sunskerr wrote:Im a believer in BPA when drafting so as long as the FO thinks Smith was the BPA then I get the move. Defensively the fit is "good enough" as long as they don't play Ayton at the 4 for too long (there isn't a 7 footer in the league who can switch and play perimeter D for starters minutes - no not even Davis).
If you draft BPA even if your fit sucks, you give yourself a higher chance to draft someone you can flip for another piece, or you can flip to person the BPA replaces: for example, god forbid Ayton stays at 18/10 with no threes, you hope Smith pans out as the Serge Ibaka comparison, making Ayton tradeable. Or if they both pan out then you have a guy to trade for a point guard/wing/whatever OR you've found your starting PF.
All good as long as he was BPA according to our FO. There is no real downside to drafting BPA.
I'm fine with Ayton at 32 minutes at C and Smith at 16 and then Smith with maybe 10 minutes at PF.
Of course this doesn't account for Saric, but eventually, if Saric is gone, or maybe just plays more 4.
If Smith can become more of a 4, or play with Ayton where Ayton is the 4 on defense, and they can play more like 20 minutes together it might be better.
I doubt Smith would be any worse in the long term guarding smaller 4s than Saric is..he can't move slower than that.
Comparing to Toppin a littlle worse...not nearly the finisher or quite the shooter, so overall FG% not as good, and not nearly the passer, but he does block double the shots and has the better DRTG and DBPM...they have a similar ORTG and DRTG and Net RTG though. And of course Jalen is 2 years younger...I'm sure he was better at the same age. http://www.tankathon.com/players/compare?players=jalen-smith--obi-toppin
First of all, injuries. Injuries, injuries, injuries. I think if we're completely health, Smith might play about 14 MPG to start the season. He'll play more as he earns minutes, and then of course there will be injuries. I don't expect to see him next to Ayton much at all for a while. He's still a kid. He'll get better, and he'll probably stay healthier than most players because of his youth. Whether he and Ayton can co-exist will be important down the line, but not that much next year.
It's funny because age is the most objective metric, you'd think it would have weighed more heavily on the mocking community. When you consider that Smith and Toppin are so similar in terms of their advanced metrics, and all the others with said advanced metrics either don't win (like Paul Reed, who I liked), or play like bigs of yore (like Vernon Carey), it's peculiar that Jalen wasn't hyped at all leading up to the draft.
And then you think about how the name of the game for bigs in today's NBA is 3's and blocks and you wonder, Why would Jalen Smith not be thought of as a lottery pick?
Personally, I don't think we reached.