him if that was still on the table.


I'd take Kanter/Waiters for Chandler/Tucker in a heartbeat.

Kanter is averaging 11/9 in 20 minutes with a PER of 23.3.
Chandler is averaging 4.5/7 in 19 minutes with a PER of 10.6

So, i will take those stats for a mere $3M more than we are paying Chandler.

Kanter is 10 years younger than Chandler and has only been in the League for 4 years. Lets also remember what college he went to (Kentucky!). Sure, he is a weak defender, but so like 75% of our team. My idea would to throw him in as our starting PF next to Len.

Trade Morris/Leuer to Toronto for Biyombo/Bennett/Johnson

Then trade Knight for some young talent that has yet to be realized and/or a pick or two.


Bledsoe/Goodwin
Booker/Waiters
Warren/Johnson
Kanter/Bennett
Len/Biyombo

Draft Labissiere with our pick and Gary Payton II with a late 1st.

Its time to start over with a group of youngsters and give them plenty of minutes to develop. Develop our own guys instead of trying to trade/sign already developed players from other teams that will command a hefty price.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#192 » by letsgosuns » Sat Dec 26, 2015 9:17 am

Phoenix Suns Insider ‏@InsiderSuns 9h9 hours ago
Suns News: Tyson Chandler had a meeting with Suns management yesterday to discuss his thoughts on the teams play and direction of the team.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#193 » by Kerrsed » Sat Dec 26, 2015 9:28 am

letsgosuns wrote:Phoenix Suns Insider ‏@InsiderSuns 9h9 hours ago
Suns News: Tyson Chandler had a meeting with Suns management yesterday to discuss his thoughts on the teams play and direction of the team.


He's good as gone, as the "direction of the team" will not be including him. You dont come in to have a meeting on Christmas and it be good.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#194 » by Revived » Sat Dec 26, 2015 9:30 am

Kerrsed do you like Dion Waiters?

He's a poor man's Gerald Green...think Shannon Brown without the athleticism...
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#195 » by Revived » Sat Dec 26, 2015 9:31 am

Kerrsed wrote:
letsgosuns wrote:Phoenix Suns Insider ‏@InsiderSuns 9h9 hours ago
Suns News: Tyson Chandler had a meeting with Suns management yesterday to discuss his thoughts on the teams play and direction of the team.


He's good as gone, as the "direction of the team" will not be including him. You dont come in to have a meeting on Christmas and it be good.

Maybe they couldn't find a step ladder and just needed someone to help decorate the top of the Christmas tree....
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#196 » by Qwigglez » Sat Dec 26, 2015 9:38 am

Suns get-
Brook Lopez

Nets get-
Tyson Chandler
Brandon Jennings
Archie Goodwin
Rights to Bogdan Bogdanovic
Cleveland 1st 2016
Pistons 1st 2017 (top 16 protected)

Pistons get-
Markieff Morris

I've mentioned this before but I feel like the Suns could have a good system if we just had an inside presence on offense. Brook Lopez is probably a top 5 post player in the league, and he can also hit the mid-range jumper pretty consistently as well. I've watched several Nets games last year and Brook is actually a decent PnR player and that is something the Suns are severely lacking. I really like the idea of running 4 wide 1 inside, and if we can just get that post player we might be able to make a push for the playoffs this year at the very least.

I can't see why the Nets would do this realistically except maybe thinking Goodwin turns into gold and or brothers Bogdanovic turn into European Splash bros. The picks are nice since they don't have any, and Jennings might surprise people too.

What's your guys take on Brook Lopez? Too slow for our system? If he was attainable would you guys want him for that asking price (and salary)?
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#197 » by Kerrsed » Sat Dec 26, 2015 9:43 am

SF88 wrote:Kerrsed do you like Dion Waiters?

He's a poor man's Gerald Green...think Shannon Brown without the athleticism...


I think he has gotten a bum rap. Everyone expects the world of him because of him being drafted #1, but he was taken too high and should have fell to the 5-10 range. I dont see a poor mans Gerald Green, as he doesnt really have the 3 point shot, but i still do see the poor mans Wade that he was given prior to the draft. Maybe even a rich mans Goodwin. He barrels into the paint and likes to take it to the rim. He is also a above-average defender, and i think he just needs minutes to develop a bit more to really prove to people that he can play.

Im just looking around the league at undervalued youngsters that havent reached or shown their full potential yet, and Waiters fits that category for me. I think he has something to prove and really wants to.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#198 » by AtheJ415 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 10:10 am

Kerrsed wrote:
AtheJ415 wrote:I'd prefer dumping everyone on Brooklyn over taking Kanter. He's like a 0.1 value above replacement guy (so basically he's a neutral effect player) getting a max deal. That would scare me. I'd also prefer Jones over him if that was still on the table.


I'd take Kanter/Waiters for Chandler/Tucker in a heartbeat.

Kanter is averaging 11/9 in 20 minutes with a PER of 23.3.
Chandler is averaging 4.5/7 in 19 minutes with a PER of 10.6

So, i will take those stats for a mere $3M more than we are paying Chandler.

Kanter is 10 years younger than Chandler and has only been in the League for 4 years. Lets also remember what college he went to (Kentucky!). Sure, he is a weak defender, but so like 75% of our team. My idea would to throw him in as our starting PF next to Len.

Trade Morris/Leuer to Toronto for Biyombo/Bennett/Johnson

Then trade Knight for some young talent that has yet to be realized and/or a pick or two.


Bledsoe/Goodwin
Booker/Waiters
Warren/Johnson
Kanter/Bennett
Len/Biyombo

Draft Labissiere with our pick and Gary Payton II with a late 1st.

Its time to start over with a group of youngsters and give them plenty of minutes to develop. Develop our own guys instead of trying to trade/sign already developed players from other teams that will command a hefty price.


With Kanter, he's a great offensive talent, but I'm not a huge fan of PER because in my mind it undersells defense. Winshares and Value above replacement are better stats in my opinion, and both seem to show that Kanter's defense nearly outweighs his offense. So we're paying a max contract for a guy who just barely helps us win compared to a replacement player in that scenario. That's what happens when you're the worst defender in the NBA (and that's what Kanter has been over the last few seasons). I don't think the fact that the rest of the team sucks defensively warrants excusing that. The real question would be, does he have the ability and/or desire to improve on that end? I haven't seen it yet. He's not really a leaper, so I'd question his rim protection potential even if he focused on that end.

I completely agree on tearing it down and building around additional youth, but I want us to build around more 2 way players. And lately the development of guys like Green, Butler, and Leonard make me think defense first with the coordination to become good offensive players may be the way to go, particularly given our young talent is already offensive heavy between Knight, Warren, and Booker. To me, Len and Bledsoe are, or at least have shown the ability to be, 2 way players. Bledsoe's D is down this year, but he's defended in the past and I think he will play good defense again. I agree I'd rather have a 24 year old than Chandler, but if he can net Kanter he can net a pick instead from someone, which wouldn't cost us a max deal that I don't think the player is worth. Hell, we could trade him for just an expiring and then max out Jones or DMo, both of which I'd prefer to Kanter, and both of which have stronger advanced numbers aside from PER.

Waiters is a crazy chucker with a low effective FG% who performs very much below replacement level. I would rather just cut PJ and eat the partially guaranteed money for next year.

I want young guys with upside. I'd take Kanter if not for his contract, but I don't see Waiters as having any real upside. I think his height will be as a replacement level player.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#199 » by AtheJ415 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 10:11 am

Kerrsed wrote:
letsgosuns wrote:Phoenix Suns Insider ‏@InsiderSuns 9h9 hours ago
Suns News: Tyson Chandler had a meeting with Suns management yesterday to discuss his thoughts on the teams play and direction of the team.


He's good as gone, as the "direction of the team" will not be including him. You dont come in to have a meeting on Christmas and it be good.


I hope that's the case. He's very much a misfit now given how the season has gone. Here's to hoping we can net a 1st rounder for him from somebody who needs interior defense now.
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Re: Trade Deadline Countdown....What will we do? What should we do? 

Post#200 » by AtheJ415 » Sat Dec 26, 2015 10:17 am

Kerrsed wrote:
SF88 wrote:Kerrsed do you like Dion Waiters?

He's a poor man's Gerald Green...think Shannon Brown without the athleticism...


I think he has gotten a bum rap. Everyone expects the world of him because of him being drafted #1, but he was taken too high and should have fell to the 5-10 range. I dont see a poor mans Gerald Green, as he doesnt really have the 3 point shot, but i still do see the poor mans Wade that he was given prior to the draft. Maybe even a rich mans Goodwin. He barrels into the paint and likes to take it to the rim. He is also a above-average defender, and i think he just needs minutes to develop a bit more to really prove to people that he can play.

Im just looking around the league at undervalued youngsters that havent reached or shown their full potential yet, and Waiters fits that category for me. I think he has something to prove and really wants to.


http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/w/waitedi01.html

I agree he was drafted too high, and that he's been hammered more because of it, but I don't see how he's a good defender or a poor man's Wade. His shooting efficiency is really poor, and he's never had even a neutral ORtg-DRtg gap. His defensive box +/- and offensive box +/- have never been positive in 6 years of play. His career high was in his 2nd season as a 0.0 value above replacement. The only positive I can see is that he's currently having a career high win-share/48 season, but even then it's not an impressive number.

I think he would absolutely have to transform his game to be worth even the qualifying offer he's slated to get.

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