Wizenheimer wrote:Bynum is playing about 29 minutes a game.
In that time he's averaging 13pts, 10reb, 2blk, 1.6ast, while shooting 62%FG.
If Oden has those averages next season, I'd be thrilled.
I think that's a baseline of what to expect from Oden, not a "thrilling" result. The guy is too big, too strong, too athletic and too skilled not to have his offensive game translate well into the NBA and the rebounding/blocks are really not excessive for the guy by any means.
And by next season, I would anticipate that Bynum will have improved, possibly by a substantial margin.
I'm not nearly so confident. I've never seen the guy make a shot that wasn't a dunk. Now I'm not one to think that's necessarily a bad thing--Shaq couldn't do anything offensively except dunk when he first entered the league, after all--but Bynum doesn't seem to have the quickness or footwork to get to the rim enough to really improve that much statistically. Plus, he's playing with Kobe, so it's not like they're going to be feeding it to him in the same way that Oden will be used in Portland on the pick-and-roll. I would expect the main improvement for him to be on the defensive end, where it's pretty clear he's still learning how to use his body to keep other centers away from the paint.
I anticipate that oden wull end up a better C then Bynum. But it may not happen nearly as fast as people here think, and the gap between the two may not be as wide either.
I'm far more confident than you. I thought Oden at OSU with one hand would take this year's Bynum to school. Just too quick, too strong, and with too many offensive skills beyond dunking for Bynum to slow down, and too good at positioning himself defensively and too explosive not to really change how Bynum would have to play to get his points and rebounds.
I like Bynum as a future player, but he hasn't indicated the ability to become a Patrick Ewing/David Robinson type of producer any more than Joel did two years ago when he had that streak of double-doubles.
[qoute]It should make for some interesting battles over the next decade.[/quote]
That matchup will live and die with Kobe. Oden should be able to match up very well against Bynum, but in the post-Kobe era when they will theoretically have to depend on Bynum as a major offensive threat (if he does indeed substantially improve to the point where this is feasible), then Oden and a double teamer that doesn't have to be used on Kobe will stifle him completely.
Oh, and J~Rush: I'd easily take Chandler over him any day of the week and twice on Sunday, and if we're just going by the next year or two I'd take Big Z over him as well.