Building/re-building
Posted: Wed Dec 30, 2015 6:41 pm
I have a couple of thoughts on where we are in comparison to other building/re-building teams.
I always like to make the following lists: Contenders, Trending Upward, Trending Downward, and Bottom Tier. The teams trending upward can make the playoffs within a year or three, while teams trending downward are more likely to fall out of the playoff race, blow up their current teams, etc.
Here's my version of that.
(all unranked within category)
Contenders (should be self-explanatory)
Golden State
San Antonio
Cleveland
Oklahoma City
Trending Upward
Indiana
Dallas
Orlando
Atlanta
Boston
Miami
Charlotte
Detroit
Utah
Clippers (and I say this only because their record is good enough)
Toronto
Chicago (same as the Clippers)
Trending Downward
Washington
New York
Milwaukee
Memphis
Houston
Phoenix
Portland
Denver
Sacramento
New Orleans
Bottom Tier
Brooklyn
Philly
LA Lakers
Minnesota
Thoughts on the other young teams:
New Orleans - what happened?
Orlando - admittedly looking nice
Milwaukee - honestly, which would you prefer as a Bucks fan: Milwaukee with Brandon Knight, or Milwaukee this year?
Utah - I don't know if Gobert would have been better for us, but he can really play. Props to them.
Portland - outside of two great guards, not nearly enough. Youth improvement is not going to be substantial. They'll have to find someone. maybe Mason Plumlee can be that guy.
Minnesota - not there yet.
Conclusions
1) there isn't a young team that's way ahead of us. Orlando and Boston aren't contenders. I don't know when they will be, but it's not any time soon.
2) Have we made the best of limited options? Well, let me ask you this: how many of those teams would love to have Brandon Knight as their point guard? Minnesota, Utah, and Milwaukee all could use him, and it's possible Orlando and New Orleans would prefer him, too.
3) My most important conclusion: assume we don't have Brandon Knight. Make a list of your favorite guys under 28 years old. Remove any All-Stars, players who would go in the first three rounds of a fantasy draft, Karl-Anthony Towns, Kristaps Porzingis, and Andrew Wiggins. Now Eric Bledsoe needs at least one more scorer to get the Suns to 100 PPG.
Who are your one or two guys? If they're Devin Booker and T.J. Warren, I understand, but we'll have to see how that goes. It hasn't yielded playoff-caliber results yet. If you think we need outside help, who is it? If it's not Brandon Knight, who?
Until we answer that question, we won't break the ranks we're in. Neither, by the way, will those other teams.
I always like to make the following lists: Contenders, Trending Upward, Trending Downward, and Bottom Tier. The teams trending upward can make the playoffs within a year or three, while teams trending downward are more likely to fall out of the playoff race, blow up their current teams, etc.
Here's my version of that.
(all unranked within category)
Contenders (should be self-explanatory)
Golden State
San Antonio
Cleveland
Oklahoma City
Trending Upward
Indiana
Dallas
Orlando
Atlanta
Boston
Miami
Charlotte
Detroit
Utah
Clippers (and I say this only because their record is good enough)
Toronto
Chicago (same as the Clippers)
Trending Downward
Washington
New York
Milwaukee
Memphis
Houston
Phoenix
Portland
Denver
Sacramento
New Orleans
Bottom Tier
Brooklyn
Philly
LA Lakers
Minnesota
Thoughts on the other young teams:
New Orleans - what happened?
Orlando - admittedly looking nice
Milwaukee - honestly, which would you prefer as a Bucks fan: Milwaukee with Brandon Knight, or Milwaukee this year?
Utah - I don't know if Gobert would have been better for us, but he can really play. Props to them.
Portland - outside of two great guards, not nearly enough. Youth improvement is not going to be substantial. They'll have to find someone. maybe Mason Plumlee can be that guy.
Minnesota - not there yet.
Conclusions
1) there isn't a young team that's way ahead of us. Orlando and Boston aren't contenders. I don't know when they will be, but it's not any time soon.
2) Have we made the best of limited options? Well, let me ask you this: how many of those teams would love to have Brandon Knight as their point guard? Minnesota, Utah, and Milwaukee all could use him, and it's possible Orlando and New Orleans would prefer him, too.
3) My most important conclusion: assume we don't have Brandon Knight. Make a list of your favorite guys under 28 years old. Remove any All-Stars, players who would go in the first three rounds of a fantasy draft, Karl-Anthony Towns, Kristaps Porzingis, and Andrew Wiggins. Now Eric Bledsoe needs at least one more scorer to get the Suns to 100 PPG.
Who are your one or two guys? If they're Devin Booker and T.J. Warren, I understand, but we'll have to see how that goes. It hasn't yielded playoff-caliber results yet. If you think we need outside help, who is it? If it's not Brandon Knight, who?
Until we answer that question, we won't break the ranks we're in. Neither, by the way, will those other teams.