I still don't think you're viewing this correctly is you say the suns almost certainly lose it in 2025. Unless you think the suns will be one the the 12 worst teams in the league next year.bwgood77 wrote:WeekapaugGroove wrote:I think you're thinking this pick is 'reverse' protected like the suns did with that Bledsoe trade but it's definitely not. It's protected top 12 next year so that means the only way it's not going to OKC is if the suns are picking top 12. Which sure it could happen if injuries hit but that's why you get the protections for that worst case scenario.bwgood77 wrote:
No, I don't think they miss, but anything is possible even with an injury. I take it you mean that's the only way they lose the pick.
They could actually make it and lose the pick, if they got the 7 or 8 seed (though that would require the entire east playoff field to all have better records). It is only protected through 12. https://basketball.realgm.com/nba/draft/future_drafts/detailed
But I do think the playoff race will be very tight with LA, LA, Utah, Denver, GS, Dallas, Memphis and maybe Portland. 6 teams would have to be better than us, which is unlikely if we are relatively healthy, but I could easily see us in that 4-5 range and it could be really tight in there again.
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Well, for whatever reason I was thinking about it correctly in terms of proection but for some reason had in my mind that the first 12 picks were the 12 best teams, which obviously makes no sense. And then next year we'd have to be one of the 10 best and the following one of the 8...but it's worst.
So it's actually almost certain we lose it in 2025. Hopefully that year we are good enough to make the playoffs. The good thing is even though Denver, Utah, Dallas, Memphis and maybe Minnesota will be likely playoff teams, some of the others may have fallen off due to age by then..GS has been lucky enough, if they keep their picks, that they will have a nice bridge. Curry can probably play until he's pretty old and they could have a more improved Wiggins, Wiseman and their two picks this year unless they trade them for something (which may be probable).
The Pelicans could be good too. We should still certainly be in the playoff mix in 24-25 too if Booker improves in a couple areas and stays in 24 and we address future PG by then.
They almost certainly will lose it next season.
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