Cammo101 wrote:
I don't think anyone else's recent resume is much better. Aoki has a nice win over Alvarez and wins over some other solid guys, but he has lost 2 of his last 8 and he is getting the home court treatment in Japan.
I'm not sure who has a better resume to be #3 behind Penn and Aoki. Kawajiri has not fought much top competition lately and when he does, he has lost. Edgar and Maynard have feasted on second tier guys. Alvarez is prettyu spotty against top tier guys. Melendez has not fought much level of competition.
I get your point, but when you dig deeper, I do not know who you could say has a better resume. IMO KenFlo has a better resume than Aoki and the only reason he is behind him is because he has lost more recently.
That's a fair assessment, and I probably agree.
I guess my point is just that it's so close at the top that being #3 in the world doesn't really mean the same thing as it might in another weight class. I think there's a first tier that is just Penn by himself, and then a second tier with 5-10 guys, if not more. You could make a case for Florian being as high as #2, and probably as low as the bottom half of the top 10. It doesn't really matter, he's just in that group.
Gomi's probably not in that group at the moment, but he definitely has been in the past, and at 31, it's not out of the question that he gets back in. Many people see him as washed up, but it's not like his physical tools are gone, nor is he so battle worn that he can no longer defend himself. It's pretty much a dedication thing. Maybe he's excited to be in the UFC and will train and perform like it. Maybe he will fold under the pressure of fighting in the US in the world's biggest promotion. It all depends on which Gomi shows up.
For what it's worth, Gomi would probably be Florian's biggest win to date.
I just think it's a closer fight than the odds are indicating, though I'm somewhat prepared for Florian going in and putting on a clinic.