Why a lot "draft analysts" can't even get basic season stats of European prospects right?

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arusinov
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Why a lot "draft analysts" can't even get basic season stats of European prospects right? 

Post#1 » by arusinov » Sun Jun 15, 2025 11:15 am

I noticed it looking at my obviously favorite compatriot prospect but I also have seen same kind of errors with other players too.

Here're several "analysis" details about Saraf:

Kevin O'Connor "NBA Senior Analyst" on yahoo

https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/article/2025-nba-draft-scouting-report-ben-saraf-g-ratiopharm-ulm-170856027.html

"Nor has he ever been better than average from the free throw line. This season, he’s making just 71.8% of his free throws."

No. Ben Saraf is not 71.8% FT, he is 76.0% FT shooter for Ulm (and almost same 75.9% on a lot FT shots in Euro U18) which is difference between good enough and really questionable FT shooters. I don't even know where from 71.8% fell. Maybe the author have seen 71.4% in G-BBL regular season (but there're also 78.0% in EuroCup and 88.9% in G-BBL playoffs)

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"The ringer" Mock Draft 6.0

https://nbadraft.theringer.com/evan-mobley

10.1 ppg, 24.5% 3P% - and those are Saraf's numbers when he was 17 y/o playing for Kiryat-Ata in Israeli top division. Not his current numbers in Ulm.

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Vuk Karadzic on nbadraft.net

https://www.nbadraft.net/players/ben-saraf/

Shooting just 22% from deep this season, despite a workable release … Free throw shooting (low 70’s) is passable but doesn’t yet inspire full confidence in long-term shot development

No. Saraf doesn't shoot 22% from 3P (it's EuroCup stat on 45 shots) - Saraf 3P is 30% (38/127) in 55 games in G-BBL, German Cup and EuroCup. And he also shot 36.2% 3P on large volume (6.7 3PA per game) at Euro U18. 30% is still not great at all but there's huge difference between shooting specifically horrible 22% and just not good ~30% as a lot other prospects. But what's most egregious here - somehow, the author took Saraf's EuroCup 3P% but seemingly discarded his FT% in EuroCup (78.0%) claiming that he shots "low 70s" FT% which was correct for G-BBL regular season but not in EuroCup, Euro U18 (or later G-BBL playoff)

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And so on...

If those people are so glaringly incompetent that they can't even get most basic data right, how anything in their analysis can be taken seriously?

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