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Attention Mojo (and others): Sergio Article

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Post#21 » by mojomarc » Wed Jan 30, 2008 3:38 am

Wizenheimer wrote:jack had 4 turnovers in that entire game which makes 5 in the 4th quarter statistically unlikely.


That's because he was responsible for a 24 second violation as well in that game to start the 4th by attempting to drive with three seconds left, but instead of putting up the shot he threw it to Outlaw with no time left on the clock. 24 second violations count as team turnovers for official statistics, but it was Jack's turnover.

He had the same number as steve blake and only 1 more then brandon roy who had 3. That was a team-wide meltdown in that game and blaming jack for it is simply off-base.


He was the only player who played the entire fourth quarter, and he contributed a total of one defensive rebound and one assist on the positive side of the ledger while forcing up five shots that he missed. He hit the stat column ten times in the fourth--eight of them were either missed shot or turnovers.

I said so at the time, and I stand by it--everyone deserves equal blame for that meltdown, but some players are more equal than others, and Jack was absolutely brutal. The problem there wasn't so much that Jack was brutal, though, but that Nate kept playing him when he was brutal and getting exposed as such.

I didn't say that Jack was Mr Lollypop. I was just wondering how it was that jack "constantly made the team worse, especially down the stretch" as was asserted. A 21-6 record over the last 27 games, when the blazers have played so well down the stretch with Jack on the floor seems to refute the assertion. But maybe I'm missing something.


First, it's "lollipop" :D

Second, Jack had some good games, but he has been at best a fairly mediochre player this season for the most part. And the 21-6 record was jumpstarted in large part because Nate took the ball out of Jack's hands and made him a SG when he's on the floor with Roy. I'm not saying he's as horrible as some here, but we have to be realistic about Jack--he's a fairly low-ceiling player that tends to turn the ball over fairly frequently. He also tends to take shots out of rhythm of the offense, and we've all discussed his defensive liabilities.

Can you call him "a turnover machine"? Not judging by PER48 turnovers, I suppose, where many are worse. However, among the players that have committed the total number of turnovers or more than Jack, only one other is a non-starter, and that's Manu. No one who has committed the number of turovers as Jack or more has delivered less on the other side of the ledger to balance it out--Jack has the lowest EFF score, and the lowest combined points/rebounds/assists of all the players in that category. So while his rate isn't as high, because he is delivering less elsewhere it is more accurate to call him a turnover machine than most since it makes up a higher amount of his identity as a basketball player. You can excuse turnovers more from the other players who turn the ball over as much or more than Jack a lot more because they're just doing a lot more to help their team win.
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Post#22 » by PDXKnight » Wed Jan 30, 2008 4:50 am

Fitz303 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



While im trying to stay out of this because I am obviously more of a jack supporter than Sergio, but youre clueless if you truly believe what you just wrote. Normally im not one for Per48 stats but if you want to talk about Turnovers, Sergio averages more than Jack when the minutes add up (in fact, 10th in the league in TO Per48). Jack has had poor games down the stretch but Jack has also had very good games down the stretch as well. To call Jack a turnover machine, when he averages 0.9 TOpg more than Blake in nearly the same amount of time, seems pretty ridiculous considering that Jack goes to the hoop more than Blake does. I've got my own opinions on Sergio and Jack, but i'll just leave that alone. But your comments on Jack being a detrement to the team and a turnover machine are pretty (Please Use More Appropriate Word)


OK, you're entitled to your opinion but I dislike Jack for more reasons than turnovers. While I want to look at some positve aspects of his game, I haven't seen him do anything very productive lately and quite honestly, I'm beginning to wonder how much of a future he has with this team. In the fast break, he manages to take away easy points nearly every trip down the court so he can't run the fast break very well, In the half court, he makes too many avoidable turnovers and while you said that this was a result of driving to the basket, most of his turnovers come from throwing the ball out of bounds, stepping on the sideline, ect, and as far as shooting goes, he too often relies on his jump shot more than driving to the basket. I like Jack as a person and definitely believe that he has a lot of character but honestly can't wait until Rudy returns next season and fills our needs at the combo guard to perfection.
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Post#23 » by trentsdad » Wed Jan 30, 2008 5:33 am

I love Sergio's game and would trade Jack for a can of Mountain Dew, but Sergio must learn to finish at the rim and get some arc on his outside shot, otherwise he will be inconsistent at best with it

If he wants to become special, and I think he can be another Steve Nash, he can be, he just has to show the effort and the willingness to improve his weaknesses
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Post#24 » by mojomarc » Wed Jan 30, 2008 6:07 am

While there is certainly no guarantee that Sergio will turn into Nash, here's Nash's averages when he was 22 as a rookie and the next season.

Rookie: 10.5mpg .423 FG% 2.1apg 1.0 turnovers
Second year: 21mpg .459 FG% 3.4apg 1.3 turnovers

Here's Sergio for those two years (Sergio is two years younger than Nash for each year):
Rookie: 12.7mpg .423 FG% 3.3apg 1.1 turnovers
Second year: 9.7mpg .392 FG% 1.9apg .9 turnovers

So as a rookie, Sergio was ahead of Nash, but it appears that the signing of Blake, Nate's abuse of the PG position with Jack and finally his decision to essentially use Roy as the PG has stunted the development. Sergio is down on everything this year, and I would say it's almost all related to PT. Still, if he were putting these numbers up next year we could say that he wasn't all that far off from Nash's production at the same age.

I think the frustrating thing with Sergio is that we can all see the potential, and we can even see that Sergio and Roy can coexist if Sergio can just work on the shot a bit more, but that he's not getting the chance to progress.
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Post#25 » by Jsun947 » Wed Jan 30, 2008 7:59 am

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Post#26 » by Tim Lehrbach » Wed Jan 30, 2008 10:00 am

mojomarc wrote:First, it's "lollipop"


While we're talking about spelling, why do you always put an 'h' in mediocre? Is there some joke I don't know about? Is it the favored spelling of Milton Friedman?
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Post#27 » by mojomarc » Wed Jan 30, 2008 3:29 pm

Tim Lehrbach wrote:Is it the favored spelling of Milton Friedman?


In a free market, the letter "h" is a relatively rare commodity that is often in high demand. As a rich capitalist pig, I have to show off how I can afford to use extra h's.



That, and I really can't spell all that well, and when I think of the word I think of the word "ochre" as a sort of homophone to the second part of the word, so when I don't have a spell check it just doesn't look wrong to me. I just had to make fun of him because right above I spelled it correctly ;)
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Post#28 » by Wizenheimer » Wed Jan 30, 2008 3:43 pm

mojomarc wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



In a free market, the letter "h" is a relatively rare commodity that is often in high demand. As a rich capitalist pig, I have to show off how I can afford to use extra h's.



That, and I really can't spell all that well, and when I think of the word I think of the word "ochre" as a sort of homophone to the second part of the word, so when I don't have a spell check it just doesn't look wrong to me. I just had to make fun of him because right above I spelled it correctly ;)


well, you used 'i' about 30 times in this post, but only used 'y' about 3 times. So mY use of Y in lollYpop was a fyne example of capytalysm

besydes, googling lollypop yyelds about 1.6 myllyon entryes

there!...so who's the ydyot now?
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Post#29 » by PDXKnight » Wed Jan 30, 2008 4:13 pm

mojomarc wrote:While there is certainly no guarantee that Sergio will turn into Nash, here's Nash's averages when he was 22 as a rookie and the next season.

Rookie: 10.5mpg .423 FG% 2.1apg 1.0 turnovers
Second year: 21mpg .459 FG% 3.4apg 1.3 turnovers

Here's Sergio for those two years (Sergio is two years younger than Nash for each year):
Rookie: 12.7mpg .423 FG% 3.3apg 1.1 turnovers
Second year: 9.7mpg .392 FG% 1.9apg .9 turnovers

So as a rookie, Sergio was ahead of Nash, but it appears that the signing of Blake, Nate's abuse of the PG position with Jack and finally his decision to essentially use Roy as the PG has stunted the development. Sergio is down on everything this year, and I would say it's almost all related to PT. Still, if he were putting these numbers up next year we could say that he wasn't all that far off from Nash's production at the same age.

I think the frustrating thing with Sergio is that we can all see the potential, and we can even see that Sergio and Roy can coexist if Sergio can just work on the shot a bit more, but that he's not getting the chance to progress.


Nice post. Sergio's dripping with potential and really needs Nate to play him more if he wants him to become a better PG in the long run. I have a feeling that if he were traded today, another team would develop him and turn him into their starting PG (or a very nice role player) down the line but Nate seems fixated on playing Jack, the SG, at the Point. Nothing against Jack, but I'm always left craving more Sergio
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Post#30 » by Telfaire » Wed Jan 30, 2008 5:15 pm

Maybe we could find some encouragment in the following Nate's words:

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Post#31 » by magee » Wed Jan 30, 2008 7:04 pm

One of the main reasons he isn't getting a lot of playing time is because he's been out of the country each summer. The coaching staff hasn't had a chance to work with him as much during the summer. If he were to skip the Olympics this year (highly doubtful) in favor of the Las Vegas Summer League, he'd be the starter ahead of Blake while everyone talks about potential bidders for Blake's services. He's young, but the coaching staff wants to work with him outside of the regular season. it hasn't happened and probably won't for a while.
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Post#32 » by mojomarc » Wed Jan 30, 2008 8:00 pm

Wizenheimer wrote:besydes, googling lollypop yyelds about 1.6 myllyon entryes


And using Live.com for "lollipop" yields about 9.6m. So there! :D
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Post#33 » by Tim Lehrbach » Thu Jan 31, 2008 7:13 am

You would use Live.com!
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Post#34 » by Milkdud » Thu Jan 31, 2008 4:12 pm

20,000 posts :o



get a life :P

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