Post#713 » by ImNotMcDiSwear » Mon Jun 12, 2017 1:22 pm
I'm mostly with Frank here. One thing that was very clear to me watching Bender play last season is that he's not a starting center, on either end of the court. His favorite passing target is the center - he likes to make tough interior passes that others can't pull off due to the size difference. His shot most closely resembles that of a shooting guard - quick, high release. He is able to switch onto a lot of (not all) perimeter players. Defensively, he is best off-ball, covering for others, getting weak side blocks. The only things that point to him being a center are the fact that he thrives at the top of the key (where many centers are positioned in NBA offenses) and that his hook shot looks legit (sorry Alex). You don't want him being your strong side shot blocker or constantly having to box out the other team's biggest player. That's a bad fit.
Bender is the ideal "center" to use against other teams' small lineups. But the traditional center has not gone away, and I don't think it's wise to project that the position will go away. Smarter, I think, to draft a real starting center if you can. I love Collins. We're a small but fervent bunch around here.
The one respect in which I disagree with Frank is the idea that the best way forward is to trade down for Collins. Maybe. If you think another team might jump on him mid-lotto, sure. But the consensus seems to be that at least Fox, Isaac, Tatum and Monk have to come off the board before Collins. I'm finding my way towards wanting to take Fox at 4. You do that, and Bled becomes expendable. If you can move him for a pick in the 10-12 range that nets you Collins, that would be fantastic.
The biggest problem I see with trading down is that even though I think he's a terrible fit, I cannot avoid thinking that at least Tatum, and perhaps also Fox, is a tier above Collins in terms of talent. So if I'm trading down, I want something substantial. Is there a team willing to give up real value to move up?
The ideas I'm entertaining in terms of draft day trades are:
- Swap picks with Orlando and exchange:
Knight for Fournier/
Knight and Tyson for Fournier and Vucevic/
Knight, Tyson, Bled for Fournier, Vucevic, Augustin/
Knight, Tyson, Bled, TJ for Fournier, Vucevic, Augustin, Gordon
- Trade Bled and TJ (and perhaps Tyson for filler) for #7 and Rubio (perhaps move Rubio to third team, like DET for #12, perhaps with #12 returned to MIN)
- LA sends #2 and Mozgov to SAC for #5; SAC sends Mozgov to us in a deal that nets us the #10 (permutations here get complicated)
- CHA sends #11 to us along with Nic Batum and Miles Plumlee for TJ, Knight and Chandler
- DET sends #12 in various scenarios; perhaps they give us actual value for Knight in exchange for moving Drummond (to LA? For Mozgov as part of a deal to swap #2 for #4 or #5? Permutations get complicated!
- If Collins is somehow still around at #13, Bled for #13, future pick and filler (hopefully valuable filler that can be sent to a third team)
So yeah, I think there are openings for various deals that can be made to get us Collins in addition to whomever we like at #4. As I say, I'm leaning Fox. I'm open to Tatum if we can move TJ (I'm in the minority on that point, I know), but even then, I don't think he's a great fit here. So at this point, I see four options:
1. Move up for Ball.
2. Take Jackson and try to trade in for Collins.
3. Take Fox and try to trade in for Collins.
4. Trade back for Collins in a move that rids us of at least Brandon Knight.