King4Day wrote:Ghost of Kleine wrote:Damkac wrote:Would you do a simple Lauri + Sato for Oubre + pick (top 4 protected)?
I would strongly consider it honestly.
Although, I think that we could just as easily draft a really solid young guard much cheaper, AND then trade for Bjelica ourselves, Or Give a generous offer to Bertrans to be our floor spacer, As opposed to committing ourselves to a potentially much higher increase that Markannen could/would possibly command.
Good points. We have to be careful because if Markannen has a bounce back year, he'll be in line for a huge payday. Imagine paying Booker, Ayton, Markannen the max (or close to it)? Then Bridges will probably get 10-13 mil. That's a lot for a mediocre team unless we turned it around significantly with everyone's improvements.
This is exactly my point man!
I've been a huge Markannen advocate, However, upon deeper reviews, I have concerns regarding his inconsistencies, lack of defense for a 7fter! And his injury concerns for me at least diminish his overall trade value,
compared to the Bulls likely hefty asking price! Then on top of that, The really " Big rub" is in that his contractual increases jump to 9 million for his qualifying offer. And then on top of that, in 2021, He'll be a restricted free agent whenst the majority of the teams in the league will be pooling large chunks of cap for players such as him! So as you so accurately pointed out, It most likely will be a " Catch 22" situation for us in that if Markannen does improve, It only serves to drive his market value up even further as a restricted free agent, And he might reach a value that is beyond our ability to match! Meaning that we then ultimately gave up not only Oubre, But a top 10 lottery pick for nothing!
But to be fair, Yes, He does definitely have great potential, But to date, it's unfortunately only shown to be potential. His contractual risks added in for the very salient reasons that you mentioned above, make overpaying for him an unnecessary risk for us with respect to our still impending core contractual obligations. Especially when there WILL be actually be cheaper comparable long term options for us in free agency or through trade?
And whilst I agree with your point on our disappointing draft record, The restrictive and descending cap implications, along with the future implications to our cap viability at the worst possible time with us, having to address our core extensions, Make rookie scale contracts a very important commodity. Even more so with the possibility of Bridges and or Ayton potentially having a breakout season too ( as you mentioned).
Again, all things considered, I would strongly consider Markannen and Sato for Oubre and the 10th pick. However, I would ultimately prefer to not take back Sato if at all possible (due to his overall contractual cost) And ultimately would likely prefer to either trade for Bjelica, Who has better shooting stats for a floor spacing big than Markannen anyways, And is likely to cost much less long term too. And keep our pick, Allowing us to cover both positional needs, Whilst maximizing cap flexibility too heading into 2021. Or simply keep Oubre, And then use our cap space this summer to sign Bertrans and then pick up Kaminskys' option. Point being, Due to overall contractual risk longterm, I'd prefer safer low cost alternatives without giving up premium cost controlled assets. And considering that to this point, His defense is suspect, And his production has thus far been mediocre, he's basically very comparable to both Saric and Kaminsky in the statistical value that he'd bring on the court.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.fcgi?request=1&sum=1&player_id1_hint=Lauri+Markkanen&player_id1_select=Lauri+Markkanen&player_id1=markkla01&y1=2020&player_id2_hint=Dario+%C5%A0ari%C4%87&player_id2_select=Dario+%C5%A0ari%C4%87&player_id2=saricda01&idx=bbr__players&y2=2020And Kaminsky:
https://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/pcm_finder.fcgi?request=1&sum=1&player_id1_hint=Lauri+Markkanen&player_id1_select=Lauri+Markkanen&player_id1=markkla01&y1=2020&player_id2_hint=Frank+Kaminsky&player_id2_select=Frank+Kaminsky&player_id2=kaminfr01&idx=bbr__players&y2=2020 So is Markannens' value aside from his potential really warrant BOTH Oubre and the 10th pick???
again, I'd ultimately prefer to look at cheaper, lower risk options with respect to our looming core extensions honestly!
