Welcome to the Phoenix Suns: Koby Brea!
Posted: Fri Jun 27, 2025 1:52 am
https://www.noceilingsnba.com/p/the-complex-simplicity-of-koby-brea
ChatGPT summary if you don't have time to read:
The One-Sentence Test: NBA scouts often say if you can't succinctly explain why a player belongs in the NBA, they probably don’t. For Koby Brea, that pitch is: “One of the greatest shooters in the world, 6’6”, and a smart passer.”
Truly Elite Shooting: Brea is a special shooter with elite efficiency (49.8% from 3) and volume (12.9 3PA per 100 possessions). His mechanics are consistent, and his shot versatility includes pull-ups, off-movement shots, and sidesteps.
Smart and Trustworthy: He’s a low-mistake, intelligent ball mover. While not a creator, he’s effective within an offense—averaging low turnovers and showing good passing instincts.
Limited Offensive Usage: Despite his shooting, Brea has never had a usage rate over 20% in college, indicating he’s more of a complementary player than a primary or secondary option.
Poor Finishing & Athleticism: Brea rarely attacks the rim and struggles when he does (43.3% at the rim). He lacks vertical pop and had just one dunk last season—a red flag for NBA wings.
Defensive Concerns: Defensively, he’s slow laterally, lacks burst and strength, and doesn’t make plays (career STL% and BLK% of 1.0). He’ll be a liability against both guards and wings at the NBA level.
Concerning Statistical Profile: He checks several red-flag boxes—low usage, poor rim finishing, low stocks, and minimal dunks—but there are successful NBA players (e.g., Gary Trent Jr., Luke Kennard) with similar pre-draft profiles.
The Case for Draftability: While Brea has a hard statistical ceiling, his elite shooting and reliability may make him a viable bench contributor. In today’s NBA, “low-maintenance shooter” is still a valuable archetype.
Changing NBA Context: The NBA continues to favor high-volume three-point shooters. As long as teams want spacing and decision-making over isolation scoring, players like Brea have a real chance to stick—at least in regular-season rotations.
Final Verdict: Brea won’t be a star, and his flaws are real, but his outlier-level shooting gives him a real shot at earning a two-way contract and potentially carving out a long-term role as a floor-spacing role player.
ChatGPT summary if you don't have time to read:
The One-Sentence Test: NBA scouts often say if you can't succinctly explain why a player belongs in the NBA, they probably don’t. For Koby Brea, that pitch is: “One of the greatest shooters in the world, 6’6”, and a smart passer.”
Truly Elite Shooting: Brea is a special shooter with elite efficiency (49.8% from 3) and volume (12.9 3PA per 100 possessions). His mechanics are consistent, and his shot versatility includes pull-ups, off-movement shots, and sidesteps.
Smart and Trustworthy: He’s a low-mistake, intelligent ball mover. While not a creator, he’s effective within an offense—averaging low turnovers and showing good passing instincts.
Limited Offensive Usage: Despite his shooting, Brea has never had a usage rate over 20% in college, indicating he’s more of a complementary player than a primary or secondary option.
Poor Finishing & Athleticism: Brea rarely attacks the rim and struggles when he does (43.3% at the rim). He lacks vertical pop and had just one dunk last season—a red flag for NBA wings.
Defensive Concerns: Defensively, he’s slow laterally, lacks burst and strength, and doesn’t make plays (career STL% and BLK% of 1.0). He’ll be a liability against both guards and wings at the NBA level.
Concerning Statistical Profile: He checks several red-flag boxes—low usage, poor rim finishing, low stocks, and minimal dunks—but there are successful NBA players (e.g., Gary Trent Jr., Luke Kennard) with similar pre-draft profiles.
The Case for Draftability: While Brea has a hard statistical ceiling, his elite shooting and reliability may make him a viable bench contributor. In today’s NBA, “low-maintenance shooter” is still a valuable archetype.
Changing NBA Context: The NBA continues to favor high-volume three-point shooters. As long as teams want spacing and decision-making over isolation scoring, players like Brea have a real chance to stick—at least in regular-season rotations.
Final Verdict: Brea won’t be a star, and his flaws are real, but his outlier-level shooting gives him a real shot at earning a two-way contract and potentially carving out a long-term role as a floor-spacing role player.