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2025 Blazer Draft Prospects

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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#821 » by BlazersBroncos » Wed May 28, 2025 9:00 pm

Case2012 wrote:Bummed about Yaxel. kind of surprising given his age, but he'll be there be there next year.


In years past he for sure would have declared. The college money is changing the draft quite a bit.

I actually like Yaxel more than Fleming by quite a bit after deep dives. Thought him being mocked late R1 was an underrating and was hoping we could steal him. Bummer he is out.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#822 » by oldfishermen » Wed May 28, 2025 11:21 pm

My first impression of this draft class was, it is overhyped and overvalued. Trade pick #11.

Then a handfull of mid to late FRPs started to look promisng. Add more FRPs.

However, after a deeper look, most of them now look like role bench players. Too much hype and propaganda mudding the waters.

I have no idea what to do with this draft class. I do not see any sevious talent coming our way in this draft.

If we have a pick or two, which player(s) to draft? BPA regardless of their position in mock drafts. No such thing as reaching in this group.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#823 » by Walton1one » Wed May 28, 2025 11:57 pm

I actually think this is shaping up to be a good draft class, better than LY and LY produced a surprising amount of rotational players.

The issue with this draft class is that it was hyped as having 4-6 franchise caliber players, and as we have gone through a season and closer evaluations have occurred, that appears not to be the case, so instead this appears to be a 1A & 2A type draft. But the caveat is that from #3 to #20? it is wide open with a lot of players of equal caliber\varying ceiling vs floor potential. Certainly, some of those players will end up as a miss but, there will also be some who will hit. It is definitely possible that 1 or 2 of them end up as franchise players.

Can anyone really say with certainty that VJ Edgecombe (consensus #6 pick) will end up better than Jeremiah Fears (consensus #6) or Jase Richardson (consensus #16) or Nolan Traore (consensus #20)? Opinions differ.

A great draft for a good scouting staff, whether POR has that or not is TBD, this year will be a good test though.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#824 » by Walton1one » Thu May 29, 2025 12:03 am

No Ceilings with some interesting low\median outcomes analysis on a few players. I find this interesting since most players are not going to hit their ceiling and instead will end up in the median\low outcome range.

JOAN BERINGER - I would take either one of these comps?

Low Outcome: Yves Missi

Despite being raw, Missi started and impacted games on both ends by leveraging his physical tools and motor. Beringer likely won't be starting games as a rookie but should be able to add value in the same ways early in his career.

Median Outcome: Javale McGee

McGee’s outstanding physical traits translated to a clear NBA role, but it took a bit for him to settle in and become a consistent contributor. I wouldn't be surprised to see Beringer take a similar route if the team fit isn't right, particularly finding his way on his second contract or team.


DERIK QUEEN - Ugh, not overly encouraging

Low Outcome: Trevion Williams with more offensive upside

The former Purdue star thrived as a playmaking offensive hub by leveraging his feel, vision, ball skills, and power. Sharing many of the same core skills, Queen offers a versatile skill set with more offensive creativity and versatility as a shot-creator and shot-maker.

Median Outcome: Mid-career Boris Diaw with more offensive upside

Diaw’s successful 14-year career was rooted in his ability to leverage his basketball IQ, ball skills, size, and shot-making ability to shine as a versatile offensive player without a consistent three-point shot. This is a model within Queen’s skill set, whether it’s as a primary or secondary offensive option.


THOMAS SORBER - Pretty underwhelming IMO

Low Outcome: Gorgui Dieng

Dieng entered the NBA as a defensively tilted big with some scheme versatility and an underrated offensive skill set. Despite only making one three in college (1/3 3PA), he developed into a solid shooter across his ten NBA seasons (35.5% on 552 3PA) and was a serviceable role player for the majority of his career.

Median Outcome: Wendell Carter with more impactful defense

The Sorber-Carter offensive similarities are there. Both skilled bigs with similar physical tools that understand how to blend power and finesse offensively to effectively operate from the post areas and the perimeter. While Carter isn't a knockdown three-point shooter (31% career), he is a capable one. With Sorber, he projects to be a capable shooter as well due to his touch indicators and fluid mechanics.


KHAMAN MALUACH - Ok, I guess? But not if you are picking in the top 10

Low Outcome: Christian Koloko

If Maluach’s shooting never hits, Koloko makes a ton of sense as a long and rangy play finishing big who blocks shots and has some defensive versatility. Koloko is still trying to find his footing after the promising start to his career with the Raptors was halted due to his medical situation, but he was looking like a long-term rotation piece.

Median Outcome: Mark Williams with real shooting touch

With comparable measurables to Maluach (7’2” with a 7’6” wingspan), Williams fits the same play-finishing shot-blocking role and has thrived early in his career (when healthy) despite some similar concerns to Maluach from the lack of explosive vertical pop, goaltending issues, and defensive positioning/technique troubles. There was some hope that Williams could explore shooting some open threes or strictly corner threes because of some touch indicators (soft touch flashes around the rim, 72% free-throw mark, and mechanics), but nothing has come to fruition.


https://www.noceilingsnba.com/p/a-scouts-eyes-the-spectrum-of-outcomes?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=536361&post_id=164528008&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=1f5gb9&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#825 » by PDXKnight » Thu May 29, 2025 2:19 am

oldfishermen wrote:My first impression of this draft class was, it is overhyped and overvalued. Trade pick #11.

Then a handfull of mid to late FRPs started to look promisng. Add more FRPs.

However, after a deeper look, most of them now look like role bench players. Too much hype and propaganda mudding the waters.

I have no idea what to do with this draft class. I do not see any sevious talent coming our way in this draft.

If we have a pick or two, which player(s) to draft? BPA regardless of their position in mock drafts. No such thing as reaching in this group.


Someone could fall through the cracks to 11 or if not would maybe be a good time to trade down a few and pick up some piece(s) if another team was high on someone
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#826 » by Norm2953 » Thu May 29, 2025 4:36 pm

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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#827 » by BlazersBroncos » Thu May 29, 2025 4:50 pm

Norm2953 wrote:https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=1234651074689846&set=a.789339712554320


Some decent names. I am not a big Newell guy, see a Brandon Clarke / Noah Vonleh type but I have been wrong.

Yang is super interesting but I would hope the backup to DC brings a bit more mobility and twitch - basically a guy that can come in if DC is getting killed in the PNR / switches - Yang certainly doesnt look like that guy.

Riley is a high upside guy - sorta like a poor mans Ace Bailey in terms of a lanky forward that can get his own shot. Wingspan is rough though.

Lost in the combine mix was McNeeley testing REALLY well athletically. Didnt see that on the court really. If his shot comes back he could be a sneaky pickup if we snag a 2nd FRP. (36.5" max vert).

Jase is just too small to talk about until I know for certain Simons is out. His advanced stats are probably the best in the class but that size, ugh.

Fleming to me is Naz Reid / Jalen Smith level backup shooting center. His handle is just so bad and his feel / processing is meh.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#828 » by Walton1one » Thu May 29, 2025 5:17 pm

Read on Twitter


That is a heck of a list right there, all predicted to go 1st round, Yang might be the most unknown where he goes.

I do think each one of these players is more likely a mid teen\twenties selection rather than at #11, something to think about...

Latest Post withdrawl mock drafts:

Bleacher Report:

HAS POR TAKING: Asa Newell
Newell - #11
Fleming - #21
McNeeley - #15
Riley - #18
Richardson - #19
Yang - #43

Pro Comparisons: John Collins

Workouts will give Asa Newell a chance to further sell teams on his shooting, which could unlock a coveted archetype and higher level of upside. He was the only player in the country with 50 dunks and 25 threes, and certain teams will surely be drawn to adding a springy finishing weapon that can stretch the floor and move defensively.

Team Fit: If Newell’s shooting perks up, he could complement Deandre Ayton and/or Donovan Clingan as a floor-spacing, switchable big off the bench. He also creates insurance if the Blazers wind up trading Jerami Grant.


CBS Sports:

HAS POR TAKING: Kasparas Jakucionis
Newell - #23
Fleming - #36
McNeeley - #22
Riley - #39
Richardson - #19
Yang - #47

Portland's backcourt is in dire need of a revamp and retool in some way. Jakucionis could help reset the position with a true lead guard who has tools to elevate talent around him.


On3:

HAS POR TAKING: Noa Essengue
Newell - #22
Fleming - #29
McNeeley - #25
Riley - #21
Richardson - #20
Yang - #42
The Portland Trail Blazers took their first big step forward in the rebuilding process last season, giving them the platform to start building around the existing group. Noa Essengue fits that mold well, offering depth with the same type of defensive value which sparked success.


A lot of the more mainstream analysts have not updated their mocks yet, but just for reference on ESPN, Vecenie, O'Connor, No Ceilings

ESPN (5/19)

HAS POR TAKING: Egor Demin
Newell - #21
Fleming - #27
McNeeley - #18
Riley - #22
Richardson - #16
Yang - #41

Vecenie (5/13 GTP)

HAS POR TAKING: Carter Bryant
Newell - #17
Fleming - #26
McNeeley - #20
Riley - #23
Richardson - #28
Yang - #NR

O'Connor (5/19)

HAS POR TAKING: Carter Bryant
Newell - #13
Fleming - #25
McNeeley - #14
Riley - #21
Richardson - #16
Yang - #40

No Ceilings (5\13)

HAS POR TAKING: Kasparas Jakucionis
Newell - #20
Fleming - #13
McNeeley - #24
Riley - #26
Richardson - #25
Yang - #55
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#829 » by Walton1one » Thu May 29, 2025 9:32 pm

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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#830 » by Walton1one » Thu May 29, 2025 9:57 pm

Some interesting notes from Givony\ESPN:

Not only did we see the lowest number of early-entrant candidates (106) in a decade, but another dozen or so draftable prospects withdrew at the deadline, making this one of the shallowest second rounds we've seen in a few years.


NBA teams have expressed surprise and concerns about this development...most believe this is a temporary bottleneck (one caused by the abnormal amount of money) that will clear in the next year or two as the players who elected to return to school this year exhaust their NCAA eligibility.


NBA teams also understand they will need to adjust how they evaluate older prospects...Players staying in school perhaps can't be frowned upon for 22- and 23-year-olds as it was in the past, and analytics-oriented NBA executives are trying to determine whether -- and to what extent -- they should be tweaking their draft models to account for this new reality


With salaries for the final handful of picks in this year's first round clocking in at below $3 million per season for the next two seasons, per the rookie scale, players projected in that range can now make just as much money by opting to stay in college while theoretically improving their draft stock.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#831 » by Norm2953 » Thu May 29, 2025 10:20 pm

I'd agree with the reality with NIL, fringe first round players could more easily make money staying
in school. Reportedly, Texas QB Arch Manning made up to $10 million last season in his first year at
Texas and he hardly played last season.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#832 » by Case2012 » Fri May 30, 2025 2:37 am

Man i really hope we dont draft a 6'0 scoring guard in the lotto. I would love to add WCJ with a pick in the 20's if we get one though, he's got baby Dame vibes and is probably a top 3 best 3pt shooter.

I still really like Nique at 11 because i see him as being a starter with his all around game ((reminds me of better shooting/rebounding Evan Turner)) but Coward is really close too with his length and shooting. Cant think of a real comp.

I just really hope we get a second pick for Simons. If we can add 2 of Nique, Coward, WCJ(baby Dame), Wolf, Bryant (Second Toumani?), Jakakunis (Dragic), I think this team makes it to the play in. These guys all seem NBA ready and able to contribute day one.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#833 » by BlazersBroncos » Fri May 30, 2025 5:09 pm

Dont want to hijack the thread but this is my final BB barring something crazy -

1. Cooper Flagg F
2. Dylan Harper G
3. Ace Bailey F
4. Noa Essengue F
5. Tre Johnson SG
6. VJ Edgecomb SG
7. Jeremiah Fears PG
8. Cedric Coward GF
9. Thomas Sorber C
10. Kasparas Jakucionis G
11. Kon Knueppel SG
12. Carter Bryant F
13. Nolan Traore PG
14. Egor Demin F
15. Nique Clifford GF
16. Asa Newell PF
17. Rasheer Fleming C
18. Joan Beringer C
19. Liam McNeeley F
20. Hugo Gonzalez GF
21. Noah Penda F
22. Will Riley F
23. Kaman Malauch C
24. Danny Wolf FC
25. Ben Saraf G
26. Drake Powell GF
27. Walter Clayton JR G
28. Derrick Queen C
29. Jase Richardson G
30. Collin Murray-Boyles F

31. Maxime Raynaud C
32. Adou Thiero F
33. Hansen Yang C
34. Neoklis Avdalis F
35. Ryan Nembhard PG
36. Ryan Kalkbrenner C
37. Alex Toohey F
38. Bogoljub Markovic FC
39. Chaz Lanier SG
40. Tyrese Proctor G
41. Igor Milicic Jr F
42. Yanic Konan Niederhauser C
43. Kobe Brea SG
44. Kam Jones G
45. Rocco Zikarsky C
46. Dink Pate F
47. Eric Dixon PF
48. Michael Ruzic FC
49. John Tonje SG
50. Johni Broome PF
51. Hunter Sallis G
52. Jamir Watkins F
53. Payton Sandfort PF
54. Vladislav Goldin C
55. Javon Small PG
56. Kobe Sanders F
57. Micah Peavy GF
58. Max Shulga SG
59. Alijah Martin SG
60. Amari Williams C
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#834 » by Norm2953 » Fri May 30, 2025 5:53 pm

You have Noa up to 4???

There is a discussion on the Wizards board centered on a potential knee issue with Bryant.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#835 » by JRoy » Fri May 30, 2025 5:56 pm

I hate the idea of drafting that dumpling at 11.
Edrees wrote:
JRoy wrote:Monta Ellis have it all


I was hoping and expecting this to be one of the first replies. You did not disappoint. Jroy have it all.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#836 » by BlazersBroncos » Fri May 30, 2025 6:24 pm

JRoy wrote:I hate the idea of drafting that dumpling at 11.


Its a big board, not a mock draft. This draft isnt as top heavy as we hoped heading into 24/25 IMO.

Kon has Bane upside IMO, but more than likely ends up a sort of Wally Z caliber guy IMO w/ a lower end outcome of Kennard.

Dumpling is hilarious though.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#837 » by JRoy » Fri May 30, 2025 6:32 pm

BlazersBroncos wrote:
JRoy wrote:I hate the idea of drafting that dumpling at 11.


Its a big board, not a mock draft. This draft isnt as top heavy as we hoped heading into 24/25 IMO.

Kon has Bane upside IMO, but more than likely ends up a sort of Wally Z caliber guy IMO w/ a lower end outcome of Kennard.

Dumpling is hilarious though.


I think don’t think he will ever approach either of those guys as solid starters, fringe all stars. He looks more like a crappy Luke Kennard. Terrible athlete, too slow for guards too tiny for forwards. Who can he guard?
Edrees wrote:
JRoy wrote:Monta Ellis have it all


I was hoping and expecting this to be one of the first replies. You did not disappoint. Jroy have it all.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#838 » by Walton1one » Fri May 30, 2025 6:39 pm

Norm2953 wrote:You have Noa up to 4???

There is a discussion on the Wizards board centered on a potential knee issue with Bryant.


Interesting...just looked like speculation based on how he plays not anything actual...

Curious to see if he works out for POR. He is definitely in their range
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#839 » by Walton1one » Fri May 30, 2025 6:46 pm

Taken from the WAS board, sums up my thoughts on Traore. I agree he is being slept on. Current ESPN big board has him at #25, that seems low to me. A year ago, before he joined Saint-Quentin in the LNB Elite, he was listed as a Top 5 player.

An 18yr old playing in a league where the average age is 24/25, struggles to start the season, but starts to find his footing towards the end of the season is a tale I have heard\seen before...

Ran the numbers on Nolan Traore today:

First Half of the Season Splits (22 games played)

Per36: 17.7 points 7.8 assists 3.7 turnovers 1.1 steals 3.2 rebounds

FGM: 4.18
FGA: 10.82
FG%: 39.0%

3PM: 1.18
3PA: 4.41
3P%: 26.8%

FTA: 3.23

TS%: 44.4%

Second Half of the Season Splits (22 games played)

Per36: 21.7 points 6.8 assists 3.9 turnovers 1.0 steals 2.8 rebounds

FGM: 4.86
FGA: 10.23
FG%: 47.5%

3PM: 1.36
3PA: 3.55
3P%: 38.3%

FTA: 3.55

TS%: 57.8%

Pretty confident the public mock drafts are way off on this guy, should be in play at 6th overall. It's worth repeating: playing as a high usage lead guard on a bad team in the top tier French pro league at 18 years old.
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Re: 2025 Blazer Draft Prospects 

Post#840 » by Walton1one » Fri May 30, 2025 7:53 pm

Kevin O'Connor with a new mock, post withdrawl:

POR PICKS: Liam McNeeley

The Trail Blazers could be targeting a shooter with this pick after ranking 24th in 3-point percentage and in the middle of the pack in attempts last season. McNeeley is a sharpshooting wing with superb instincts moving without the ball, and the touch to splash from deep ranges. Though he doesn’t project as a primary shot creator, his feel as a connective passer gives him the skill to fit into any type of offense.


While targeting a shooter would be a good idea, hard to see them passing on Jakucionis here? Who can shoot, has good size and has positional versatility (can play PG or SG). O'Connor has him falling to #17, I just cannot see that happening...

That being said, I do think McNeeley could play well off of Avdija & scoot in particular. I think he should translate to an above average\very good shooter, which would open up the floor for Avdija & Scoot.

Seeing Bryant go to HOU @ #10 right before HOU pick, stings though


Newell - #15
Fleming - #25
McNeeley - #11
Riley - #24
Richardson - #13
Yang - #39

Some other interesting picks:

UTA selecting Tre Johnson over Kon Knueppel

WAS selecting Fears @ #6
The Wizards have some talent in the backcourt, but no one has emerged as a true primary playmaker. That’s why they’re seemingly focusing on Fears, Tre Johnson, and Egor Demin.


BRK selecting Noa Essengue @ #8 - This years' euro riser, ala Salaun
...the 6-foot-9 forward has clear upside across the board, and that’s why he’s rising up draft boards. Brooklyn has a clean slate of a future, so it’d only make sense to take a big swing.


TOR selecting Coward @ #9, I will be surprised if he rises this high, but he certainly is the draft's 2nd? biggest? riser.
Many executives around the NBA expect the Raptors to lean toward selecting a player that can help the team win games in the short-term with this pick, rather than a raw project...Coward, who will be 22 years old as a rookie and has the maturity of a grown man, in part due to his fascinating journey...


CHI selecting Drake Powell @ #12
Powell worked out for the Bulls this week, as I reported Monday on my podcast. And he seems to be dramatically rising throughout this draft process, as he began to remind teams (and me) at the NBA Draft Combine in Chicago why he was ranked as a lottery prospect entering his season at North Carolina...Powell posted arguably the best athletic testing numbers, and shot well. That shooting success has continued on through pre-draft workouts. He’s a switch-everything defender who plays with a high motor, and if his spot-up jumper translates, he checks all the boxes to be a 3-and-D role player at a minimum.


Maluach falling to SA @ #14 - Harper & Maluach, lol..the rich get richer
It wouldn’t be the biggest shocker if Maluach ends up slipping to the back half of the lottery with wings on the rise. And the Spurs could be a good landing spot for him since he could play both next to Victor Wembanyama and behind him as a much-needed backup center.


Jakucionis falling to MIN @ #17 - Like the mention of ball sharing situation, which is something he could certainly do with Scoot in the backcourt (or even sharing the floor with Deni)
If Jakučionis falls this far, he’d make perfect sense since he’s a slick shot creator with a creative passing gene and a fearless scoring ability. He carves up defenses with crafty finishes, step-back jumpers, and jaw-dropping passes. As a freshman he’d follow up those highlights with turnover brain-farts that derail the hype train. But the Timberwolves would put him in a ball-sharing situation, which could put him in a better position to succeed.


Queen falling to WAS @ #18 - Seen a lot of early mocks with WAS selecting Queen @ #6, here they get him @ #18, like the fit alongside Sarr.
Queen’s draft stock got dinged in Chicago with some executives expressing concern over his conditioning and his lack of progress as a shooter. And with wings rising up draft boards, he could be one of the casualties who falls out of the lottery. Maybe it’d end up a blessing in disguise for him landing with the Wizards, his hometown team as a native of Maryland.


Demin going #19 to BRK, some acknowledgment of him having a wide range...
Demin has one of the widest ranges in this draft class with people around the league seeing him as an option from anywhere in the mid-lottery to the late teens...Even though he struggled to shoot and create his own shot against lengthy defenders, he did perform well at the draft combine and is said to be excelling in pre-draft workouts with his tweaked shooting mechanics.


Traore @ #20 to MIA, could be a steal, still think he rises as we get closer to the draft.
The Frenchman oozes upside with his size, blazing speed, and shiftiness off the bounce. Inefficient scoring and erratic decision-making are the big concerns with him, but he’s played his best basketball in recent months by shooting nearly 40% from 3 and 80% from the line.


CMB falling to UTA @ #21, seen a lot of mocks with him in\near the top 10
Murray-Boyles could (and should) go much higher on draft night, but this is the way the board fell in this mock...Improving his jumper would move him out of tweener territory and into All-Star status.


https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/article/nba-mock-draft-30-top-prospects-returned-to-college-but-plenty-of-talent-remains-heres-our-latest-look-at-every-pick-160546750.html

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