ImageImageImage

2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins

Moderators: bwgood77, lilfishi22, Qwigglez

What do you think our chances are of winning the West and the Championship if we win the West?

20-30% we win west, 70-80% someone else in field does
6
10%
30-40% we win west, 60-70% someone else in field does
12
19%
40-50% we win west, 50-60% someone else in field does
7
11%
Greater than 50% we win west, less than 50% someone else in field does
5
8%
IF we win west, 50/50 chance we win vs east team
17
27%
IF we win west, greater than 50% chance we win vs east team
8
13%
IF we win west, less than 50% chance we win vs east team
7
11%
 
Total votes: 62

User avatar
lilfishi22
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 36,399
And1: 24,737
Joined: Oct 16, 2007
Location: Australia

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2201 » by lilfishi22 » Sun Feb 19, 2023 1:13 am

Ghost of Kleine wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
Read on Twitter

Our reserve big rotation rivals these teams in terms of being underwhelming.


So If no Love (poor decision by him I think), We traded Saric for Bazely who we'll likely not play/develop much this season anyways. That leaves our big rotation as .......................................... Ayton/ Biyombo/ Landale. And our possible 4 rotation as KD/Warren/ Ish/ Craig/ Bazely???? We're gonna get destroyed by teams in the playoffs. Aside from maybe KD himself, not sure if any of those can reasonably defend the plethora of much bigger dominant postseason frontcourts we'll be facing in strategic matchups? We desperately need another quality frontcourt big who could rebound, provide weakside defense, and moderately space the floor. Love would've been great! But apparently he wants to prioritize lesser options to hopefully play with Westbrook? His loss obviously! :dontknow:

I think that's an exaggeration. It isn't like we don't have a really good playoff big man in DA.

So if we don't land Love, then yeah we don't improve out depth but I don't think it's all that bad given Biyombo is about as solid a back up big as you'll likely get and DA is a solid all-rounder. The only team with big C rotation are the Clippers, now that they've added Plumlee. Could add Wolves in there as well when Towns plays the C when Gobert is sitting. But overall it's not like there's any particularly scary C rotation out West.

Clippers could be an issue, Memphis could be an issue, Bucks could be an issue but we also present issues to them as well because of KD.
User avatar
NapoleonII
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,659
And1: 5,001
Joined: Aug 31, 2007

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2202 » by NapoleonII » Sun Feb 19, 2023 1:35 am

GuarANTEE we start to see some small-ball line-ups with KD at the 5.

A focused Ayton brings 35 mins at the C spot, you can definitely play small in selective spurts.

Payne
Sham-wow
D. Lee
Craig/Okogie
KD

Can put up points in a hurry and still get stops/rebounds.
User avatar
Qwigglez
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 21,593
And1: 14,867
Joined: Jul 10, 2009
Contact:
     

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2203 » by Qwigglez » Sun Feb 19, 2023 2:11 am

Ghost of Kleine wrote:
So If no Love (poor decision by him I think), We traded Saric for Bazely who we'll likely not play/develop much this season anyways. That leaves our big rotation as .......................................... Ayton/ Biyombo/ Landale. And our possible 4 rotation as KD/Warren/ Ish/ Craig/ Bazely???? We're gonna get destroyed by teams in the playoffs. Aside from maybe KD himself, not sure if any of those can reasonably defend the plethora of much bigger dominant postseason frontcourts we'll be facing in strategic matchups? We desperately need another quality frontcourt big who could rebound, provide weakside defense, and moderately space the floor. Love would've been great! But apparently he wants to prioritize lesser options to hopefully play with Westbrook? His loss obviously! :dontknow:


Our C/PF rotation is fine. The narrative that bigger teams punish smaller teams in the playoffs is an exaggeration. This isn't 1990's basketball, and in the playoffs teams don't suddenly change scripts and try to change their entire offensive scheme. I do want to mention that teams should remain flexible in having the ability to change their offense, but I think the Suns will be the most versatile team to do that come playoff time.

Also, what teams are going to destroy the Suns because the Suns are smaller? The top team in the West have Jokic, and then 6'8 Aaron Gordon and 6'8 Michael Porter Jr. The Grizzlies have Adams and JJJ, but JJJ is not really a post player taking more than 1/3 of his shots at the 3P line. The 3rd place Kings are running a small ball lineup, and the Clippers traditionally try and play small ball to run opposing teams out of the gym (similar to SSOL Suns). Pelicans and Wolves are currently 7th and 8th in the West with last year champs Warriors sitting in 9th and Lakers down sitting 5 games below .500.

I think above all though, you have it backwards. Teams are going to have to worry about how they are going to guard the Suns (if everyone is healthy).
Crives
General Manager
Posts: 9,132
And1: 7,466
Joined: Feb 21, 2014
 

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2204 » by Crives » Sun Feb 19, 2023 2:32 am

NapoleonII wrote:GuarANTEE we start to see some small-ball line-ups with KD at the 5.

A focused Ayton brings 35 mins at the C spot, you can definitely play small in selective spurts.

Payne
Sham-wow
D. Lee
Craig/Okogie
KD

Can put up points in a hurry and still get stops/rebounds.


KD at 5 in nba finals, or in after time out offense only lineup for last play of quarter.. let’s not kill KD
Crives
General Manager
Posts: 9,132
And1: 7,466
Joined: Feb 21, 2014
 

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2205 » by Crives » Sun Feb 19, 2023 2:34 am

bwgood77 wrote:
Crives wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
If we do use our entire remaining tax mle on a player, Love or someone else, David mentioned it would cost over $25 million with the tax. Obviously no player out there is worth that.

I'm not sure if that is 100% correct though considering that open roster spot costs us some sort of open roster spot charge, likely the minimum. My guess is we give another player the minimum, so the cost stays the same an if we do use part or all of our remaining tax mle it wouldn't be quite that much since it likely is only the incremental difference in an open roster spot charge.


Whatever we do, got to save enough space to resign Ross/Okogie with taxpayer mle and BAE this offseason


You don't need space to use those...you just need teams not willing to pay them more than those amounts. But to reduce tax, if Okogie is going to have a role, it might be good to try and figure a way to dump Shamet...however we should probably keep to utilize that salary slot for a trade..need to keep him and Craig and Payne's spots just to have them going forward with no cap space to make moves...even if for trade purposes.


Okogie looking like a 25m+ per year player right now…. Got to keep him long term as 5th starter
User avatar
bwgood77
Global Mod
Global Mod
Posts: 98,336
And1: 61,074
Joined: Feb 06, 2009
Location: Austin
Contact:
   

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2206 » by bwgood77 » Sun Feb 19, 2023 2:44 am

Crives wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
Crives wrote:
Whatever we do, got to save enough space to resign Ross/Okogie with taxpayer mle and BAE this offseason


You don't need space to use those...you just need teams not willing to pay them more than those amounts. But to reduce tax, if Okogie is going to have a role, it might be good to try and figure a way to dump Shamet...however we should probably keep to utilize that salary slot for a trade..need to keep him and Craig and Payne's spots just to have them going forward with no cap space to make moves...even if for trade purposes.


Okogie looking like a 25m+ per year player right now…. Got to keep him long term as 5th starter


We will only be able to pay him like $7 million or so which is the tax mle. I'm sure he won't keep looking like a $25 million player. We should be able to pay him like 4/$30 or around that.
User avatar
Ghost of Kleine
Master of Tweets
Posts: 16,444
And1: 9,103
Joined: Apr 13, 2012

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2207 » by Ghost of Kleine » Sun Feb 19, 2023 2:57 am

Qwigglez wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
So If no Love (poor decision by him I think), We traded Saric for Bazely who we'll likely not play/develop much this season anyways. That leaves our big rotation as .......................................... Ayton/ Biyombo/ Landale. And our possible 4 rotation as KD/Warren/ Ish/ Craig/ Bazely???? We're gonna get destroyed by teams in the playoffs. Aside from maybe KD himself, not sure if any of those can reasonably defend the plethora of much bigger dominant postseason frontcourts we'll be facing in strategic matchups? We desperately need another quality frontcourt big who could rebound, provide weakside defense, and moderately space the floor. Love would've been great! But apparently he wants to prioritize lesser options to hopefully play with Westbrook? His loss obviously! :dontknow:


Our C/PF rotation is fine. The narrative that bigger teams punish smaller teams in the playoffs is an exaggeration. This isn't 1990's basketball, and in the playoffs teams don't suddenly change scripts and try to change their entire offensive scheme.

Also, what teams are going to destroy the Suns because the Suns are smaller? The top team in the West have Jokic, and then 6'8 Aaron Gordon and 6'8 Michael Porter Jr. The Grizzlies have Adams and JJJ, but JJJ is not really a post player taking more than 1/3 of his shots at the 3P line. The 3rd place Kings are running a small ball lineup, and the Clippers traditionally try and play small ball to run opposing teams out of the gym (similar to SSOL Suns). Pelicans and Wolves are currently 7th and 8th in the West with last year champs Warriors sitting in 9th and Lakers down sitting 5 games below .500.



I think above all though, you have it backwards. Teams are going to have to worry about how they are going to guard the Suns (if everyone is healthy).


I recognize your opinion here on this man, but I'm going to go ahead and disagree with you here on this! Remember our finals appearance against Milwaukee and the big lineups they killed us with such as Giannis/Portis/Lopez lineups. It was so bad that we had to go get Javale Mcgee to try and counter it. Also teams like the Pels last year killing up with Valuncias and BI, wherein BI was just too big and long for our frontcourt wings to handle. Then in Dallas wherein Doncic was too big for Craig or even Crowder to guard and utilizing their size in switches with Kleber and Powell out playing us physically. Then even this year, you have teams with big lineups throughout that give us problems such as Memphis with Adams and JJJr, Atlanta with Capela, Collins and Okungwu. The Clippers just the other night with Zubac and Plumlee, etc. The thing is we all know that in the postseason, the game slows down and gets a lot more physical with refs swallowing their whistles in games. So If by some off chance Ayton happens to get injured, or gets in early foul trouble in a series, are you actually telling me that you feel confident playing against elite bigs/ frontcourts with Biyombo and Landale playing heavy minutes given what they've shown and what we know of them?? We absolutely need another big for frontcourt insurance knowing that beyond KD, Warren isn't a good defender, Craig has been mediocre at best, Ish can't really do much more than foul a lot and get burned by faster players, he's solid offensively but just can't keep pace defensively. And Bazely hasn't even got playing time yet and as we know with Monty, he might not even play him much if at all in the postseason.

So which of our current frontcourt players (IF not playing KD heavy minutes) If Ayton misses time or gets in foul trouble would you feel confident against the AD's, Adam's, JJJr's, Jokic's, Embiid's Giannis/Lopez/ Portis lineups. Or the Timelord/Horford lineups? Or the Collins/Capella/Okungwu lineups? This is why I just can't share your perspective here on our frontcourt man. It'll be really interesting to see whose perspective was accurate on this premise IF the suns choose to not add another quality big! :-?
Image
User avatar
Ghost of Kleine
Master of Tweets
Posts: 16,444
And1: 9,103
Joined: Apr 13, 2012

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2208 » by Ghost of Kleine » Sun Feb 19, 2023 3:09 am

lilfishi22 wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:Our reserve big rotation rivals these teams in terms of being underwhelming.


So If no Love (poor decision by him I think), We traded Saric for Bazely who we'll likely not play/develop much this season anyways. That leaves our big rotation as .......................................... Ayton/ Biyombo/ Landale. And our possible 4 rotation as KD/Warren/ Ish/ Craig/ Bazely???? We're gonna get destroyed by teams in the playoffs. Aside from maybe KD himself, not sure if any of those can reasonably defend the plethora of much bigger dominant postseason frontcourts we'll be facing in strategic matchups? We desperately need another quality frontcourt big who could rebound, provide weakside defense, and moderately space the floor. Love would've been great! But apparently he wants to prioritize lesser options to hopefully play with Westbrook? His loss obviously! :dontknow:


I think that's an exaggeration. It isn't like we don't have a really good playoff big man in DA.

So if we don't land Love, then yeah we don't improve out depth but I don't think it's all that bad given Biyombo is about as solid a back up big as you'll likely get and DA is a solid all-rounder. The only team with big C rotation are the Clippers, now that they've added Plumlee. Could add Wolves in there as well when Towns plays the C when Gobert is sitting. But overall it's not like there's any particularly scary C rotation out West.

Clippers could be an issue, Memphis could be an issue, Bucks could be an issue but we also present issues to them as well because of KD.


Awesome point with DA! So tell me what happens if he just happens to go down with another injury and misses time in a series, Or if he gets in early foul trouble in a series. Keeping in mind that the refs have never really given him the benefit of foul calls anyways, as well as taking into consideration that sans Ayton, teams will strategize against Biyombo's lack of shooting/ ability to hit free throws, and Landale's inability to space the floor effectively or defend at a high level and his propensity to commit dumb fouls. In any event wherein Ayton isn't a factor in a postseason series, Which of Biyombo or Landale do you really feel competent manning that spot against the elite postseason bigs and big dominant frontcourts if needed to play heavy minutes? It just seems to me that gambling our entire postseason success on a great deal of luck surrounding Ayton specifically is not a good thing! But I'll definitely find it entertaining to see how yours' and Qwiggle's perspectives turn out on this.
Image
User avatar
lilfishi22
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 36,399
And1: 24,737
Joined: Oct 16, 2007
Location: Australia

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2209 » by lilfishi22 » Sun Feb 19, 2023 3:23 am

Ghost of Kleine wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
So If no Love (poor decision by him I think), We traded Saric for Bazely who we'll likely not play/develop much this season anyways. That leaves our big rotation as .......................................... Ayton/ Biyombo/ Landale. And our possible 4 rotation as KD/Warren/ Ish/ Craig/ Bazely???? We're gonna get destroyed by teams in the playoffs. Aside from maybe KD himself, not sure if any of those can reasonably defend the plethora of much bigger dominant postseason frontcourts we'll be facing in strategic matchups? We desperately need another quality frontcourt big who could rebound, provide weakside defense, and moderately space the floor. Love would've been great! But apparently he wants to prioritize lesser options to hopefully play with Westbrook? His loss obviously! :dontknow:


I think that's an exaggeration. It isn't like we don't have a really good playoff big man in DA.

So if we don't land Love, then yeah we don't improve out depth but I don't think it's all that bad given Biyombo is about as solid a back up big as you'll likely get and DA is a solid all-rounder. The only team with big C rotation are the Clippers, now that they've added Plumlee. Could add Wolves in there as well when Towns plays the C when Gobert is sitting. But overall it's not like there's any particularly scary C rotation out West.

Clippers could be an issue, Memphis could be an issue, Bucks could be an issue but we also present issues to them as well because of KD.


Awesome point with DA! So tell me what happens if he just happens to go down with another injury and misses time in a series, Or if he gets in early foul trouble in a series. Keeping in mind that the refs have never really given him the benefit of foul calls anyways, as well as taking into consideration that sans Ayton, teams will strategize against Biyombo's lack of shooting/ ability to hit free throws, and Landale's inability to space the floor effectively or defend at a high level and his propensity to commit dumb fouls. In any event wherein Ayton isn't a factor in a postseason series, Which of Biyombo or Landale do you really feel competent manning that spot against the elite postseason bigs and big dominant frontcourts if needed to play heavy minutes? It just seems to me that gambling our entire postseason success on a great deal of luck surrounding Ayton specifically is not a good thing! But I'll definitely find it entertaining to see how yours' and Qwiggle's perspectives turn out on this.

You could make the same argument for any other team. What if AG misses time? What if JJJr gets into foul trouble? What if ANY of the other starting bigs misses time? Which team has a strong playoff rotation if their starting big misses time?

Let's be real, most team's rotations are just as trash if their starting big misses time. If Zubac goes down and they replace him with Plumlee, yeah maybe there isn't a massive drop off but what's after that? Mook Morris? Batum? They aren't dominating anything in the paint. Not saying we don't have to add depth because depth is always a good thing but the idea that we're in some unique situation where if our starting C does down then we're in trouble is kinda of overblown.
Crives
General Manager
Posts: 9,132
And1: 7,466
Joined: Feb 21, 2014
 

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2210 » by Crives » Sun Feb 19, 2023 3:26 am

bwgood77 wrote:
Crives wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
You don't need space to use those...you just need teams not willing to pay them more than those amounts. But to reduce tax, if Okogie is going to have a role, it might be good to try and figure a way to dump Shamet...however we should probably keep to utilize that salary slot for a trade..need to keep him and Craig and Payne's spots just to have them going forward with no cap space to make moves...even if for trade purposes.


Okogie looking like a 25m+ per year player right now…. Got to keep him long term as 5th starter


We will only be able to pay him like $7 million or so which is the tax mle. I'm sure he won't keep looking like a $25 million player. We should be able to pay him like 4/$30 or around that.


I hope so
User avatar
Qwigglez
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 21,593
And1: 14,867
Joined: Jul 10, 2009
Contact:
     

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2211 » by Qwigglez » Sun Feb 19, 2023 3:33 am

Ghost of Kleine wrote:
I recognize your opinion here on this man, but I'm going to go ahead and disagree with you here on this! Remember our finals appearance against Milwaukee and the big lineups they killed us with such as Giannis/Portis/Lopez lineups. It was so bad that we had to go get Javale Mcgee to try and counter it. Also teams like the Pels last year killing up with Valuncias and BI, wherein BI was just too big and long for our frontcourt wings to handle. Then in Dallas wherein Doncic was too big for Craig or even Crowder to guard and utilizing their size in switches with Kleber and Powell out playing us physically. Then even this year, you have teams with big lineups throughout that give us problems such as Memphis with Adams and JJJr, Atlanta with Capela, Collins and Okungwu. The Clippers just the other night with Zubac and Plumlee, etc. The thing is we all know that in the postseason, the game slows down and gets a lot more physical with refs swallowing their whistles in games. So If by some off chance Ayton happens to get injured, or gets in early foul trouble in a series, are you actually telling me that you feel confident playing against elite bigs/ frontcourts with Biyombo and Landale playing heavy minutes given what they've shown and what we know of them?? We absolutely need another big for frontcourt insurance knowing that beyond KD, Warren isn't a good defender, Craig has been mediocre at best, Ish can't really do much more than foul a lot and get burned by faster players, he's solid offensively but just can't keep pace defensively. And Bazely hasn't even got playing time yet and as we know with Monty, he might not even play him much if at all in the postseason.

So which of our current frontcourt players (IF not playing KD heavy minutes) If Ayton misses time or gets in foul trouble would you feel confident against the AD's, Adam's, JJJr's, Jokic's, Embiid's Giannis/Lopez/ Portis lineups. Or the Timelord/Horford lineups? Or the Collins/Capella/Okungwu lineups? This is why I just can't share your perspective here on our frontcourt man. It'll be really interesting to see whose perspective was accurate on this premise IF the suns choose to not add another quality big! :-?


The Finals against the Bucks was probably one of the best Finals in recent history. It was an ultimate chess match that was decided by a couple of key possessions.

Trying to match what all of the other teams in the league are doing is not the best formula to win. Suns just got Kevin Durant, who is a top 5 (at least 7) scorer of all time. The magnitude of having a player of his caliber is a wider gap than trying to find a PF/C role player that can guard other bigs, defend in the paint, and rebound. First off, we aren't getting someone who is going to be that big of a difference maker. Love likely deciding to go to Miami is because he will have a bigger role there than what the Suns could offer where he would probably play a solid 15 minutes a game at most. With the Heat, Love is playing 25 minutes a game and that is role he wants. I think Love would have a better chance at a championship with the Suns but again... if its about having a larger role, than I see him choosing the Heat. I don't think Philly has a major chance at acquiring Love.

And again I am only confident if the Suns remain healthy. If the Suns were that concerned in the depth at the PF/C spot then they wouldn't have traded Saric for Bazley, but they did in order to acquire a solid scorer who can come in off the bench in the buyout market (Ross, Barton, etc). What two teams made the NBA Western Conference last year? The Mavs and Warriors. Do they have an intimidating frontcourt?

Suns lost to the Clippers who were fully healthy, Booker is still probably at 85% healthy, and Suns didn't have Durant. You are worried for Zubac and Plumlee? Worrying about the Eastern Conference is silly. Who made it to the Eastern Conference Finals? Heat and Celtics. They don't have dominant imposing bigs.

Games slow down in the playoffs, and you know who thrives in those situations? Players that are capable of creating their own offense. Players that are capable of hitting mid range jumpers.

If the Suns are truly worried about not getting a backup big, I'm certain they will give Ibaka a call, who I'd probably prefer over Love anyway and would like to be the backup big inserted before Smack.
User avatar
Qwigglez
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 21,593
And1: 14,867
Joined: Jul 10, 2009
Contact:
     

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2212 » by Qwigglez » Sun Feb 19, 2023 3:41 am

Suns beat the Pels last year if I recall correctly too. Where Booker really only played the 1st game and the last game (hurt in the 2nd game where Booker had 31 points at halftime or something). Big teams often aren't able to adjust to smaller teams in the playoffs (Warriors beat the Nuggets in the 1st round, beat the Grizzlies in the 2nd round, Mavs beat the Jazz in the 1st round, Suns beat the Pelicans in the 1st round). You have to pick your strengths and weaknesses and James Jones I feel is doing a great job at building the team the way it should be constructed in order to make a deep playoff run.
Saberestar
RealGM
Posts: 22,486
And1: 17,109
Joined: May 21, 2010

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2213 » by Saberestar » Sun Feb 19, 2023 5:08 pm

After clearing waivers, Kevin Love plans to sign with the Miami Heat, his agent Jeff Schwartz of @Excelbasketball tells ESPN.
Saberestar
RealGM
Posts: 22,486
And1: 17,109
Joined: May 21, 2010

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2214 » by Saberestar » Sun Feb 19, 2023 5:10 pm

The Heat are planning to also sign free agent center Cody Zeller on Monday, as @ByTimReynolds reports.

Read on Twitter
User avatar
Qwigglez
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 21,593
And1: 14,867
Joined: Jul 10, 2009
Contact:
     

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2215 » by Qwigglez » Sun Feb 19, 2023 5:11 pm

Yup. Just as I thought.
Read on Twitter
?s=46&t=aHP6gkW9lw3rsR9b_5EaRQ
KLEON
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,919
And1: 2,158
Joined: Jul 15, 2009
   

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2216 » by KLEON » Sun Feb 19, 2023 5:26 pm

Qwigglez wrote:Yup. Just as I thought.
Read on Twitter
?s=46&t=aHP6gkW9lw3rsR9b_5EaRQ

This is a no brainer
BobbieL
RealGM
Posts: 15,353
And1: 8,997
Joined: Jun 24, 2009

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2217 » by BobbieL » Sun Feb 19, 2023 8:07 pm

Qwigglez wrote:Yup. Just as I thought.
Read on Twitter
?s=46&t=aHP6gkW9lw3rsR9b_5EaRQ


Would have been an okay signing but I am not sure how much the Suns wanted the guy. South beach, playing time, no state taxes and the BAE - go for it K Love

Suns are still in market or will sign Ish
NavLDO
Suns Forum Defensive Player of the Year
Posts: 2,749
And1: 1,436
Joined: Aug 25, 2014
     

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2218 » by NavLDO » Sun Feb 19, 2023 8:19 pm

Qwigglez wrote:Suns beat the Pels last year if I recall correctly too. Where Booker really only played the 1st game and the last game (hurt in the 2nd game where Booker had 31 points at halftime or something). Big teams often aren't able to adjust to smaller teams in the playoffs (Warriors beat the Nuggets in the 1st round, beat the Grizzlies in the 2nd round, Mavs beat the Jazz in the 1st round, Suns beat the Pelicans in the 1st round). You have to pick your strengths and weaknesses and James Jones I feel is doing a great job at building the team the way it should be constructed in order to make a deep playoff run.


Exactly! If we can't match them with size, then we play to whatever strengths we do have. Teams are rarely all built to the same skillsets and advantages. I can honestly say, I'd feel a lot better about our chances, were we to lose Ayton to an injury, than if we were to lose Booker, and that's taking into consideration, that we are much deeper at the wing, than we are at the 5, right?

I'm not so worried about the numbers that we have, or don't have, at a given position, if we were to lose a starter. I'm much more concerned about which starter we lose. I feel more confident in Booker/Paul/KD making up for the loss of Ayton, than Ayton, making up for the loss of KD
User avatar
Ghost of Kleine
Master of Tweets
Posts: 16,444
And1: 9,103
Joined: Apr 13, 2012

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2219 » by Ghost of Kleine » Sun Feb 19, 2023 8:56 pm

lilfishi22 wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
I think that's an exaggeration. It isn't like we don't have a really good playoff big man in DA.

So if we don't land Love, then yeah we don't improve out depth but I don't think it's all that bad given Biyombo is about as solid a back up big as you'll likely get and DA is a solid all-rounder. The only team with big C rotation are the Clippers, now that they've added Plumlee. Could add Wolves in there as well when Towns plays the C when Gobert is sitting. But overall it's not like there's any particularly scary C rotation out West.

Clippers could be an issue, Memphis could be an issue, Bucks could be an issue but we also present issues to them as well because of KD.


Awesome point with DA! So tell me what happens if he just happens to go down with another injury and misses time in a series, Or if he gets in early foul trouble in a series. Keeping in mind that the refs have never really given him the benefit of foul calls anyways, as well as taking into consideration that sans Ayton, teams will strategize against Biyombo's lack of shooting/ ability to hit free throws, and Landale's inability to space the floor effectively or defend at a high level and his propensity to commit dumb fouls. In any event wherein Ayton isn't a factor in a postseason series, Which of Biyombo or Landale do you really feel competent manning that spot against the elite postseason bigs and big dominant frontcourts if needed to play heavy minutes? It just seems to me that gambling our entire postseason success on a great deal of luck surrounding Ayton specifically is not a good thing! But I'll definitely find it entertaining to see how yours' and Qwiggle's perspectives turn out on this.


You could make the same argument for any other team. What if AG misses time? What if JJJr gets into foul trouble? What if ANY of the other starting bigs misses time? Which team has a strong playoff rotation if their starting big misses time?

Let's be real, most team's rotations are just as trash if their starting big misses time. If Zubac goes down and they replace him with Plumlee, yeah maybe there isn't a massive drop off but what's after that? Mook Morris? Batum? They aren't dominating anything in the paint. Not saying we don't have to add depth because depth is always a good thing but the idea that we're in some unique situation where if our starting C does down then we're in trouble is kinda of overblown.


I hear what you're saying man and it's a fair argument that any team could suffer injuries and other teams depth could be questioned too. But why at all would I be concerned with or invested in another team's depth and injuries equitably to our own as a suns fan?? Any issues for ANOTHER TEAM could only play to our benefit. Obviously I'm invested in our team's success here and within that capacity focusing on our potential depth/ injuries issues and concerns because I prefer to see us finally win a championship after over a half century of creatively finding new ways to lose, choke, come up short, fail expectations, etc or whatever anyone here prefers to phrase it as. It becomes increasingly paramount due to the cost we've paid in the trade to acquire Durant by heavily mortgaging our long term future. I could care less about these other teams concerns as I'm not a fan of their teams and don't consider their implicit stakes involved as heavy as ours dependent upon the final outcome! Have any other teams actually in a similar situation (aside from maybe the Clippers) mortgaged their future through surrendering core pieces, positional roster depth, cost controlled draft assets, cap flexibility for the foreseeable future?? And IF so, compare the acquired piece in terms of long term projection/viability considering age, durability concerns and overall roster composition long term! Only the Flakers and maybe the Clippers should be found in a somewhat similar situation in terms of what they've mortgaged for an "all in" move! That's why in my humble estimation, If you're legitimately gambling with such significant long term assets exchange to go "all in" towards winning a championship, It's critically important to try and mitigate or shore up any potential weaknesses or deficiencies towards the postseason WHEREIN we all know the elite teams we'll have to beat to even get back to the finals will absolutely be dissecting and strategizing against us using these weaknesses in various matchup schemes.

Knowing and accepting that it already takes a tremendous amount of luck to even make it to the finals and win a championship, and understanding that even though the game slows down, the postseason becomes exponentially more physical, grinding, difficult and strategic matchups will be prevalent, depth absolutely becomes a very tangible concern. Now how that factors into my initial premise of needing another big for depth is as simple as the fact that another team's injuries are irrelevant to my initial premise. For example, IF by some chance Ayton does go down to an injury or even has to sit due to foul trouble (it's not like he gets the benefit of the whistles now is it)? Then we really only have Biyombo, who while solid defensively has nearly no offensive game to speak of and can't hit free throws either. Now what's to keep opposing teams from systematically targeting him with the "hack a Shaq" strategy or simply sagging off of him and packing in the paint to further complicate trying to score in the midrange? And with Landale not being able to adequately space the floor either or even defend well without making continuous dumb fouls that could render him irrelevant? On top of that, Which of those two bigs (given what they've shown so far) do you honestly feel confident being able to defend the AD's, Jokic's, JJJr's, Giannis's, Adebayo's, etc IF we even get that far sans Ayton? Beyond that, And beyond playing Durant consider/ excessive minutes throughout the entire postseason maybe even occasionally at the three, who would we have in our frontcourt that could even remotely guard the elite bigs such as AD, Jokic, JJjr/ Adams combo, Kwahi/ George (who still dominate in the frontcourt, Doncic/Kleber/ Powell which will absolutely look to switch and target our lack of frontcourt size (sans Ayton premise)? Can we expect any of Warren, Craig, Bazely, Ish to even reasonably defend against these aforementioned bigs we'll have to beat to even make it to the finals again to face whichever of the Bucks, Celtics, maybe even Heat that make it to the finals?

I get the whole Durant factor to offset opposing teams strengths against us strategically. And perhaps you and Qwiggs might be right that his acquisition alone offsets any of those concerns. But even so, the general idea here is to shore up all available positional weaknesses and depth weaknesses against the possibility of other teams being able to more easily strategize against us. And Durant for all his greatness, is not the shimmering example of durability! especially not IF he'll have to play significant minutes at the center position against the bigger, physical, dominant bigs we'll possibly encounter or have to go through in the postseason. Honestly, neither Durant nor Paul are great examples of durability and are absolute wild cards in the event of excessive usage resulting from potential injuries, foul trouble, strategic matchups. It's wonderful to field such incredible and unyielding optimism that this is our year finally!! But we've seen this perspective before haven't we with having such blind optimism, only to be sent home every season the past three years while skirting/ neglecting the need to shore up positional weaknesses. Milwaukee utilized our lack of size with a frontcourt lineup of Giannis, Lopez, Portis. to dominate us in the frontcourt once they got Ayton in foul trouble, and then by shot making, and physicality once we got rattled. Just last season, the Pels first utilized our lack of size, youth, athleticism to almost beat us in the first round. We had no answers defensively for Ingram or Valuncias, etc and were absolutely on the verge of being sent home embarrassingly UNTIL Paul and Ayton BOTH had epic outlier dominant performances just to save us from elimination. Then in the 2nd round against Dallas was an even more obvious example of opposing teams exploiting our size, and positional depth weaknesses repeatedly in switching matchups and through size and physicality with Kleber/Powell against Ayton. So in any of these potential postseason matchups, Sure we'd have the X factor of Durant, But IF something unforeseen does happen (probably won't though because as we know, us suns fans are so unbelievably lucky .....right) other teams knowing that neither Biyombo nor Landale is an offensive threat consideration, they'll more easily be able to double or maybe even triple (as Book and Paul are great but still erratic and oft unpredictable in big game situations) Durant to minimize his impact while their frontcourt simply outplays ours after wearing down Durant. It just seems incredibly shortsighted to me to not seek/prioritize shoring up any available positional weaknesses that would obviously be targeted/exploited in order to better sustain our key stars workloads doesn't it?

Again, I really hope that you and Qwiggle's are right that the Durant acquisition is the solution to all of our concerns, as it would mean our first ever championship. But history and our excessively poor luck over the past couple years have shown it to be a more than valid concern. Regardless, I'll find it very interesting to see the outcome of both differing perspectives in the coming postseason. :wink:
Image
POLI
Sophomore
Posts: 208
And1: 93
Joined: Nov 16, 2022

Re: 2022-23 Season Discussion and Speculation 5 - The KD era begins 

Post#2220 » by POLI » Sun Feb 19, 2023 9:54 pm

Qwigglez wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
So If no Love (poor decision by him I think), We traded Saric for Bazely who we'll likely not play/develop much this season anyways. That leaves our big rotation as .......................................... Ayton/ Biyombo/ Landale. And our possible 4 rotation as KD/Warren/ Ish/ Craig/ Bazely???? We're gonna get destroyed by teams in the playoffs. Aside from maybe KD himself, not sure if any of those can reasonably defend the plethora of much bigger dominant postseason frontcourts we'll be facing in strategic matchups? We desperately need another quality frontcourt big who could rebound, provide weakside defense, and moderately space the floor. Love would've been great! But apparently he wants to prioritize lesser options to hopefully play with Westbrook? His loss obviously! :dontknow:


Our C/PF rotation is fine. The narrative that bigger teams punish smaller teams in the playoffs is an exaggeration. This isn't 1990's basketball, and in the playoffs teams don't suddenly change scripts and try to change their entire offensive scheme. I do want to mention that teams should remain flexible in having the ability to change their offense, but I think the Suns will be the most versatile team to do that come playoff time.

Also, what teams are going to destroy the Suns because the Suns are smaller? The top team in the West have Jokic, and then 6'8 Aaron Gordon and 6'8 Michael Porter Jr. The Grizzlies have Adams and JJJ, but JJJ is not really a post player taking more than 1/3 of his shots at the 3P line. The 3rd place Kings are running a small ball lineup, and the Clippers traditionally try and play small ball to run opposing teams out of the gym (similar to SSOL Suns). Pelicans and Wolves are currently 7th and 8th in the West with last year champs Warriors sitting in 9th and Lakers down sitting 5 games below .500.

I think above all though, you have it backwards. Teams are going to have to worry about how they are going to guard the Suns (if everyone is healthy).



Porter is 6-10
Then they have Bryant now with 6-11
Then Gancar at 6-9 at least.

Clippers have Zubac at 7-2
Plumlee at 6-10
Morris at 6-9
Batum at 6-8

Grizzlies have Adams at 7-0
JJJ at 6-10/6-11
Then Aldama at 6-11
Then Clarke at 6-10/6-11

The Jazz, that could be in the mix, have

Markannen at 7-0
Kessler at 7-0
Olynik at 6-11
Azubuike at 6-11

Sacramento is not that small, as they play Sabonis, Barnes and another SF-PF at the same time. Then they make use of Lyles and others.

Return to Phoenix Suns