Post#2 » by Clav » Thu Oct 24, 2024 9:48 pm
Since this card begins at 7AM for prelims for me on the west coast, I probably won't actually catch the earliest part, but I think it will be pretty solid action.
Styles to watch on Sat....
Basharat v Hugo
- Farid is a really strong wrestler and grappler, I'm looking for him to dominate as a huge favorite.
Abus Mago v Ferreira
- muythai v power striker and I think we get fireworks. Magomedov has been messed up in a few top-level fights by strikers but significantly won his last fight vs a can. Bruno is kind of wild, but he has very strong punching power, Abus isn't really that durable in some fights so I'm picking Bruno KO and expecting it to be a highlight.
Murphy v Ige
- Murphy is a striker and so is Ige - odds are one connects very hard. Ige is a +235 dog and just because Murphy is undefeated does not mean he will survive against a top-level veteran. We think Ige is older than he is, but they are both 33. It's closer than the odds present. Dan is a well known performer on big fights and he's very hard to put out.
Ankalaev v Rakic
- IF the winner here is Alex Pereira's next opponent, that winner needs a finish and not a decision where doubt creeps in. That means that Ankalaev's counters, kickboxing and wrestling are gonna be put to test against the more forward pressure and striking based Rakic. There is an edge for Magomed as favorite [he has avenues to win without a KO exactly] but I'm picking Rakic in my pre fight picks because I think he has been forgotten about a bit, even after Jiri KO'd him in his last fight, he looks huge this week, he can touch Ankalaev, and I think he's prepped for a return to form. Ankalaev needs the exact same result but his style is less conducive to a going forward KO, he will need to counter and place perfectly. If Rakic gets that touch and changes the narrative of the fight, he's going to push forward to end it which I think gives him a healthy respect as an underdog here.
Whittaker v Chimaev
- Should be quite the fight -- expecting Borz to be attack early. IF Rob makes it through a couple of rounds without being completely **** ed up, I think he outlasts Chimaev. I am picking Whittaker to do exactly that and hold on and KO in Rd4, but this could be the quickest fight of the night as well. Chimaev could dive in R1, submit Rob, or beat the hell out of him right out the gate with all the energy in his pocket. Unsure how well Khamzat will fight because vs Usman he was gassed, though blamed illness for it. Not sure what to take because he's far out of the USA media limelight generally, hard to gauge if he's truthful about being healthy or not. It's easy to see him be the same guy who demolished the Leech, but easy to also see him get wiped out if Whittaker stands and holds ground. Whittaker +200 is dangerous, I wouldn't bet on this fight, I'm just make picks from my information I can relay
Topuria v Holloway
- I love Max's style and he's been great for so long. But against my heart, I picked Topuria... Why ? I deathtouch. Ilia wants to KO him in R1 and point to the canvas and swing. Max will not want to get into that battle right off the bat so I hope it makes Ilia go crazy and do something stupid. I just don't see Topuria going back on his word, he is going to walk right up and swing heavy. If this isn't going to DEC or Championship rounds, he's going to connect and walk through the fire. Holloway never finished in a fight, but I have a bad feeling about this one.
Hopefully Max continues with another legendary moment and proves me wrong, counters or swings and puts Ilia's lights out, would be beautiful. Cheers everyone
Cheers
\m/
