kinch wrote:Don't we still have enough cap space without sending Miles away? I thought our cap space plan wasn't dependent on getting Miles to retire or getting the Knicks to swallow him whole. I agree that we're not getting rid of Miles without making the deal very, very rich with young blood.
ok...start with the "locked in contracts":
Miles..........9 million
Pryzbilla.....6.86
LMA...........5.84
Oden..........5.36
Roy............3.91
Sergio........1.58
Rudy..........1.1
-----------------------
.................33.65 million
now there are the 2 guys KP signed to new contracts this summer, Blake & Outlaw. Outlaw's seems to be known at 4 million. Blake is a little less clear, although it's been listed at 4.9 million. And I think both players, especially, outlaw have demonstrated their value and will be kept.
so that would be 8.9 million added to 33.65 million bringing the salary base up to 42.55 million.
Then there's the issue of james jones. Again, I believe he's demonstrated his value and that portland would really like to keep him. He can of course opt-out, but I'm going to assume that both him and KP will be 'reasonable' and reach agreement. Let's say for 5 million a year...approximately.
that would put salaries at 47.55 million. And that's for 10 players.
Then there's the issue of the 3 third year players: webster, frye, & jack. It's a pressing issue, in my view, if you believe in the cap space plan, because of the size of the cap-holds the CBA mandates for them if they enter the 2009 off-season as RFA.
It's possible that Webster will have his contract extended this summer. However, assuming KP re-signs Jones, I'm not convinced there's enough room on the roster for both webster & jones. But so the martell lovers won't squawk, I'll assume Martell is extended at...oh....6 million/yr
that bumps the salaries to 53.55 million.
Then there's the issue of Frye and Jack. Since he's despised here, I'll say Jack is traded or renounced. Frye is a little trickier. I think he has some value to portland. He is a better rebounder then LMA, can hit mid-range jumpers, and can play either C/PF. Assume he's re-signed for 4 million/yr (and if it's not frye, then it would be that hypothetical banger/rebounder everybody is clamoring for)
now it's 57.55 million for 12 players.
Then there's the issue of green, mcroberts, kaponen, freeland. I'll assume the only one they keep is Kaponen. Cap-hold is 886,000. And let's not forget this year's draft pick...about 1 million
That brings the grand total to 59.4 million with an expected salary cap of 60-61 million
Then you can start subtracting players. Dump Webster, Frye/rebounder, and Kaponen, and Portland has 10-12 million in cap space. But Webster might be pretty good by 2009 and might be a big loss. Maybe Jones would be a better dumpee, but that decision may have to be made this summer before it's certain how good Martell will be.
And 10 million won't be enough to sign a max-contract player. To get that much space, it would have to be something like blake, webster, frye, & kaponen for that max player.
That cap-space is going to come at a steep price.