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Deandre Ayton news and discussion

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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#581 » by Revived » Mon Mar 15, 2021 2:45 am

lilfishi22 wrote:It's not so much a big scoring or rebounding uptick but just overall consistency game to game. Ayton can be really good without being a absolutely dominant in either scoring as long as he's consistent with his effort on both ends of the court. But so far this season and in particular the last 15 games or so, he just doesn't seem to be revving up for a great 2nd half. In the last 15 games he's reached double digit rebounding (his bread and butter) in only 7 games. Not saying he sucked because there's a few pretty good games in that last 15 but the trend isn't really positive.

Dario being in the closing 5 in 3 of the last 4 games isn't really the trajectory of someone that is playing himself into a monster (consistency) 2nd half.

That’s the keyword when it comes to Ayton imo. There’s game to game consistency, and then there’s even qtr to qtr consistency differential with Ayton. He looks amazing on both ends for a short spurt and then comes another spurt where he looks completely lost or worse than Len.

Offensively I think he just overthinks way too much. The passiveness or “softness” is because he’s simply trying to figure out what he should be doing rather than just relying on basketball instincts to make the play. I wonder if him picking up basketball late in his life is a factor in this. Iirc, he played mostly soccer in his childhood.

And yea I said it in the gd thread as well but Saric closing is something to keep an eye on. Monty and James Jones seem to have a really good rapport and on the same page so Jones is definitely noticing this as well. Contract extension talks will begin this summer. And Jones isn’t gonna offer $20M+/yr deal for a guy that can’t play in crunch time at the end of 4th qtrs.

He might come out next game and drop 40 and 20 play very well on both sides and then next game just looks lost. I really hope he just builds consistency. He doesn’t need to be great, he just needs to be solid consistently on both ends.

I think he’s getting a little too criticized for the Pacers game and it’s especially bad on reddit. He wasn’t a top 3 reason as to why we lost. He actually played worse in the Blazers game before it where he was outclassed by Enes Kanter. Yet not many people talked about him after that game lol. I’m guessing it’s because we lost this one but the first place to look for blame should’ve been the highest paid two players on the team.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#582 » by lilfishi22 » Mon Mar 15, 2021 4:43 am

That's all I'm asking for. No one is gonna bat an eye if he has a single bad game among a bunch of solid to great games. The issue is for every really good game, it's usually bookended by a handful of games where for whatever reason just doesn't bring it. A poor game because the focus/effort isn't there is so much more frustrating than having a bad game after giving it your all.

Maybe it's maturity thing with Ayton where he has to learn that he can't coast on an easy double double and say job well done
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#583 » by TouchPassDario » Mon Mar 15, 2021 6:05 am

Consistency for DA is catching every awful pass thrown his way and getting 20 and 15, and never beat on a switch.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#584 » by RedIndian » Mon Mar 15, 2021 6:32 am

sunsbg wrote:
RedIndian wrote:Are you not worried about how passive Ayton has continually been looking ever since that brief 5 game decent stretch he had? It's just very very frustrating. Every now and again he does some nice things - that pass to the Bridges cut was beautiful and he's shown that every now and again.

But all those good moments are dominated by vast stretches of passive play. He now rarely does any sort of self-creation in the post, barely gets any and1s, frequently fumbles passes, brings the ball down low and gets stripped, is passive in receiving passes at the top of the key which leads to turnovers. Even his FT shooting looks lazy with a flat shot. The 3-ball is also something that rarely makes an appearance, and when he does shoot it, it's mostly very flat a'la Bender.

At this juncture, his offensive production is limited to putbacks and anything that Paul and Booker serve to him on a plate. He'll show a couple of nice midrange jumpers now and then, but even those are fairly limited.

Now I get that Ayton in some ways is a victim of the team's success in that Monty & Co. deem it more important to share the ball and get good shots as opposed to force-feeding Ayton, but Ayton needs to realize quickly that this league waits for nobody. The team has gotten good quickly and isn't going to have the patience to spoon feed him. Either he works his butt off and improves his offensive skills the way Bridges has, or this FO will deem him dispensable and use him in a trade in the not too distant future.


I was going to reply with something like in the bolded part, but I see you get it on your own. It's obvious part of the so called regression is because of what he's been asked to do.

What has Mikal, who's two years older, improved so much on offense than Ayton ? Being spoon fed on cuts just like Ayton. He had two drives trying to create something in this game and turned it over. In the meantime Ayton had a nice drive putting the ball behind his back, nice turnaround jumper. Mikal is scoring less than Ayton for the season and somehow he's improved drastically, while Ayton has regressed. Personally, I don't see any one of them being more likely to lay an egg in the playoffs than the other. The love for Bridges and hate for Ayton on this board is amusing.

Relative to their starting positions from when they entered the league, Bridges has progressed far more on offense than Ayton has. To suggest otherwise is completely disingenuous.

Rookie Bridges had a hitch in his shot, and was very diffident with the ball in his hands. Over the last 2 years, we've seen him:
- correct the hitch in his shot, to the point he is almost automatic from the corner. Just an excellent 3-point shooter now. 42% on solid volume
- become an exceptional finisher in transition, almost as good as Booker
- become an outstanding cutter - this isn't spoon feeding - this is HIM creating those opportunities
- become far more confident handling the ball, attacking closeouts and showing flashes of a mid-range game as well

Ayton has progressed significantly on defense since his rookie season - I'm one of Ayton's biggest cheerleaders on that end.

But to ignore the fact that he's remained stagnant on offense is fairly strange. You can acknowledge that without "hating" on him. I see almost no progression on any of Ayton's offensive weaknesses from year 1. He still can't put the ball on the floor, he still struggles finishing through contact, he still doesn't get to the FT line (numbers are in fact lower than year 1), his 3-point shot has still not developed. Saying that is hardly hating on him.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#585 » by RedIndian » Mon Mar 15, 2021 6:45 am

bwgood77 wrote:
sunsbg wrote:
RedIndian wrote:Are you not worried about how passive Ayton has continually been looking ever since that brief 5 game decent stretch he had? It's just very very frustrating. Every now and again he does some nice things - that pass to the Bridges cut was beautiful and he's shown that every now and again.

But all those good moments are dominated by vast stretches of passive play. He now rarely does any sort of self-creation in the post, barely gets any and1s, frequently fumbles passes, brings the ball down low and gets stripped, is passive in receiving passes at the top of the key which leads to turnovers. Even his FT shooting looks lazy with a flat shot. The 3-ball is also something that rarely makes an appearance, and when he does shoot it, it's mostly very flat a'la Bender.

At this juncture, his offensive production is limited to putbacks and anything that Paul and Booker serve to him on a plate. He'll show a couple of nice midrange jumpers now and then, but even those are fairly limited.

Now I get that Ayton in some ways is a victim of the team's success in that Monty & Co. deem it more important to share the ball and get good shots as opposed to force-feeding Ayton, but Ayton needs to realize quickly that this league waits for nobody. The team has gotten good quickly and isn't going to have the patience to spoon feed him. Either he works his butt off and improves his offensive skills the way Bridges has, or this FO will deem him dispensable and use him in a trade in the not too distant future.


I was going to reply with something like in the bolded part, but I see you get it on your own. It's obvious part of the so called regression is because of what he's been asked to do.

What has Mikal, who's two years older, improved so much on offense than Ayton ? Being spoon fed on cuts just like Ayton. He had two drives trying to create something in this game and turned it over. In the meantime Ayton had a nice drive putting the ball behind his back, nice turnaround jumper. Mikal is scoring less than Ayton for the season and somehow he's improved drastically, while Ayton has regressed. Personally, I don't see any one of them being more likely to lay an egg in the playoffs than the other. The love for Bridges and hate for Ayton on this board is amusing.


Bridges came in with much more experience, a couple years older, better coaching in college playing with experienced teammates, and yes, also has mostly improved and gets spoon fed on cuts or 3s. His 3 pt shooting has improved and self creation has improved a bit.

He has improved a little more than Ayton on offense, has a higher iq and more experience, and plays with more energy all the time, but that's also because he's a skinny wing and not a 250 lb big.

Ayton plays with more energy than most bigs, because he chases guys around the perimeter on switches. Other bigs stand in the middle so down the stretch of games have preserved more energy to be more energetic on rebounding later. It's not laziness as much as being winded...if you watch it you can see. His conditioning will improve, especially with normal offseasons and likely down the stretch this year.

Agree with this and I don't agree with characterizing Ayton as lazy at all. Ayton actually works his butt off on defense, and that's something that's very evident to see. He's also continually setting picks in a PnR heavy offense, which is very demanding physically.

My concern isn't laziness at all, but skill development on offense.

Handling the ball, shooting the 3, drawing fouls, pump fakes, finishing through contact - all these were skills that Ayton needed to work on from year 1, and we've seen little evidence of much development on that end.

This isn't to say that Ayton is some terrible player. In a vacuum, he's still a very good starting C in the league, and should have solid (if not exceptional) trade value. But relative to talent, physical tools and the expectations from a #1 pick, he's not showing enough on offense on a consistent basis.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#586 » by Saberestar » Mon Mar 15, 2021 11:04 am

IIRC I saw an Ayton's interview a few weeks ago where he said that he was happy and proud about Monty putting him on the court to finish the game when it was a close game.

I was a bit surprised hearing that comment at that moment because I took for granted Ayton finishing games for us, but now I realize that Monty and Ayton probably were on that since some time ago.

This is speculation on my part, but I think that Monty and James Jones have told pretty clear to Ayton that depending on matchups and other stuff he could be on the bench at the end of games and he accepts it for the good of the team.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#587 » by TouchPassDario » Mon Mar 15, 2021 7:05 pm

Saberestar wrote:IIRC I saw an Ayton's interview a few weeks ago where he said that he was happy and proud about Monty putting in him on the court to finish the game when it was a close game.

I was a bit surprised hearing that comment at that moment because I took for granted Ayton finishing games for us, but now I realize that Monty and Ayton probably were on that since some time ago.

This is speculation on my part, but I think that Monty and James Jones have told pretty clear to Ayton that depending on matchups and other stuff he could be on the bench at the end of games and he accepts it for the good of the team.


Good inference. It would explain why he is taking the benchings so well. He is a smart guy. He gets it. And Dario has been mostly incredibly awesome. And we are winning!
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#588 » by sasquatchBob » Tue Mar 16, 2021 9:41 am

I wouldn't give Ayton more than 15 mil per year. Even if he balls out and improves his offense next year, I would still feel hesitant about giving him more than that. I have a feeling that if he gets paid big money he would just go back to being passive because he reached his goal of getting paid. Sorry to say this, but I have no trust in him.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#589 » by Ryu » Tue Mar 16, 2021 10:49 am

sasquatchBob wrote:I wouldn't give Ayton more than 15 mil per year. Even if he balls out and improves his offense next year, I would still feel hesitant about giving him more than that. I have a feeling that if he gets paid big money he would just go back to being passive because he reached his goal of getting paid. Sorry to say this, but I have no trust in him.


Okay, let`s trade him then to Spurs for a middling first rounder (who can maybe someday be half good) while Pop would make him new Tim Duncan.

FFS, we are 26-12 and DA is a BIG part of our success. Get on it, Ayton haters.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#590 » by Mulhollanddrive » Tue Mar 16, 2021 12:33 pm

My guess for our offer would be $20-22m.

Capela gets $18m and we'd need to pay some sort of premium for potential.

Similar range for Bridges too.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#591 » by Calvin Klein » Tue Mar 16, 2021 12:37 pm

I don't see any way he gets less than 20m, whether we like it or not.

I'd probably be OK with that even if I think it's too much considering what others are getting paid.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#592 » by sasquatchBob » Tue Mar 16, 2021 2:24 pm

Ryu wrote:
sasquatchBob wrote:I wouldn't give Ayton more than 15 mil per year. Even if he balls out and improves his offense next year, I would still feel hesitant about giving him more than that. I have a feeling that if he gets paid big money he would just go back to being passive because he reached his goal of getting paid. Sorry to say this, but I have no trust in him.


Okay, let`s trade him then to Spurs for a middling first rounder (who can maybe someday be half good) while Pop would make him new Tim Duncan.

FFS, we are 26-12 and DA is a BIG part of our success. Get on it, Ayton haters.


I agree that he's a big part of our success but I also think he's replaceable part of our success. You swap Ayton with another respectable rim protector and I think we stand at the same spot. I would much rather see Bridges getting signed for years to come as I think it's him and Booker that we have to build around in future to continue being successful.

In my opinion making Ayton financially a 2nd/3rd guy of our big 3 is a pretty big risk.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#593 » by bwgood77 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:23 pm

RedIndian wrote:
sunsbg wrote:
RedIndian wrote:Are you not worried about how passive Ayton has continually been looking ever since that brief 5 game decent stretch he had? It's just very very frustrating. Every now and again he does some nice things - that pass to the Bridges cut was beautiful and he's shown that every now and again.

But all those good moments are dominated by vast stretches of passive play. He now rarely does any sort of self-creation in the post, barely gets any and1s, frequently fumbles passes, brings the ball down low and gets stripped, is passive in receiving passes at the top of the key which leads to turnovers. Even his FT shooting looks lazy with a flat shot. The 3-ball is also something that rarely makes an appearance, and when he does shoot it, it's mostly very flat a'la Bender.

At this juncture, his offensive production is limited to putbacks and anything that Paul and Booker serve to him on a plate. He'll show a couple of nice midrange jumpers now and then, but even those are fairly limited.

Now I get that Ayton in some ways is a victim of the team's success in that Monty & Co. deem it more important to share the ball and get good shots as opposed to force-feeding Ayton, but Ayton needs to realize quickly that this league waits for nobody. The team has gotten good quickly and isn't going to have the patience to spoon feed him. Either he works his butt off and improves his offensive skills the way Bridges has, or this FO will deem him dispensable and use him in a trade in the not too distant future.


I was going to reply with something like in the bolded part, but I see you get it on your own. It's obvious part of the so called regression is because of what he's been asked to do.

What has Mikal, who's two years older, improved so much on offense than Ayton ? Being spoon fed on cuts just like Ayton. He had two drives trying to create something in this game and turned it over. In the meantime Ayton had a nice drive putting the ball behind his back, nice turnaround jumper. Mikal is scoring less than Ayton for the season and somehow he's improved drastically, while Ayton has regressed. Personally, I don't see any one of them being more likely to lay an egg in the playoffs than the other. The love for Bridges and hate for Ayton on this board is amusing.

Relative to their starting positions from when they entered the league, Bridges has progressed far more on offense than Ayton has. To suggest otherwise is completely disingenuous.

Rookie Bridges had a hitch in his shot, and was very diffident with the ball in his hands. Over the last 2 years, we've seen him:
- correct the hitch in his shot, to the point he is almost automatic from the corner. Just an excellent 3-point shooter now. 42% on solid volume
- become an exceptional finisher in transition, almost as good as Booker
- become an outstanding cutter - this isn't spoon feeding - this is HIM creating those opportunities
- become far more confident handling the ball, attacking closeouts and showing flashes of a mid-range game as well

Ayton has progressed significantly on defense since his rookie season - I'm one of Ayton's biggest cheerleaders on that end.

But to ignore the fact that he's remained stagnant on offense is fairly strange. You can acknowledge that without "hating" on him. I see almost no progression on any of Ayton's offensive weaknesses from year 1. He still can't put the ball on the floor, he still struggles finishing through contact, he still doesn't get to the FT line (numbers are in fact lower than year 1), his 3-point shot has still not developed. Saying that is hardly hating on him.


Bridges shot was fine as a rookie and the hitch came the first half last year which was strange he had tried to change it. He has improved on cutting and creating his own shot, and his 3 ptr has become elite.

Ayton has improved on offense as well, though it takes time with the chemistry on lobs, he has finally mostly gotten that down except the bad passes that get knocked away or are uncatchable.

But, recently I have seen him turn around, face up for a shot, back guys down, drive from the free throw line, turn around for fadeways, and get to the line more. His efficiency has drastically improved from last year too.

HIs scoring is down simply to fewer shots, in part with more scorers but also because of a lot more defensive attention so he smartly doesn't force up shots against 2-3 defenders and finds the open guy.

Obviously if he took as many shots as last year, he would have more points than last year since his efficiency has improved so much.

Now Bridges may have improved more, primarily because his shot is so much better, but Ayton may have added more overall to his game. Now he doesn't do a lot of the newer stuff often, and some of it is more recent, but Bridges doesn't create his own shot often either. He was already a great cutter last year...so Bridges occasionally creates and improved his 3 pt shot.

Bridges looked as if he added more early. Ayton has shown a little more lately...in my opinion.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#594 » by bwgood77 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:24 pm

sasquatchBob wrote:I wouldn't give Ayton more than 15 mil per year. Even if he balls out and improves his offense next year, I would still feel hesitant about giving him more than that. I have a feeling that if he gets paid big money he would just go back to being passive because he reached his goal of getting paid. Sorry to say this, but I have no trust in him.


I don't think him learning or trying hard on the court is simply for money. I think he genuinely WANTS to improve. I don't really agree with this assessment in the least.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#595 » by bwgood77 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:26 pm

Mulhollanddrive wrote:My guess for our offer would be $20-22m.

Capela gets $18m and we'd need to pay some sort of premium for potential.

Similar range for Bridges too.


This would be viewed as a good deal from analysts experts who are non biased, based on his level of play. If he drastically increases next year, it could be more...and I think he will improve..not sure how much.

If we can extend early at that amount, that would be nice.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#596 » by bwgood77 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:33 pm

sasquatchBob wrote:
Ryu wrote:
sasquatchBob wrote:I wouldn't give Ayton more than 15 mil per year. Even if he balls out and improves his offense next year, I would still feel hesitant about giving him more than that. I have a feeling that if he gets paid big money he would just go back to being passive because he reached his goal of getting paid. Sorry to say this, but I have no trust in him.


Okay, let`s trade him then to Spurs for a middling first rounder (who can maybe someday be half good) while Pop would make him new Tim Duncan.

FFS, we are 26-12 and DA is a BIG part of our success. Get on it, Ayton haters.


I agree that he's a big part of our success but I also think he's replaceable part of our success. You swap Ayton with another respectable rim protector and I think we stand at the same spot. I would much rather see Bridges getting signed for years to come as I think it's him and Booker that we have to build around in future to continue being successful.

In my opinion making Ayton financially a 2nd/3rd guy of our big 3 is a pretty big risk.


Cs are not that easy to find....ask Toronto. There are about 8 better Cs than Ayton..maybe 10, but most don't pull as much gravity, making our offense significantly better, most don't set screens as well for guys like Book and Paul to get wide open mid range or long range shots. His screens may not always look the best or hard, and you will see some other C set one hard screen a game, usually just while a guy is running down the court not looking, but Ayton is a league leader on screen assists, setting one that results in a guy scoring.

He also is one of the few Cs who can effectively switch and stay in front of guys like Ja, Coby White, etc...little small guards, and most all wings...he is among the leaders in contested shots..the only one on the lists of top guys to contest 2s and 3s.

So you may find a better rim protector, or a better rebounder, or a better scorer, or a better passer, but you won't find a guy who has as much as a complete skill set. There are guys with a better complete skill set, like Jokic and Embiid, and maybe Towns, but that's about it...you could say Vucevic, but only on offense.....Gobert on defense, but really only in the middle. 5-7 guys better at rebounding, but most don't do much else but maybe score inside, or possibly block some shots.

And none of these guys are CLOSE to 22, with nearly as much upside.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#597 » by TouchPassDario » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:43 pm

I enjoyed Ayton facing up and taking JV baseline.

The move wasn’t even that good, but quick and decisive and drew a foul. He needs to attack more. Our foul draw rate is our biggest weakness.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#598 » by sasquatchBob » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:53 pm

bwgood77 wrote:
sasquatchBob wrote:
Ryu wrote:
Okay, let`s trade him then to Spurs for a middling first rounder (who can maybe someday be half good) while Pop would make him new Tim Duncan.

FFS, we are 26-12 and DA is a BIG part of our success. Get on it, Ayton haters.


I agree that he's a big part of our success but I also think he's replaceable part of our success. You swap Ayton with another respectable rim protector and I think we stand at the same spot. I would much rather see Bridges getting signed for years to come as I think it's him and Booker that we have to build around in future to continue being successful.

In my opinion making Ayton financially a 2nd/3rd guy of our big 3 is a pretty big risk.


Cs are not that easy to find....ask Toronto. There are about 8 better Cs than Ayton..maybe 10, but most don't pull as much gravity, making our offense significantly better, most don't set screens as well for guys like Book and Paul to get wide open mid range or long range shots. His screens may not always look the best or hard, and you will see some other C set one hard screen a game, usually just while a guy is running down the court not looking, but Ayton is a league leader on screen assists, setting one that results in a guy scoring.

He also is one of the few Cs who can effectively switch and stay in front of guys like Ja, Coby White, etc...little small guards, and most all wings...he is among the leaders in contested shots..the only one on the lists of top guys to contest 2s and 3s.

So you may find a better rim protector, or a better rebounder, or a better scorer, or a better passer, but you won't find a guy who has as much as a complete skill set. There are guys with a better complete skill set, like Jokic and Embiid, and maybe Towns, but that's about it...you could say Vucevic, but only on offense.....Gobert on defense, but really only in the middle. 5-7 guys better at rebounding, but most don't do much else but maybe score inside, or possibly block some shots.

And none of these guys are CLOSE to 22, with nearly as much upside.


I agree with what you say for the most part. But if we lock in Book, Bridges and DA that's it, that's the core. At that point we probably lose CP3 too because he will demand too much money or won't be up to par because of his age.

If we lock him in for years to come he needs to perform at a much higher level. At that point our success will depend on Ayton. He's the X-Factor in that case. I still don't believe in him as much as I would like to. Things that annoyed me about him in the first year are still here in the 3rd. Wildly inconsistent play being the biggest knock.

In my eyes he's what John Collins is for Atlanta. We will probably sign him and he's going to stay but I think it's worth looking into options where we can move him.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#599 » by TouchPassDario » Tue Mar 16, 2021 5:14 pm

Even Jokic is exploitable in space in ways Ayton isn’t.

If he could shoot threes at 35% and draw the occasional foul, Ayton would be the prototypical playoff center: no holes in his game. Embiid isn’t guarding Ja in space.
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Re: Deandre Ayton year 3, the next step 

Post#600 » by TouchPassDario » Tue Mar 16, 2021 5:41 pm

Bickley and Marotta are so stupid.

DA REALLY GOT IT TAKEN TO HIM BY VAL EARLY!

Ja was really held in check.


Hmmmmmmmmmmm

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