Post#308 » by tdjm » Mon Apr 6, 2015 6:35 am
That trade seems...fairly weak. The real prizes in this draft are Russel, Towns, Winslow, and Okafor (in no particular order), although how you value Okafor is entirely dependent on how much you think he'll be capable of developing as a defender. Mudiay, Stein, Oubre, Johnson, Hezonja, Porzingis etc. are all nice upside guys but they are a cut below. They could certainly develop to be better than any of the top 4 guys, but those top 4 guys are all looking like guys with high floors and sky high ceilings.
I would say it is unlikely that a true franchise changing stud is available at sixth. That trade is the type of move you make if one of two things is true. You'd make that trade if 1. Markieff was a free agent after 1 or 2 more years and you were uninterested in signing him, or 2. you were interested in doing a full re-build and wanted to go after the maximum amount of young talent.
Clearly, #1 is not true, as the Suns have re-signed Markieff already. #2 is also not true because it doesn't jive with anything the Suns have done lately, which is aggressively lock in talent (Bledsoe, Morris twins, IT) at good prices before the cap raise. It's why they traded for Knight after retaining Dragic became an impossibility, and it's why they probably would have given Dragic a competitive offer, no matter the size of it had he stayed.
Moreover, this may be the worst time in recent memory to begin a new rebuild, like you would be doing by shipping off a productive player on a cheap contract AND your draft pick to move up. With the impending cap rise, if you have solid talent locked in at pre-rise prices, you're at a unique advantage. If you start a re-build now, when it comes time to add valued contributors, you'll be paying a lot in the post-cap increase world.
The Suns should be looking to aggressively upgrade at every position. Until you find your superstar (your AD, your Durant, your Lebron, your Shaq or Kobe or whatever player you're confident in saying 'you can be the best player on a title team') you need to consider your roster as completely flexible with all players on the trading block for the right price. I'd upgrade at PG if we could (but it seems unlikely). I'd upgrade at SG, SF, PF, or C.
I don't think this is the way to do it. The Morris twins may not be popular here, but I think you would be hard pressed to argue that they wouldn't be great bench forwards as 7th and 8th men. We can win games with them gritting out 40+ minutes as starters - seems like we'd be able to win games if they were on the bench playing 20-30 minutes behind better players, yeah? If it became necessary to trade the Morris twins for a direct upgrade, then of course you pull the trigger, but spewing away them and their extremely favorable contracts plus a draft pick just to move up to a draft slot where you're unlikely to see a real franchise changer seems like a poor move.
I don't think Sac would do this, either. I don't think it fits the needs of either team right now, honestly.