bwgood77 wrote:Jesus_H_Macy wrote:Oh man how sweet would a W be tonight. Listening to the talking heads flailing around trying to, for the second time in a week, explain it away as the Warriors are still better would be so satisfying.
I think getting the W tonight will be extremely difficult though. I'm not too worried about the minutes guys played last night. Bridges is a young stallion, I don't think he'll be tired. Paul played a lot but wasn't really exerting himself too much. The things that concern me are:
--Dubs have had 3 days to review the film and gameplan for us. I think they'll figure out some way to limit Ayton in the paint and it'll be tough for us to overcome that on O without Book. On D you have to assume Curry will have a better game, though you might also assume that Poole and Porter won't be as good. They'll figure something out to get Curry loose more than he was on Tuesday though
--More minutes for Payton. He is great for a 3rd string PG and is a very good passer and driver, but there's a really big drop off from CP3/Payne to him running the O in regards to the quality of our offensive possessions. It would be nice if we still had Craig to slot JamJo and Bridges down, or even having AbomiNader available would be nice in case he could wind back the clock a bit and be productive on the floor again
--You know the Dubs are pissed deep down in their hearts and want to embarrass us on their homecourt. We'll need to play a near perfect game to win this one
I won't be worried about the team if we we lose but thinking about all the smug media faces slobbering all over the Dubs after the game if we lose is already raising my blood pressure. Let's go Suns!!!
We can't play Payton much. It kills us. He has such awful efficiency it hurts. TS% of 48%. He can't shoot AT ALL. He' only taken one 3 so no one will guard him out there and will just double someone else, usually crowding the middle to avoid an easy basket from a big and/or defend his drive. So when he DOES drive he almost always runs into 2 defenders and misses. He is under 39% from 3 to 10 ft and can't shoot beyond that. Almost every single one of his shots has been in the paint, yet he can't even make them in there.
All he can do is hope to get to the rim, which he has successfully finished 8 times out of 12 tries this year.
Look at his shot chart.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/p/paytoel01/shooting/2022
Ya he's got a really odd game where he's great at passing and at driving to the rim, but terrible at every other thing on O, including not being great at finishing at the rim once he gets there which makes that skill less valuable. Maybe Wainwright will get more burn? He didn't get enough time for me to form any sort of opinion on him one way or the other besides he didn't do anything bad. Think he had a nice pass IIRC? Our bench is weird this year. It's simultaneously better and deeper but worse and less deep than last season if that makes any sense

. Much stronger at backup 2, stronger at 3rd string 1, stronger at backup 5 (though Dario was a net positive). Much weaker at backup 3/4, and even though Galloway, Moore, and Carter weren't PGs I still think I'd feel better about them getting minutes than Payton as long as we also have CP/Book/Shamet on the floor. Payton's value is having an actual PG if CP or Payne get hurt, which is useful, but that's about it.