cberry78 wrote:bwgood77 wrote:WeekapaugGroove wrote:I wonder if this means the league is abandoning hope of full arenas this coming season. I could see them looking at and thinking there's no better chance of it in March than December so why not just get going and stay on a somewhat normal calendar. Now no/limited fans will absolutely be a hit to finances and I'd expect a flat cap for a few years.
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If they have no fans for awhile and limited fans later it will crush revenues worse than last year (unless China bounces back).
I think they could require masks, temperature checks and social distancing though and do reasonably well...maybe half capacity since families could sit together.
Considering that NYC is shutting down a wedding that is expected to draw 10k people (yes, a wedding), and most arenas are in the 18k+ range, I doubt the League will get more than 25% occupancy rights in most of the country as most states still have bans on large gatherings and those aren't going away any time soon. Plus, we're heading towards our second (third?) wave of COVID-19, and the numbers are just going to climb as winter sets in and people (in most of the country) are relegated to more confined indoor (home/work) spaces. Watch the COVID numbers in bigger northern cities (CHI, MIN, NYC, etc) as the temps drop, those numbers should be the first to climb.
Yeah, the east and north will get hit harder again as they did in the spring since it will get really cold in the winter and they will be more indoors. The warm weather places will not be as bad somewhat like they were in the spring, because they get hit worse in the summer when it gets too hot to be outdoors, and more people on indoors.
But, it shouldn't be nearly as bad now that people are more equipped to deal with it outside of the states that have a large percentage of people that are anti maskers, etc.
I don't expect there to be fans at all in January, but maybe they gradually get up to 25% by March and maybe 50% for April and May.