The way Oubre plays though, he’ll always have a fit for virtually any team. So even if he gets a contract in the $15M range other teams could potentially look to trade expirings for him. He isn’t in the same mold as some of these other guys who got fat deals a couple of years ago.
Examples off the top of my head being Evan Turner, non shooter, 27 years old, no real upside.
Mozgov- older veteran as well, and a big that doesn’t spread the floor.
Bazemore is a good comparison since he was considered a 3&D guy but he was also 27 years old.
In fact even looking back to the notable signings, most were older players. Allen Crabbe was a RFA so he still had some upside as he was only 24 years old, but he doesn’t even fit the same mold as what KO is. Plus teams thought back then that the cap would continue to sky rocket, which is why many players received deals larger than what they are worth. Right now, I’d say KO could very well be worth a $55-60M 4 year deal , since he’s only 24 and money wise that would equate to about 13% of our cap room.
Only teams I could see going for KO are young teams. Maybe the Hawks since I heard they made Prince available. The Grizzlies, Cavs, maybe the Mavs, Bulls, and Pelicans. Most playoff teams don’t really have the cap space, and probably don’t want to risk signing a 23 year old when there are so many other older veteran wings available.
There are also other young mid level wings or cheaper available such as RHJ, Lamb, Hezonja. Someone is going to sign a contract right away and dictate the market for others, and with so many options out there, I bet most teams are only go to offer $12M max for these kind of guys. Because of this I’m not too worried about signing KO long term on a good deal.