lilfishi22 wrote: Trading of a generational star in general is extremely rare. But I gave you reasons why Nico might've wanted to keep it quiet. For example if we wanted to move KD for the best package available but it happens to be like the Wizards or something, do you think it's better to let him know so he can "veto" it or just get it done?
I already said the Mavs got back less than what they traded away but....NBA GM's make dumb trades, this happens to be a really really dumb trade. Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity. It seem Nico or better yet, Dumont were stupid for wanting AD this much for their 3 years window that they would trade away Luka for it. But they did it, you don't need collusion to happen if you're dumb enough to only involve one team because you want one specific player.
I also said most trades take place without the GM announcing that player is on the block. Generally what happens is that GM calls a few opposing GM's with trade packages and quite often, it leaks out that player might be on the move. It doesn't need to be announced. And I would also wager A LOT more conversations, potential trades get discussed that never goes anywhere nor leaks. But the more calls you make, the more likely is that to leak and as I pointed out before, the Mavs specifically wanted AD or Giannis, nobody else in their mind fit the bill of who'd they trade AD for. Maybe they don't want a Bam Adebayo and picks, maybe they didn't want Booker and other assets. Maybe they only wanted AD or Giannis. And for a secret to be kept, it only needs 2 people motivated enough to keep the secret. Nico wanted a deal to get done without Luka blowing it up and clearly Rob wants to get it done without getting into a bidding war. Both parties had a desire to keep it a secret.
If that's the case, it's not so crazy to keep negotiations with your main trade partner a secret from the rest of the league and maybe specifically Luka who could do a bunch of things as a superstar to nuke their preferred trade (rightfully or wrongly.)
Ultimately, it only takes one stupid owner, stupidly only wanting one specific player, at whatever stupid cost, for this to happen without collusion. A bunch of fans on here (possibly you as well) think the KD trade was a ridiculous overpay and again, it only takes one owner, wanting one specific player, at whatever cost, to throw in that final MIkal Bridges in the trade to get it done. Sure, it's
it's not on the level of the Luka/AD trade but it just shows, owners, especially new ones, aren't prone to making savvy value deals
Your claim as to why Harrison kept it quiet was in order to keep Luka from finding out and somehow vetoing or sabotaging the trade. But, Doncic was still under contract for two more years (this season and the next) with his players' option coming in 26-27. So it's not really likely that he'd be able to do much to stop or influence not getting traded if the Mavs were intent on trading him somewhere. On top of that, He couldn't get his huge payday from any other team that didn't draft him, BUT the team he'd be traded to would then become the team that could still pay him more than anything he'd receive if opting for free agency from having his bird rights! So he'd lose significant money by opting for free agency, and clearly the Lakers big market would give him the very best chance to make up any lost money through countless endorsements, and promotions they could offer. So the veto argument just doesn't hold water honestly. Furthermore, The idea of them keeping things secret in order to try and secure the best package is clearly absurd considering the lack of ANY OTHER COMPETITIVE OFFERS BEING TABLED AT ALL TO DRIVE UP THEIR RETURN. They literally settled on such a horrifically low return that it's become a consensus discussion for possibly being the worst trade in NBA history by a wide margin!
You've said that this is a really dumb trade and that NBA GMs do sometimes make very dumb trades, but clearly, this one was far beyond that premise and completely indefensible by any logical or even common sense premises. But I do believe that there's actually much more to this than just a really stupid sport trade and that there's a much bigger intent behind this than just a very poor basketball-related decision, and I'll share those reasons/explanations shortly. But it appears much bigger than what most everyone even realizes on the surface, and not that much to do with basketball after all. And even though on the surface it just appears as an extremely ignorant/ shortsighted decision, it's motives are actually far more nefarious and business/ profit driven outside of basketball-centric related. Ultimately it turns out that we were both right to an extent on thee motivations of this horrifically lopsided trade, But collusion, secrecy and tampering was absolutely involved, AND Dumont ABSOLUTELY DID WANT AD AND THE VEERY LOW END LAKERS OFFER TOO, but not for the reasons he mentioned at all and not for the reasons that Harrison mentioned either. Ultimately this was about Dumont and the Adlsons' gaining leverage to build a casino-attached stadium in DFW, but after years of lobbying enormous amounts of money, they've been unsuccessful in getting the Texas legislature to pass the bill to allow legalized gambling in Texas due to the Texas constitution prohibiting this.
The Dumont/ Adelson family buying the Mavs had almost nothing to do with lgit interest in basketball, but actually their (frequently stated interest in building their NBA casino in the lucrative untapped gambling market in Texas if they can only leverage the Mavs franchise to get the Texas legislature to amend the Texas constitution to allow legalized gambling in DFW for the Adeelsons to create a destination casino/ NBA arena "VENTIAN DALLAS" market plan. In order to leverage this would be to threaten to move th Mavs to Las Vegas if they don't approve the gambling amendment. But obviously, the NBA wouldn't agree to this type of move or would even be able to justify it with Luka there creating a successful franchise that just recently went to the finals and featured a young 25 yr old multi-time MVP-level generational franchise player driving fan interest/ devotion and a profitable franchise in the 4th largest market. BUT IF the Mavs gave Luka away and only took a pretty terrible offer and then pissed off their fanbase, and had a poor future and struggled, it immediately becomes a lot more justifiable for the NBA (Adam Silver) to now move the Mavs to Vegas (IF the Texas legislature doesn't allow the legalized gambling in Texas) so thee Adelsons can now successfully pursue tapping into the previously untapped Texas market for their NBA/Casino attached "Venetian Dallas" marketing plan that they've openly mentioned numerous times.
Now you might ask why Adam Silver and the NBA would collude in this to allow Dumont and the Adelsons to sabotage the Mavs franchise? Simply because:
1- Doing this gives their flagship franchise Doncic, which sets them up post-Lebron for a further 10 years in terms of viability, huge marketing, and promotional revenue in the NBAs' largest basketball market as well as give them a premier frontman/spokesman towards their overseas expansion plans considering how well known/famous Luka is overseas, etc.
2- It also greenlights' (upon approval) Silvers' interests in tapping into even bigger revenue possibilities if they can now leverage the casino/gambling NBAs' arena attached sports premise outside of just Vegas creating more revenue streams from this premise, and gaining traction to then expand this idea further to other cities too possibly! Silver has been seeking this type of expansion premise for a while.
3- For Lebron (who absolutely was aware of this) It allows him (through Silver/ NBA league office/ Adelson Sands Vegas connection to also pursue his dream of owning a Vegas expansion team lobbied by the Adelsons themselves) once he retires. As well as helping him to yet another finals appearance and a chance at another championship for his legacy promoted by the NBA and betting lines/ etc.
4- For Lukas' interests, It gives him a HUGE promotional market base for his bike deals as well as multiple other promotional/ commercial movie-based considerations to promote his legacy post-Lebron in the NBAs' biggest market as well as what will become his legacy as the spokesman/poster boy for the NBAs' biggest market towards overseas expansion. These options will not only replenish any money lost from the contract he would have signed with the Mavs but exponentially feed his ego-driven fame/notoriety. Only further establishing his legacy.
5- For Harrisons' interests, Even though Harrison comes off as the moron and fall guy in this trade, and likely forever tarnished his reputation as a GM. It really won't matter because the Lakers and NBA front office will have very cushy positions/ salary offers setting him up long-term for his role in this very lucrative orchestration. He'll collect a very, very nice retirement nest egg well beyond what he'd collect as an NBA GM alone for when he retires to Oregon. His 19-year friendship with Pelinka back when he was an executive at Nike and also a handler for Kobe in meeting Pelinka! made this plan possible and has been quietly planned for a couple of years now as their post-Lebron superstar pursuit knowing the League office would happily approve.
So yes, you were right that the owner Dumont wanted AD, but his interest wasn't at all competitive. And the only reason he/ Harrison kept this secret was to suppress value and not get any reasonably good return that might keep the Mavs sustainably competitive because that would make the Adelsons' plans to leverage moving the team to Vegas to get their "Venetian Dallas casino plans approved much harder to justify if competitive and profitable with heavy fan interest protesting against it. But they knew trading for a very injury-prone AD and getting a pathetically craptastic package return would sabotage the Mav's competitive future and also alienate the fanbase (they've already lost over 700.000 fans on Instagram alone from this move) which would make the threat of moving the Mavs to Vegas much more justifiable for Silver/ Dumont in a veiled threat to the Texas legislature if they don't amend the Texas constitution to allow legalized gambling in Dallas Fort Worth so the Adelsons' themselves can tap into this lucrative "untapped" market for their plans to build their NBA based "Venetian Dallas" casino. Dumont and the Adelsons' don't care about the Mavs franchise from a competitive-driven sports sense, they only care about the location value for their casino plans they've tried to promote for a couple of years in Texas. And Silver only cares about his biggest market landing Luka for ratings/viewership/marketability/ expansion possibilities both in Europe's market and the possibility of building casino-attached arenas plans to tap the gambling market for expansion there as well.
Look for a couple of things to happen in the next two years when the Texas legislature reconvenes again (for further validation of all of this).
1- Texas legislature amends their constitution to legalize gambling in Texas to now Greenlight the Adelsons' stated plans for their "Venetian Dallas Casino.
2- Dallas will really struggle and become a relatively mediocre team with a bleak future because their trade return for Doncic was so puzzling and terrible that they'll lack the assets to make viable trades, and AD will unsurprisingly only continue to become more injury-prone.
3- Mark Cuban will miraculously emerge as the "hero" returning to buy back the franchise from Dumont in 26-27 as Dumont and the Adelsons accept blame as "the bad guys" (because they don't care anyway as long as their casino plans get passed) and then restores the Mavs franchise back to competitive viability. Look for the NBA (Silver) to miraculously help the Mavs land a high lottery pick in a trade or a star player via trade in 26-27 once the approval goes through for the Adelsons' and Cuban reacquires ownership in the Mavs, while Cuban also low key collects profits from any DFW Mavs arena/ casino attached rebuild. Increasing his profits from the gambling revenue now being allowed at the casino/ NBA arena locations in Texas.
4- Adam Silver successfully promotes overseas expansions through Doncics' connections and marketability, while also successfully punishing for revamped arenas with casino connections in more locations tapping into greater gambling revenue sources.
So sadly, we were both correct in our premises to a limited extent man. But it shouldn't be that surprising to anyone when you consider the NBA after all is a market/ratings-driven business entity.
