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2025 Blazer Draft Prospects

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dckingsfan
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#301 » by dckingsfan » Thu Apr 3, 2025 3:57 pm

BlazersBroncos wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:
BlazersBroncos wrote:I take Noa over all of them - but of the bunch I am now team Kon.

Kon, Kasparas, Jase, Egor.

I wouldn't cry at all to trade down and get Essengue and say Sergio de Larrea.

I dont think you can get him in a trade down. I expect him to blow up as the draft approaches. But if you can, I sure as hell love that idea.

For me - trade Simons to MIA for Rozier and their FRP - then move Reath for a SRP (I am hoping the March play will return his value to last year - which to me is a FRP in the 40's) - lets say to GSW for their SRP via MIA - finally, sell RWIII to someone for a similar EC and a SRP or 2 (HOU w/ Landale fits to me IMO)

PDX FRP - Noa Essengue F - Big swing, highest potential in the draft outside the Top-2 guys IMHO.
MIA FRP (Via GSW) - Rasheer Flemming FC - I like his ability to likely play small ball C as he is stocky (240lbs) and long (7'3-7'4 WS). Great compliment to DC as the eventual backup with upside to develop at PF.
GSW SRP (Via MIA) - Walter Clayton JR or Tyrese Proctor - A developmental shooting compliment at PG/CG to Scoot.

Let Jabari and Banton walk and run it back w/ -

G - Scoot Henderson / Terry Rozier / Walter Clayton JR OR Tyrese Proctor
G - Shadeon Sharpe / Matisse Thybulle / Rayan Rupert
F - Toumani Camara / Jerami Grant / Kris Murray
F - Deni Avdija / Jerami Grant / Noa Essengue / Rasheer Flemming
C - DeAndre Ayton / Donovan Clingan / Rasheer Flemming / Jock Landale

I could live w/ that offseason.

I would be interested to see if Miami would trade their first for Simons. I don't see it. Maybe for a couple of SRPs?

I also don't see folks taking Reath for a SRP given how many talented bigs are in this draft. And I am guessing (given the current cap situation), you will need to take a player back.

And no one (I will repeat), no one is taking Williams, he is done as a player.

So... Noa Essengue it is.

G - Anfernee Simons / Scoot Henderson /
G - Shadeon Sharpe / Matisse Thybulle /
F - Toumani Camara / Jerami Grant / Kris Murray
F - Deni Avdija / Jerami Grant / Noa Essengue /
C - DeAndre Ayton / Donovan Clingan / Duop Reath / RGIII (won't play)

Decisions to be made on Rayan Rupert, Jabari Walker and Dalano Banton.

They "might" be able to get an exception on RGIII which would allow them to sign 3 players.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#302 » by BlazersBroncos » Thu Apr 3, 2025 4:24 pm

I would be interested to see if Miami would trade their first for Simons. I don't see it. Maybe for a couple of SRPs?


I think Simons has late FRP value. Granted MIA may not be the spot due to Herro. ORL is probably more likely - and they could dump Cole on us (Who is needed salary filler and has an extra year on Simons). Albeit MIA is basically excommunicating Rozier so they may be incentivized to move off him.

I also don't see folks taking Reath for a SRP given how many talented bigs are in this draft. And I am guessing (given the current cap situation), you will need to take a player back.


My understanding is Reath as a vet min player can basically be simply taken by any team w/o salary incoming to PDX. I dont value him that highly - but think a cheap floor spacing big who can play regular season minutes might be attractive to some PO teams. A high 40's pick might be rich - Maybe more realistic options could be CLE (Proj 47), NYK (Proj 51), PHX (Proj 54) or LAL (Proj 55).

And no one (I will repeat), no one is taking Williams, he is done as a player.


Generally agree but if any team takes a chance its HOU - Ime loves RWIII and with their depth they can afford to gamble on a guy that might be often unavaliable. Landale and RWIII are both EC FWIW.

Granted all your points are very valid - I am simply in a optimistic mood today lol
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#303 » by Walton1one » Thu Apr 3, 2025 6:25 pm

MIA has (2) 1st round picks this year FWIW, #12 & #22 (via GS). I don't think Simons getting a 1st round pick is out of the realm of possibility., the problem is whether Joe will accept less than he thinks he should get...

ORL, also has (2) picks @ #16 & #24 (via DEN), given their complete lack of shooting, I am surprised that they have not addressed it since the spectacular failure of the KCP contract. Again, Simons has been long connected to ORL, but whether the reason a deal has never come about being from ORL side or from Cronin (or both) is anyone's guess.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#304 » by dckingsfan » Thu Apr 3, 2025 7:34 pm

Walton1one wrote:MIA has (2) 1st round picks this year FWIW, #12 & #22 (via GS). I don't think Simons getting a 1st round pick is out of the realm of possibility., the problem is whether Joe will accept less than he thinks he should get...

ORL, also has (2) picks @ #16 & #24 (via DEN), given their complete lack of shooting, I am surprised that they have not addressed it since the spectacular failure of the KCP contract. Again, Simons has been long connected to ORL, but whether the reason a deal has never come about being from ORL side or from Cronin (or both) is anyone's guess.

Yep, if Miami loses in the play-in, they would have the 11th or 12th pick and the GSW pick. I don't think they give up either of those for Simons.

And ORL has a problem with cap space moving forward, they aren't going to give up a pick (with an inexpensive contract) for one they need to extend. Now, if they are just going to let Simons expire - then there is that. So, trading away assets for cap space is a possibility. Then we need to be good with taking on bad contracts for draft assets - doesn't seem to be the way of this FO?

Really, if we want draft assets giving up any of our expiring contracts for bad contracts and draft assets is "probably" the way forward, no?
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#305 » by Walton1one » Thu Apr 3, 2025 7:39 pm

Kevin O'Connor with a new mock draft up on Yahoo

https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/draft/

Top 4 seems pretty set: Flagg, Harper, Bailey, Edgecombe. The only variance that I have seen is whether Edgecombe or Bailey go 3/4.

Ace Bailey comps: Rudy Gay, MPJ
VJ Edgecombe comps: Oladipo, Mathurin, Braun

I actually think if CHA ends up at #3, that they would take Edgecombe over Bailey, especially since their new mgmt seems to have some idea of what they want to do

Interesting note on Zion\NO team fit:
Zion Williamson was looking more and more like his prime self before a low back bone contusion sidelined him for the remainder of the season. But no matter how much his injury history is lingering in the back of everyone’s minds, he still remains the cornerstone of the Pelicans. Pairing him with players who can space the floor is paramount, especially if those players also offer similar explosive talents like Edgecombe does as a high-motor wing who flies out of nowhere for poster dunks and chase-down blocks. The Baylor freshman pairs his elite athleticism with a knockdown spot-up jumper and fearless slashing. Though he needs to improve his shot creation to become more of a primary creator, he’d be entering a ball-sharing offense in New Orleans.


#5\PHI - Maluach, somewhat surprised, but if PHI does keep their pick, bringing in a big (Maluach or Queen) as insurance\replacement for injury riddled Embid is not a bad move.

#6\BRK - Queen. Sure looks like both bigs are going top 10, which for POR picking later and not really needing a big, might be a good thing.

#7\TOR - Jakucionis. Comps: Dragic, Dinwiddie, Micic
Seems like a weird fit, given they have Quickley & Barrett signed to long term deals (Quickley thru 28/29, Barrett thru 26/27). They also have Shead who has looked good as a b\u this year and they just drafted Walter. Trading for a resigning Ingram sure appears to be a move to go for it now. I wonder if their pick could be available via trade, although Masai has been known to be unreasonable to deal with (just like Cronin). The other aspect is that Barrett has been mentioned as possibly available via trade.

Jakučionis is a slick shot-creator with a creative passing gene and a fearless scoring ability, carving up defenses with crafty finishes, step-back jumpers, and jaw-dropping passes. And the Raptors need a point guard of the future who can thrive with and without the ball. That’s why KJ makes sense. But he’s not a sure thing. As a freshman, Jakučionis would follow up his highlights with turnover brain-farts that derailed the hype train. But he’s shown enough highs to warrant a top-10 selection.


So is the plan to offload Barrett, utilize undersized Quickley @ SG, then pair him with a bigger PG like Jakucionis? Maybe?

#8\SA - Johnson. Comps: Herro, Sprewell, Young
I could see this, a guy who can shoot lights out, to put alongside Wemy & Fox, could be lethal. The fact that SA, a better team than POR with 1/2 legit all star talents is picking BEFORE POR is criminal, and only possible since Cronin allowed the season to play out this way.

Both OKC & HOU could pick ahead of POR as well if POR passes PHX and PHI does not land in the top 6. That is 3 teams, all better than POR, all young, who all will be picking ahead of this team. Unbelievable.


The Spurs badly need to surround Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox with shooting. Johnson seems perfect as a clutch shot-maker who can catch fire from all over the floor, drilling step-backs and off-screen jumpers with ease. Developing his point guard skills are a bit less important for the Spurs, since he’d be paired with players who can run the show. But in time, perhaps those talents will manifest after he showed flashes during his freshman year at Texas.


#9\POR - Knueppel. Comps: Cam Johnson, Bogdanovic
I'd be fine with this pick, but I remain unconvinced POR would take him, since they don't really value shooting and they clearly have repeatedly targeted long, athletic wing types, whether they can shoot is optional.

Scoot Henderson has made some progress this season, but it’s still not clear if he’s capable of being the point guard of Portland’s future. Knueppel makes sense as a selection in this regard since he brings more than just a sharpshooter’s stroke thanks to his brainy pick-and-roll playmaking and crafty scoring feel. While he’s not a primary creator, he can be one of the team’s creators alongside Deni Avdija on the wing, Donovan Clingan from the high post, and Scoot in ball screens.


#10\CHI - Murray Boyles. Comps: Green, Millsap, Randle
#11\MIA - Jeremiah Fears. Comps: Jamal Murray, Poole
#12\HOU (via PHX) - Richardson. Comps: White, Hamilton

If POR keeps trying to make the play in like they are this is where they are liable to end up, picking 12th (or worse). That means no Knueppel most likely. I don't think any of these 3 guys make sense, but Nique Clifford\Carter Bryant\Noa Essengue\Asa Newell could all be potential pciks

#13\ATL - Nique Clifford. Comps: Middleton, Hart, Bane

Clifford nearly led Colorado State to the Sweet 16, slinging a bullseye pass from the low post to a 3-point shooter, before Maryland hit a buzzer-beater to rip their hearts out. But the play was emblematic of Clifford’s game as a do-it-all wing who can pass when he needs to, which would make him a perfect fit with the Hawks alongside Trae Young. Clifford defends multiple positions, crashes the boards, and scores from everywhere. But as a super senior with only Mountain West pedigree, he lacks experience against high-level competition despite his age; his NCAA tournament success began to minimize that concern though.


Would fit nice next to Scoot\Simons as well I would imagine....

#14\DAL -Nolan Traore. Comps: Dejounte Murray, Scoot
I could see DAL picking up a young PG to be mentored by Irving and eventually replace him when Irving moves on

#15\SA - Noa Essengue. Comps: Batum, Aminu
Two ex-Blazer comps. Seems like a high risk\reward, like Salaun was LY

Another French guy in San Antonio. And why not? Essengue is a toolsy forward with a fluid handle, dynamic finishing package, and highly versatile defense. But his long-term upside hinges on the jumper clicking. The Spurs are developing a strong track record of helping shooters. And if it doesn’t, his finishing and versatile defense are enough to make him a great French fit next to Wemby.


#16\ORL Liam McNeeley. Comps: Keegan Murray, Kispert
This would be funny since ORL took Da Silva LY (& Jett Howard the year before). Can't figure their front office out, they should look to trade one of their picks for a shooting vet (Simons comes to mind, but there are many others out there), however their history has clearly been to build from within and add via FA, not trade. It will be curious to see if they change their strategy this offseason.

#17\BRK - Egor Demin. Comps: Giddey, Black
If Demin ended up somewhere in between Giddey & Black that would be a pretty good player

Demin has a rare ability at his size to make dazzling passes. But he’s also struggled to shoot and create his own shot against lengthy defenders, making him more of a love-him or hate-him prospect than a sure thing. The Nets can afford to be patient, and with D’Angelo Russell, De’Anthony Melton, and Cam Thomas all entering free agency, point guard will be a position of need for the present and the future.


Wonder whether POR loves him or not? He certainly fits the type of profile that they tend to like. Long, athletic, good IQ, switchability...

#18\MIN - Carter Bryant. Comps: Jeff Green, Trevor Ariza
MIN getting Bryant would be a potential steal for them IMO, also if Bryant hits could be the eventual replacement for McDaniels.

Bryant is a rangy, athletic forward who projects as a highly versatile defender. He’s raw on offense though, as shown by his up-and-down performances with Arizona throughout the tournament and all season long. Beyond his cutting, he needs to improve as a shooter to earn minutes in high-leverage games. But with a pricy frontcourt, the Timberwolves should be making an upside investment at the forward spot.


#19\OKC - Joan Beringer. Comps: Capela, Noel
It would be just like OKC to have Philly fall to #7 or lower and then p\u a high upside guy like Beringer with their 2nd pick. I don't know much about him other than the little I have seen, but he is certainly moving up boards and seems likely he will be selected in the 1st round. How high could he climb though?

#20\UTA - Tahaad Pettiford. Comps Conley, Jennings
Talk about riding the NCAA tourney performance wave into the draft\1st round. He has not even really been mentioned in most mocks I have seen. He certainly could declare\stay in though if he got the right feedback or a promise and that seems to happen most years.

Jazz fans, are you totally certain that one of Isaiah Collier or Keyonte George is the franchise’s point guard of the future? I like both, but I’m not. Adding another point guard into the mix like Pettiford might be a wise move, especially if the Jazz are fortunate enough to land Flagg with the first pick. Pettiford comes off the bench for Auburn and has helped lead the team to the Final Four, showing his skill as a combo guard with a sniper’s touch. Pettiford rains 3s and lethal floaters while flashing playmaking savvy and a bulldog mentality on both ends. But his smaller size means he’ll need to clean up his shot selection and decision-making to max out his game at the next level.


#21\WAS - Danny Wolf. Comps: Olynyk, Kaminsky

If the Wizards don’t end up with Flagg, perhaps they look for a frontcourt fit next to Alex Sarr with this second first-round pick. Wolf is a 7-footer who helped lead Michigan to the Sweet 16 by playing a slick style with risky passes and step-back jumpers that made him a highlight factory. But he’s also a turnover machine and his shooting numbers are shaky, making him more of a raw bet who needs time to prove he can match his flash with substance.


#22\IND - Asa Newell. Comps: Brandon Clarke, Jonathan Isaac
I like Newell more than where he has been ranked in mocks, not sure I agree with these comps either. Curious to see what he ends up as a pro

The Pacers have been one of the league’s best teams for a few months now, posting the seventh-best net rating ever since the NBA Cup. But looking ahead, Myles Turner will be a free agent this summer, which means finding another big man could be a priority. Newell has springs in his legs, regularly slamming lobs and swatting shots. Tyrese Haliburton would find him more than anyone ever has. Even though his discipline reflects his youth, his energetic style suggests he'll someday become a highly versatile defender that could help fortify this Pacers defense.


#23\MIA - Will Riley. Comps: Reddish, Agbaji
Riley could be another darkhorse POR pick as he fits their type of archetype for a player

Riley has dynamic driving ability and playmaking instincts that scream upside as a jumbo-sized, shot-creating wing. Selecting him would follow the same philosophy that the Heat took with Kel’el Ware, betting that their culture and developmental success could maximize Riley’s talents. But his jumper is streaky, and his defense is unreliable since he is so lean physically and lacks fundamentals.


#24\ATL - Thomas Sorber. Comps: Valanciunas, Nurkic
#25\ORL - Walter Clayton Jr. Comps: ben Gordon, Jordan Clarkson
#26\BRK - Hugo Gonzalez. Comps: Josh Green
#27\BRK - ben Saraf. Comps: D'Angelo Russell, Satoransky
Saraf was one a lottery pick (back end) now seeing him more towards back end of the 1st round

#28\BOS - Maxime Raynaud. Comps: Brook Lopez, Rasheed Wallace
What a fit he could end up with for a BOS team that loves to shoot 3's. I like Raynaud\Condon\Ivisic\Kalkbrenner, would be smart for POR to try and get a late 1st\early 2nd to select a young b\u big, b\c I don't think any of Ayton, Williams or Reath are long for this eam

#29\PHX - Ryan Kalkbrenner. Comps: Poetl, Kessler
#30\LAC - Rasheer Fleming. Comps: nace Jr, Brandon Bass

Fleming is a hustler who drains spot-up jumpers and brings energy on defense, swatting shots and snagging boards. But he has some real warts as a ball-handler with a lack of experience against high-level competition, so teams will have to feel real confident his role player skill-set will translate. With Kawhi Leonard and James Harden handling the rock in Los Angeles, Fleming’s positive qualities could allow him to slot in right away.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#306 » by tester551 » Thu Apr 3, 2025 8:36 pm

Walton1one wrote:I could see this, a guy who can shoot lights out, to put alongside Wemy & Fox, could be lethal. The fact that SA, a better team than POR with 1/2 legit all star talents is picking BEFORE POR is criminal, and only possible since Cronin allowed the season to play out this way.

Both OKC & HOU could pick ahead of POR as well if POR passes PHX and PHI does not land in the top 6. That is 3 teams, all better than POR, all young, who all will be picking ahead of this team. Unbelievable.


Dude... Go outside and get some fresh air and sun.

Day after day, week after week it's the same rant from you... I like your thoughts on prospects, but that is about all.

Just clipping this part of your rant because it made me LOL.
Neither PHX nor PHI are better teams - nor do they have a better future. They have the 'star' names, but it doesn't translate into wins. At best both are treadmill teams.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#307 » by Walton1one » Thu Apr 3, 2025 9:16 pm

I was referring to OKC who has PHI pick, top 6 protected and HOU who has PHX pick (swap, top 10 protected)...

I don't think there would be much debate that all 3 of those teams (OKC\HOU\SA) are all significantly better than POR is and OKC is younger as well, and all 3 teams have vastly superior draft assets. Both OKC & SA have all star caliber players which clearly POR does not

Average ages:
OKC 24.14, POR 24.20, SA 24.20, HOU 26.44
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#308 » by DeBlazerRiddem » Thu Apr 3, 2025 10:18 pm

I think Kevin O'Connor's player breakdowns are pretty decent but a mock draft that revolves around "team fit" seems so premature before the order is even set.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#309 » by Walton1one » Thu Apr 3, 2025 11:53 pm

tester551 wrote:
Walton1one wrote:I could see this, a guy who can shoot lights out, to put alongside Wemy & Fox, could be lethal. The fact that SA, a better team than POR with 1/2 legit all star talents is picking BEFORE POR is criminal, and only possible since Cronin allowed the season to play out this way.

Both OKC & HOU could pick ahead of POR as well if POR passes PHX and PHI does not land in the top 6. That is 3 teams, all better than POR, all young, who all will be picking ahead of this team. Unbelievable.


Dude... Go outside and get some fresh air and sun.

Day after day, week after week it's the same rant from you... I like your thoughts on prospects, but that is about all.


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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#310 » by Walton1one » Fri Apr 4, 2025 5:37 pm

No Ceilings on Thomas Sorber. Will be interesting (if he stays in the draft) to see where he ends up on draft night. Starting to see a lot of mocks with him just outside\at the back end the lottery

https://www.noceilingsnba.com/p/thomas-sorber-a-bully-in-the-middle?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=536361&post_id=160523792&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=1f5gb9&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email

Georgetown freshman center Thomas Sorber continued to turn heads during the 2024-25 NCAA season with his play on the court. Sorber is listed at 6’10” and 255 pounds. Immediately on paper, those measurements will get your attention. The production will get you intrigued as well. In 24 games this year, Sorber averaged 14.5 points, 8.5 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 2.0 blocks, and 1.5 steals per game. He also shot 53.2% from the field and 72.4% from the line.


I looked into John Hollinger’s “Game Score” rating. For those not familiar with the metric, it’s a measure of a player’s productivity for a single game—40 is viewed as an “outstanding performance, while 10 is an “average” performance.

It’s important to point out that these are just numbers. As with all analytics, it doesn’t take into consideration important factors such as role, situation, playing time, etc. I’m simply just pointing out something that caught my attention.


Comparing The Bigs of 2025:

Thomas Sorber — Georgetown
Best 10 Games:

19.0 PTS | 10.2 REB | 2.5 AST | 1.9 STL | 2.2 BLK
63.8 FG% (74/116)
33.3 3P% (5/15)
77.1 FT% (37/48)
Game Score Average: 19.49 (High: 26.5 / Low: 14.8)

Worst 10 Games:
11.2 PTS | 7.0 REB | 2.2 AST | 0.9 STL | 1.2 BLK
40.4 FG% (42/104)
5.2 3P% (1/19)
73.0 FT% (27/37)
Game Score Average: 8.56 (High: 11.1 / Low: 3.0)

Derik Queen — Maryland
Best 10 Games:
24.7 PTS | 10.0 REB | 2.2 AST | 1.1 STL | 1.3 BLK
63.8 FG% (90/141)
26.7 3P% (4/15)
86.3 FT% (63/73)
Game Score Average: 22.82 (High: 30.5 / Low: 19.9)

Worst 10 Games:
8.1 PTS | 7.7 REB | 1.5 AST | 0.5 STL | 0.9 BLK
69.1 FG% (56/81)
0.0 3P% (0/7)
70.7 FT% (29/41)
Game Score Average: 4.43 (High: 9.6 / Low: -3.3)

Khaman Maluach — Duke
Best 10 Games:
14.6 PTS | 9.5 REB | 0.5 AST | 0.1 STL | 1.3 BLK
80.3 FG% (57/71)
0.0 3P% (0/3)
88.9 FT% (32/36)
Game Score Average: 15.90 (High: 18.4 / Low: 13.5)

Worst 10 Games:
2.7 PTS | 4.2 REB | 0.1 AST | 0.4 STL | 1.1 BLK
45.8 FG% (11/24)
0.0 3P% (0/2)
83.3 FT% (5/6)
Game Score Average: 3.16 (High: 6.2 / Low: 0.5)


Never seen this metric before

Thomas Sorber is still incredibly raw in his development. He’s a bully in the middle who knows how to throw his weight around to demoralize defenders. Sorber knows he has the power advantage. Most importantly, he knows how to use it. Offensively, there’s a bundle of tools that look to just be clawing to be untapped. There’s some fantastic touch around the basket with both hands, as well as an intriguing outside shot as a kicker...If you try to come into his house, he can slam the door emphatically in your face. The 19-year-old big man can get nasty in the paint, but he also knows how to stay vertical and when it’s the right time to meet someone at the rim with bad intentions.


...Sorber is a giant on the court, but he’s got some impressive footwork for a player of his size...he doesn’t just have good footwork and feel in the post. He understands how to use both WITH the combination of strength in order to get places. Defenders try to out-muscle him, and he doesn’t care...Sorber’s hands and his quick processing continue to jump off the page to me. For a player who is very much still just waiting to take that next leap in his development, Sorber does some impressive things in areas that can light a spark toward speeding things up.


Sorber finished the year shooting 16.2% from three. Yes, that number is less than ideal. It’s important to point out…that percentage was on just 1.5 attempts per game. Sorber doesn’t hunt the three-point ball yet, but he was at least willing to make the defense try to respect it from outside. In fact, he had two games the entire season in which he attempted more than two threes...The million-dollar question moving forward for many is…do you buy the shot? Me? It’s an emphatic yes. I like the form for Sorber as of right now when it comes to a foundation to build on going forward. It’s like finding a lot of real estate in a great neighborhood. Now, you just need to get the blueprints drawn up and start to build real estate. Sorber doesn’t need to be a three-point weapon on a higher volume at the next level. But if he can make a defense even respect the shot from outside, it takes his potential to another level.


I’ve talked to numerous scouts about some of the bigs in this class. There are a lot of fans when it comes to Sorber, but one thing I continued to point out was how impressive Sorber’s activity off the ball is when it comes to creating an advantage...Sorber makes a lot of these “effort” players in order to outwork his opponent and make life easier for himself...he knows how to get low and hold people off for entry passes. Once he gets his frame into you, there’s nothing you can do. He knows how to set himself up for ideal opportunities for easy looks...Sorber has the recognition to understand that shot blockers will be trying to meet him from behind, so he uses the rim as protection and finishes with a reverse. It’s a little thing that he understands how to do all the time.


Sorber can do a great job of setting up teammates well for dribble handoffs. While that might not seem like much, it’s an important skill. He’s a load on the perimeter with his size and isn’t afraid to screen. His presence as a hand-off threat could make a dangerous weapon at the next level.


the defense will have you daydreaming. The one thing Sorber lacks is some elite athletic pop. At his size, it’s not surprising that he’s not going to wow you with his verticality, athletically speaking. But Sorber still has the size and length, with enough power, to give opponents problems with his shot-blocking...Plenty have questioned the mobility of Sorber on the perimeter...some of the upside that Sorber can have when he can stay active on the defensive side of the ball. These lumbering giants can be such an impactful force around the basket. But they can also take a while to get moving at times. You never want to see a big man get “cement feet” on the defensive side of the ball. That means they are at a standstill, and it might take them a bit of time to pick up some momentum. Sorber has moments where he showcases just how quick he can be around the floor.


...love the shot-blocking and rim protection that Thomas Sorber has in his arsenal. It’s not just his desire to send back volleyball-like spikes to challengers. Sorber has outstanding timing with his rejections. You keep thinking he’s going to go up for the block before he waits until the perfect opportunity before quickly reacting and attacking. Sorber doesn’t panic on drive attempts. He has the awareness to wait for the ball handler to fully commit before realizing his length and timing can make up for everything...Sorber understands how to use his size. He quickly gets horizontal and becomes a wall, making the initial drive immediately seem twice as difficult. Sorber does a great job of staying vertical before timing the rejection beautifully...


Thomas Sorber is one who is oozing with upside, given his impressive two-way potential. Sorber has become one of the top storylines to monitor in this class when it comes to the pre-draft process. He was at the top of my list when it came to prospects that I thought could generate a ton of momentum throughout workouts when it comes to NBA teams. Unfortunately, Sorber suffered a season-ending foot injury on February 15th and was announced out for the rest of the year.

After undergoing surgery, the expectation is that Sorber will most likely miss the majority of the pre-draft process when it comes to being able to work out. Still, the buzz has started to point in the direction of plenty of NBA teams being pleased enough with what they’ve seen from Sorber this year. Time will tell just how much momentum Sorber can generate moving forward, but he’s got the kind of upside that will have NBA teams lining up for his services.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#311 » by BlazersBroncos » Fri Apr 4, 2025 6:05 pm

Sorber is legit. Much better than Maluch and Queen.

I have him 8th on my board.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#312 » by zzaj » Fri Apr 4, 2025 6:07 pm

I like Sorber, but I have a hard time seeing how players like him will work in the modern NBA, since they can't stretch the floor. The Blazers have a similar-ish player in Jabari Walker. When he's hitting 3s he looks like a viable NBA backup, when he's not he's a 3rd string, niche, rebound/hustle player.

Sorber will have to be totally elite in at least 2 areas in order to overcome his lack of shooting.

EDIT: The other thing to consider is how Sorber's game will scale down to a lesser role in the NBA. Is he a 4/5/1 player his rookie season?
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#313 » by BlazersBroncos » Fri Apr 4, 2025 6:23 pm

zzaj wrote:I like Sorber, but I have a hard time seeing how players like him will work in the modern NBA, since they can't stretch the floor. The Blazers have a similar-ish player in Jabari Walker. When he's hitting 3s he looks like a viable NBA backup, when he's not he's a 3rd string, niche, rebound/hustle player.

Sorber will have to be totally elite in at least 2 areas in order to overcome his lack of shooting.

EDIT: The other thing to consider is how Sorber's game will scale down to a lesser role in the NBA. Is he a 4/5/1 player his rookie season?


Sorber is a much better athlete than Walker. He is 6'10, 255lbs with a reported WS between 7'4 and 7'6. For comparison, Jabari was listed at 6'8, 200lbs and a 6'10.75 WS.

The STOCKs show a big difference athletically -

Walker
FR 14.2mpg / 0.5spg / 0.5bpg
SO 28.1mpg / 0.7spg / 0.7bpg

Sorber
FR 31.3mpg / 1.5spg / 2.0bpg

Sorber also is an advanced passer for his age at 2.4apg as a freshman - pretty awesome numbers for a guy his size as a FR. I also think the 74% FT is pretty decent to lean into in terms of a developed 3PT shot eventually.

I think he is pretty close to Al Horford prior to his 3PT shot development. His AST, STOCK and FT% are all better than Al not just as a FR, but as a FR, SO or JR.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#314 » by Village Idiot » Fri Apr 4, 2025 7:00 pm

To be honest, outside of Flagg there aren't any guys I am all that into or that have that much upside.

Harper is a solid scoring guard but doesn't wow me. If he is so great, how come that Rutgers team sucked so bad.

Bailey - On highlights alone he looks special but I don't see a team player, only a guy looking to get his numbers. I would stay clear of him

Edgecombe - I like the hops and the motor but the slight frame and lack of a skill-set leave me hesitant.

Jukukionis - I love his game. Reminds me a lot of Goran Dragic. I can talk myself into him but his lack of burst worries me.

Maluach - really raw. He's like a much less skilled Clingan with slightly better jumping ability

Tre Johnson - definition of ball-hog

Knueppel - Nice game but really underwhelming athleticism. Will be constantly targeted on D. Effort and anticipation only take a guy so far.

Queen - I can see the appeal of Sengun type of skilled big but his defense is atrocious

Newell, Sorber, Fleming - I like all three of these guys for but don't see much upside. Seems like role players. Maybe they top out as Naz Reid or WCJ.

Fears, Richardson, Traore - none of these guys touch Scoot in terms of potential. All have some warts

McNeeley - I like this kids game. Kinda wonder why he didn't put up better numbers or make a greater impact. Way better proepect than the more highly rated Kneuppel

Bryant and Essengue - Look like good basketball players but two years from getting playing time. With a later pick I like them but not where we currently stand

Murray-Boyles, Clifford - older guys who have some game but some major holes. Late or a second, no problem. At 9 or 10 yuck

----------------------------------------------

I'm still all in on Demin and would happily trade down if we can get him and another pick to trade to Chicago to settle that debt and open up the possibility of making a big trade with one of Bam or Giannis as the target.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#315 » by HoopsFanAZ » Fri Apr 4, 2025 8:11 pm

Village Idiot wrote:To be honest, outside of Flagg there aren't any guys I am all that into or that have that much upside.

Harper is a solid scoring guard but doesn't wow me. If he is so great, how come that Rutgers team sucked so bad.
Bailey - On highlights alone he looks special but I don't see a team player, only a guy looking to get his numbers. I would stay clear of him
Edgecombe - I like the hops and the motor but the slight frame and lack of a skill-set leave me hesitant.
Jukukionis - I love his game. Reminds me a lot of Goran Dragic. I can talk myself into him but his lack of burst worries me.

Maluach - really raw. He's like a much less skilled Clingan with slightly better jumping ability
Tre Johnson - definition of ball-hog
Knueppel - Nice game but really underwhelming athleticism. Will be constantly targeted on D. Effort and anticipation only take a guy so far.
Queen - I can see the appeal of Sengun type of skilled big but his defense is atrocious
Newell, Sorber, Fleming - I like all three of these guys for but don't see much upside. Seems like role players. Maybe they top out as Naz Reid or WCJ.
Fears, Richardson, Traore - none of these guys touch Scoot in terms of potential. All have some warts
McNeeley - I like this kids game. Kinda wonder why he didn't put up better numbers or make a greater impact. Way better proepect than the more highly rated Kneuppel
Bryant and Essengue - Look like good basketball players but two years from getting playing time. With a later pick I like them but not where we currently stand
Murray-Boyles, Clifford - older guys who have some game but some major holes. Late or a second, no problem. At 9 or 10 yuck

I'm still all in on Demin and would happily trade down if we can get him and another pick to trade to Chicago to settle that debt and open up the possibility of making a big trade with one of Bam or Giannis as the target.


I like the creative thinking of getting Demin (or Schmitz's pick) while getting back the pick to Chicago while moving back just a bit. This may require sending a 2nd rounder to CHI or exchange lesser trade capital ... BUT I do like the line of thinking especially if it's Demin or Essengue.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#316 » by JRoy » Fri Apr 4, 2025 8:38 pm

Walton1one wrote:Kevin O'Connor with a new mock draft up on Yahoo

https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/draft/

Top 4 seems pretty set: Flagg, Harper, Bailey, Edgecombe. The only variance that I have seen is whether Edgecombe or Bailey go 3/4.

Ace Bailey comps: Rudy Gay, MPJ
VJ Edgecombe comps: Oladipo, Mathurin, Braun

I actually think if CHA ends up at #3, that they would take Edgecombe over Bailey, especially since their new mgmt seems to have some idea of what they want to do

Interesting note on Zion\NO team fit:
Zion Williamson was looking more and more like his prime self before a low back bone contusion sidelined him for the remainder of the season. But no matter how much his injury history is lingering in the back of everyone’s minds, he still remains the cornerstone of the Pelicans. Pairing him with players who can space the floor is paramount, especially if those players also offer similar explosive talents like Edgecombe does as a high-motor wing who flies out of nowhere for poster dunks and chase-down blocks. The Baylor freshman pairs his elite athleticism with a knockdown spot-up jumper and fearless slashing. Though he needs to improve his shot creation to become more of a primary creator, he’d be entering a ball-sharing offense in New Orleans.


#5\PHI - Maluach, somewhat surprised, but if PHI does keep their pick, bringing in a big (Maluach or Queen) as insurance\replacement for injury riddled Embid is not a bad move.

#6\BRK - Queen. Sure looks like both bigs are going top 10, which for POR picking later and not really needing a big, might be a good thing.

#7\TOR - Jakucionis. Comps: Dragic, Dinwiddie, Micic
Seems like a weird fit, given they have Quickley & Barrett signed to long term deals (Quickley thru 28/29, Barrett thru 26/27). They also have Shead who has looked good as a b\u this year and they just drafted Walter. Trading for a resigning Ingram sure appears to be a move to go for it now. I wonder if their pick could be available via trade, although Masai has been known to be unreasonable to deal with (just like Cronin). The other aspect is that Barrett has been mentioned as possibly available via trade.

Jakučionis is a slick shot-creator with a creative passing gene and a fearless scoring ability, carving up defenses with crafty finishes, step-back jumpers, and jaw-dropping passes. And the Raptors need a point guard of the future who can thrive with and without the ball. That’s why KJ makes sense. But he’s not a sure thing. As a freshman, Jakučionis would follow up his highlights with turnover brain-farts that derailed the hype train. But he’s shown enough highs to warrant a top-10 selection.


So is the plan to offload Barrett, utilize undersized Quickley @ SG, then pair him with a bigger PG like Jakucionis? Maybe?

#8\SA - Johnson. Comps: Herro, Sprewell, Young
I could see this, a guy who can shoot lights out, to put alongside Wemy & Fox, could be lethal. The fact that SA, a better team than POR with 1/2 legit all star talents is picking BEFORE POR is criminal, and only possible since Cronin allowed the season to play out this way.

Both OKC & HOU could pick ahead of POR as well if POR passes PHX and PHI does not land in the top 6. That is 3 teams, all better than POR, all young, who all will be picking ahead of this team. Unbelievable.


The Spurs badly need to surround Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox with shooting. Johnson seems perfect as a clutch shot-maker who can catch fire from all over the floor, drilling step-backs and off-screen jumpers with ease. Developing his point guard skills are a bit less important for the Spurs, since he’d be paired with players who can run the show. But in time, perhaps those talents will manifest after he showed flashes during his freshman year at Texas.


#9\POR - Knueppel. Comps: Cam Johnson, Bogdanovic
I'd be fine with this pick, but I remain unconvinced POR would take him, since they don't really value shooting and they clearly have repeatedly targeted long, athletic wing types, whether they can shoot is optional.

Scoot Henderson has made some progress this season, but it’s still not clear if he’s capable of being the point guard of Portland’s future. Knueppel makes sense as a selection in this regard since he brings more than just a sharpshooter’s stroke thanks to his brainy pick-and-roll playmaking and crafty scoring feel. While he’s not a primary creator, he can be one of the team’s creators alongside Deni Avdija on the wing, Donovan Clingan from the high post, and Scoot in ball screens.


#10\CHI - Murray Boyles. Comps: Green, Millsap, Randle
#11\MIA - Jeremiah Fears. Comps: Jamal Murray, Poole
#12\HOU (via PHX) - Richardson. Comps: White, Hamilton

If POR keeps trying to make the play in like they are this is where they are liable to end up, picking 12th (or worse). That means no Knueppel most likely. I don't think any of these 3 guys make sense, but Nique Clifford\Carter Bryant\Noa Essengue\Asa Newell could all be potential pciks

#13\ATL - Nique Clifford. Comps: Middleton, Hart, Bane

Clifford nearly led Colorado State to the Sweet 16, slinging a bullseye pass from the low post to a 3-point shooter, before Maryland hit a buzzer-beater to rip their hearts out. But the play was emblematic of Clifford’s game as a do-it-all wing who can pass when he needs to, which would make him a perfect fit with the Hawks alongside Trae Young. Clifford defends multiple positions, crashes the boards, and scores from everywhere. But as a super senior with only Mountain West pedigree, he lacks experience against high-level competition despite his age; his NCAA tournament success began to minimize that concern though.


Would fit nice next to Scoot\Simons as well I would imagine....

#14\DAL -Nolan Traore. Comps: Dejounte Murray, Scoot
I could see DAL picking up a young PG to be mentored by Irving and eventually replace him when Irving moves on

#15\SA - Noa Essengue. Comps: Batum, Aminu
Two ex-Blazer comps. Seems like a high risk\reward, like Salaun was LY

Another French guy in San Antonio. And why not? Essengue is a toolsy forward with a fluid handle, dynamic finishing package, and highly versatile defense. But his long-term upside hinges on the jumper clicking. The Spurs are developing a strong track record of helping shooters. And if it doesn’t, his finishing and versatile defense are enough to make him a great French fit next to Wemby.


#16\ORL Liam McNeeley. Comps: Keegan Murray, Kispert
This would be funny since ORL took Da Silva LY (& Jett Howard the year before). Can't figure their front office out, they should look to trade one of their picks for a shooting vet (Simons comes to mind, but there are many others out there), however their history has clearly been to build from within and add via FA, not trade. It will be curious to see if they change their strategy this offseason.

#17\BRK - Egor Demin. Comps: Giddey, Black
If Demin ended up somewhere in between Giddey & Black that would be a pretty good player

Demin has a rare ability at his size to make dazzling passes. But he’s also struggled to shoot and create his own shot against lengthy defenders, making him more of a love-him or hate-him prospect than a sure thing. The Nets can afford to be patient, and with D’Angelo Russell, De’Anthony Melton, and Cam Thomas all entering free agency, point guard will be a position of need for the present and the future.


Wonder whether POR loves him or not? He certainly fits the type of profile that they tend to like. Long, athletic, good IQ, switchability...

#18\MIN - Carter Bryant. Comps: Jeff Green, Trevor Ariza
MIN getting Bryant would be a potential steal for them IMO, also if Bryant hits could be the eventual replacement for McDaniels.

Bryant is a rangy, athletic forward who projects as a highly versatile defender. He’s raw on offense though, as shown by his up-and-down performances with Arizona throughout the tournament and all season long. Beyond his cutting, he needs to improve as a shooter to earn minutes in high-leverage games. But with a pricy frontcourt, the Timberwolves should be making an upside investment at the forward spot.


#19\OKC - Joan Beringer. Comps: Capela, Noel
It would be just like OKC to have Philly fall to #7 or lower and then p\u a high upside guy like Beringer with their 2nd pick. I don't know much about him other than the little I have seen, but he is certainly moving up boards and seems likely he will be selected in the 1st round. How high could he climb though?

#20\UTA - Tahaad Pettiford. Comps Conley, Jennings
Talk about riding the NCAA tourney performance wave into the draft\1st round. He has not even really been mentioned in most mocks I have seen. He certainly could declare\stay in though if he got the right feedback or a promise and that seems to happen most years.

Jazz fans, are you totally certain that one of Isaiah Collier or Keyonte George is the franchise’s point guard of the future? I like both, but I’m not. Adding another point guard into the mix like Pettiford might be a wise move, especially if the Jazz are fortunate enough to land Flagg with the first pick. Pettiford comes off the bench for Auburn and has helped lead the team to the Final Four, showing his skill as a combo guard with a sniper’s touch. Pettiford rains 3s and lethal floaters while flashing playmaking savvy and a bulldog mentality on both ends. But his smaller size means he’ll need to clean up his shot selection and decision-making to max out his game at the next level.


#21\WAS - Danny Wolf. Comps: Olynyk, Kaminsky

If the Wizards don’t end up with Flagg, perhaps they look for a frontcourt fit next to Alex Sarr with this second first-round pick. Wolf is a 7-footer who helped lead Michigan to the Sweet 16 by playing a slick style with risky passes and step-back jumpers that made him a highlight factory. But he’s also a turnover machine and his shooting numbers are shaky, making him more of a raw bet who needs time to prove he can match his flash with substance.


#22\IND - Asa Newell. Comps: Brandon Clarke, Jonathan Isaac
I like Newell more than where he has been ranked in mocks, not sure I agree with these comps either. Curious to see what he ends up as a pro

The Pacers have been one of the league’s best teams for a few months now, posting the seventh-best net rating ever since the NBA Cup. But looking ahead, Myles Turner will be a free agent this summer, which means finding another big man could be a priority. Newell has springs in his legs, regularly slamming lobs and swatting shots. Tyrese Haliburton would find him more than anyone ever has. Even though his discipline reflects his youth, his energetic style suggests he'll someday become a highly versatile defender that could help fortify this Pacers defense.


#23\MIA - Will Riley. Comps: Reddish, Agbaji
Riley could be another darkhorse POR pick as he fits their type of archetype for a player

Riley has dynamic driving ability and playmaking instincts that scream upside as a jumbo-sized, shot-creating wing. Selecting him would follow the same philosophy that the Heat took with Kel’el Ware, betting that their culture and developmental success could maximize Riley’s talents. But his jumper is streaky, and his defense is unreliable since he is so lean physically and lacks fundamentals.


#24\ATL - Thomas Sorber. Comps: Valanciunas, Nurkic
#25\ORL - Walter Clayton Jr. Comps: ben Gordon, Jordan Clarkson
#26\BRK - Hugo Gonzalez. Comps: Josh Green
#27\BRK - ben Saraf. Comps: D'Angelo Russell, Satoransky
Saraf was one a lottery pick (back end) now seeing him more towards back end of the 1st round

#28\BOS - Maxime Raynaud. Comps: Brook Lopez, Rasheed Wallace
What a fit he could end up with for a BOS team that loves to shoot 3's. I like Raynaud\Condon\Ivisic\Kalkbrenner, would be smart for POR to try and get a late 1st\early 2nd to select a young b\u big, b\c I don't think any of Ayton, Williams or Reath are long for this eam

#29\PHX - Ryan Kalkbrenner. Comps: Poetl, Kessler
#30\LAC - Rasheer Fleming. Comps: nace Jr, Brandon Bass

Fleming is a hustler who drains spot-up jumpers and brings energy on defense, swatting shots and snagging boards. But he has some real warts as a ball-handler with a lack of experience against high-level competition, so teams will have to feel real confident his role player skill-set will translate. With Kawhi Leonard and James Harden handling the rock in Los Angeles, Fleming’s positive qualities could allow him to slot in right away.


Hate the Kneuppel pick. Unathletic, can’t defend any position. Nightmare scenario.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#317 » by zzaj » Fri Apr 4, 2025 10:11 pm

BlazersBroncos wrote:
zzaj wrote:I like Sorber, but I have a hard time seeing how players like him will work in the modern NBA, since they can't stretch the floor. The Blazers have a similar-ish player in Jabari Walker. When he's hitting 3s he looks like a viable NBA backup, when he's not he's a 3rd string, niche, rebound/hustle player.

Sorber will have to be totally elite in at least 2 areas in order to overcome his lack of shooting.

EDIT: The other thing to consider is how Sorber's game will scale down to a lesser role in the NBA. Is he a 4/5/1 player his rookie season?


Sorber is a much better athlete than Walker. He is 6'10, 255lbs with a reported WS between 7'4 and 7'6. For comparison, Jabari was listed at 6'8, 200lbs and a 6'10.75 WS.

The STOCKs show a big difference athletically -

Walker
FR 14.2mpg / 0.5spg / 0.5bpg
SO 28.1mpg / 0.7spg / 0.7bpg

Sorber
FR 31.3mpg / 1.5spg / 2.0bpg

Sorber also is an advanced passer for his age at 2.4apg as a freshman - pretty awesome numbers for a guy his size as a FR. I also think the 74% FT is pretty decent to lean into in terms of a developed 3PT shot eventually.

I think he is pretty close to Al Horford prior to his 3PT shot development. His AST, STOCK and FT% are all better than Al not just as a FR, but as a FR, SO or JR.



Yep, I get all that...wasn't trying to make an exact comparison to Walker (I would trade Walker for Sorber in a second, and agree I like the passing and athletic profile). Moreso, I think that his type of player is most likely not a projected starter in the NBA. He'll likely be a tweener C/PF that needs a specific role in order to utlize his strengths. I can see some early Horford...The guy he reminds me most of is WCJ. Either would be good outcomes for a player who was originally projected as an early 2nd/late 1st coming in.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#318 » by tester551 » Fri Apr 4, 2025 10:26 pm

JRoy wrote:Hate the Kneuppel pick. Unathletic, can’t defend any position. Nightmare scenario.

I don't hate it, but he doesn't have much upside.

A lot of people are comparing him to Kennard. My comp is more of a Grayson Allen (who honestly I think is a slightly better player than Kennard).

I think Kneuppel will be a better player than either. He's a winning player who fits a lot of teams... He's just not that exciting.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#319 » by JRoy » Fri Apr 4, 2025 10:31 pm

Not sure I buy the winning player argument.

He’s surrounded by future lotto guys.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#320 » by Walton1one » Fri Apr 4, 2025 10:56 pm

Mock draft from For The Win\USA Today

https://ftw.usatoday.com/story/sports/nba/2025/04/04/nba-mock-draft-cooper-flagg-johni-broome-kon-knueppel-first-round/82799164007/

1-2-3 Pretty familiar
Flagg - Harper - Edgecombe

#4\NO Derik Queen - This would be a surprise IMO, but given they just sent off Ingram, bringing in a young big like Queen could make sense.

5-6-7 Also pretty standard.
Bailey - Johnson - Maluach

Other than Bailey falling out of Top 4, not sure I see that happening, but other thing to note is several mocks now with both Queen & Maluach in top 10, that could potentially be good for POR

#8\SA - Knueppel
Adding a shooter to go with Fox, Wemby & Castle? Not a bad idea...

Knueppel plays winning basketball as the Blue Devils have outscored opponents by 622 points when Knueppel is on the court this season, per CBB Analytics, which is the highest plus-minus among all men’s college basketball players.


@ #9\POR takes Jeremiah Fears? Another undersized guard to go along\replace Scoot & Simons, not a fan of that...

10-11-12
Jakucionis - Essengue - Philon

One player (Jakucionis that looks like they may be sliding a little and (2) players who are on the rise. Both Essengue & Philon have mainly been mentioned outside the lottery, but the latest mocks have both continuing to creep up

France’s Noa Essengue ranks seventh-best among all players in Defensive Statistical Impact (DSI) among those with at least seven games played in the Eurocup, per Cerebro Sports. He ranks thirteenth-best in Player Efficiency Rating (22.8) among qualified players in the Eurocup, via RealGM. Essengue is also the second-youngest player in the draft.


Alabama freshman Labaron Philon was named SEC All-Freshman and he is an excellent decision-maker with one of the most effective floaters in college basketball. As a playmaker, per CBB Analytics, he ranked third among freshmen in 3-pointers assisted (76) this season. His jump shot could still use some work, though it did improve a bit as the season progressed.


13-14-15
Traore - Richardson - Newell

Traore is interesting, LY he was listed as a top 5 prospect, then during the year he was at the back end of the 1st round, now consistently moving up mocks and just inside the lottery. IMO good chance he ends up as a lottery pick on draft day

Richardson @ #14 to DAL, whether it has been Fears, Richardson or Traore, seen a lot of mocks with DAL taking a PG

Based on his priors before this season, some team is likely to take a flier on Nolan Traore in the first round of the 2025 NBA Draft. While the young French guard did not play very well to start off the season, his past two months have looked a lot better as a lead guard who can potentially become a floor general of the future in the NBA.


Richardson earned Big Ten All-Freshman honors and ranked 99th percentile in advanced metrics like Win Shares per 40 Minutes and RAPM, per CBB Analytics.


Georgia’s Asa Newell, who was named SEC All-Freshman, is a classic rim-running big man who does not make the game too complicated for himself. He had the second-most layups and dunks combined this season among freshmen, per CBB Analytics. He trailed only Flagg among all freshmen in Player Efficiency Rating (PER) as well.


16-17-18
McNeeley - Murray Boyles - Clifford

This is about the range that all these guya are geneerally mocked, I have seen Murray Boyles in the lottery, even a few with him in the top 10. It would be interesting to see ORL take a swing at another SF, after they drafted Da Silva LY and Howard the year before that. MIN getting Clifford would seem to be criminal, if he works out that is. Could be a nice fit though (with Shannon Jr) if they let NAW walk in FA.

UConn freshman Liam McNeeley won Big East Freshman of the Year and showed flashes during his freshman campaign, like when he had 26 points with 8 rebounds and 4 assists against Gonzaga on Dec. 14. He ranked in the 97th percentile among all NCAA players in the catch-all metric RAPM, per CBB Analytics.


Colorado State senior Nique Clifford is the oldest player we have projected in the first round. But he is an upperclassman that should turn some heads based on his output.


19-20-21
Bryant - Sorber - Demin

Three pretty popular guys with high upside potential. Seeing them go this late in the draft would be interesting, one\any of them could end up as steal. Particularly I like Bryant & Demin, both risk\reward (Deming maybe more than Bryant) but if they hit could end up being very good pro's.

Arizona freshman Carter Bryant is a former McDonald’s All-American forward who had a strong collegiate debut despite a relatively limited role. He is the only underclassman with at least three dunks and 3-pointers during the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, per Bart Torvik. Bryant is a solid defensive playmaker, too.


Georgetown freshman big Thomas Sorber was an analytics darling before he suffered a season-ending foot injury. Georgetown outscored opponents by 15.6 points per 40 minutes with Sober on the court but they were outscored by 11.2 points per 40 when he was off, per CBB Analytics. Sorber also ranked fourth-best in Defensive BPR this season, via Evan Miya.


Russia’s Egor Demin was initially having one of the strongest freshman campaigns of anyone in the nation for BYU. But his relatively poor overall performance and shooting against top-100 competition causes some room for concern. His size and playmaking still makes him intriguing, though.


22-23-24
Fleming - Wolf - Riley

Pretty standard area for these guys, none IMO are too exciting though. Riley's size\profile is enticing, but he seems a ways away and risky if he can reach his potential. All 3 of these guys have some interesting potential but as many\more potential concerns IMO.

25-26-27
Ian Jackson - Penda - Saraf

I'll be curious if Jackson stays in the draft, maybe if he is promised\projected to go in the 1st, then maybe he does. I did not think he was overly impressive compared to other players. Saraf continues to slide down mocks, regularly listed at the back third of the first round. This is about where Penda has been listed.

North Carolina freshman Ian Jackson started just 12 of his 36 games played this season. But he averaged 15.3 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game in those appearances. He led all freshmen in fastbreak points scored per 40 minutes (5.2) and field goals made (53) in transition, per CBB Analytics. Jackson was named ACC All-Freshman.


One of the top international prospects in this class is France’s Noah Penda. The forward is shooting well on his catch-and-shoot opportunities. He also has the highest Defensive Statistical Impact (DSI) among all players who have played more than one game in the French Betclic Elite LNB Pro A this season, per Cerebro Sports.


Israel’s Ben Saraf ranks twelth-best among all players in Floor General Skills (FGS) among those with at least ten games played in the Eurocup, per Cerebro Sports. He has had his hand on 31.6 percent of buckets as a scorer or distributor, via RealGM, which ranks ninth-best among all players in the Eurocup.


28-29-30
Alex Toohey - Fland - Broome

Welcome to the tail end of the first where 10-20 other players could easily be selected here instead. Any of these guys could go in the 2nd, in fact all 3 have regularly been listed as 2nd round picks. Fland before his injury was listed in the first round on a few mocks. Given his injury, curious if he goes back to school to improve his stock, if he is promised in the 1st though, all bets are off. It will be interesting to watch the last 5-7 picks in the first round, if there are any surprises there, or rumors of promises, b\c in the new world of NIL there are plenty of guys who could choose to go back to school rather than stay and take a 2nd year deal. OTOH, maybe those first 5-10 picks in the 1st are agreed upon multi year deals.

Australia’s Alex Toohey is a fascinating prospect who contributes well on both sides of the floor. He is a legitimately strong wing defender whose Defensive Statistical Impact (DSI) ranks as the best among those who have played more than one game in Australia’s NBL this season, per Cerebro Sports.


Arkansas freshman Boogie Fland is an interesting guard who is an undeniably productive floor general. But he is a bit undersized and struggles to finish at the rim and eventually missed some time with a torn UCL injury during his first collegiate campaign.


Auburn’s Johni Broome is a productive big man who gave Flagg a solid run for his money as the best overall player in college basketball this season. The SEC Player of the Year finished with the second-most Wins Above Replacement Player (11.5) per CBB Analytics. He also ranked second-best in BPR, via Evan Miya.

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