King Ken wrote:FarBeyondDriven wrote:King Ken wrote:Just for reference, I am still working on my BB right now which is why it hasn't been posted.
As of right now, I have:
1 - Tier 1
1 - Tier 2
1 - Tier 3
10 - Tier 3.5, which might be a record.
22 - Tier 4, which isn't the best I've seen but when you think about the fact that 13 players are already in the other tiers, that's pretty good.
But where this class is insane
5 - Tier 4 or better PGs
9 - Tier 4 or better SGs - This is the draft to land a SG if you need one.
5 - Tier 4 or better SFs
4 - Tier 4 or better PFs
10 - Tier 4 or better Cs and that's not including Hansen Yang and Rocco who I am still evaluating to see if I need to push them up to Tier 4. This is by far the strongest center class since last year and 2018 which had 5 a piece. This is by far the strongest center class in NBA draft history. 1970 was top-heavy. 2007 caught everyone off guard, the best centers were guys we didn't expect. 2001 from a talent level even though the NBA readiness was horrendous. Really hasn't been that many good center classes ever. The Embiid/Joker/Capela/Nurkic class looks amazing right now but it was seen as a 3 center class at the time, with Embiid having medical scares.
This draft class is special. You have some tremendous classes in the previous years of late. 2018, 2021, and 2022 but this is the best by far.
How risky is the positional value?
PG - Low, of the 5 PGs with tier 3.5 or 4 grades, none have much of a bust potential.
SG - Fairly risky, outside of the top two (Harper and Coward) it can get shaky. You do have some safe bets as well with less perceived upside.
SF - Outside of Flagg, it's risky as hell, high alert.
PF - All tier 4 but CMB and all have low bust potential
C - All of them have bust potential. Every last one of them.
Apologies if you've provided it already, but what do your tiers mean?
Tiers:
Tier 1: Elite Cornerstone Prospect: Greg Oden, Zion Williamson, LeBron James, Kevin Durant. Should be top 25 or better.
Tier 2: Tier 2: All-Star potential – Ja Morant, Cade Cunningham, Evan Mobley, Luka Doncic (yeah, I got that one wrong), Carmelo Anthony, R.J. Barrett, DeAndre Ayton, AD, Ben Simmons, Brandon Ingram, Kyrie, O.J. Mayo (I know, don’t ask), KAT, etc. Potential for top 25-50 range.
Tier 3: All-Star Possibilities – Mikal Bridges, Bradley Beal, Victor Oladipo, James Harden, Hasheem Thabeet(bustaroo), Al Horford, Dwight Howard, and Emeka Okafor. Tier 3 is difficult for me because very few guys have been on this list over the last 20+ years for me. Top 100 guy with top 25-50 potential
Tier 3.5 - Decent Role player potential with All-Star possibilities down the road. I do see these guys as Day 1 contributors to a degree. This list is massive, it includes guys like Fultz, Tatum, Brown, Garland, Rui, Cam Reddish, Bargnani, LMA, Lillard, Okafor, KP, man, so many guys. Usually, like 5-8 a year. Of course, the miss rate is high. Top 200 guy with the potential of 25-50.
Tier 4 - Tier 4: Decent Role player potential or raw with AS possibilities. This is most players in the NBA. Some get a high-end tier 4 status which is like, a really good role player who usually dominated college or showcases their NBA role at a very high level with the potential to be more. Top 150-200 guy with top 100 potential or top 250-300 guy with the potential to be top 25-50
Tier 5 – Backups and G-Leaguers – A lot of players. Potential to be rotational but not starters.
Tier 6 – International Pros who don’t have much of a shot at the NBA.
thanks. I wish we could all agree on a tier system so when we refer to tiers we're all on the same page.