Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments

Draft talk all year round

Moderators: Marcus, Duke4life831

User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 64,136
And1: 70,284
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
     

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#21 » by clyde21 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 5:21 pm

Big J wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
Big J wrote:
Tatum & Luka are outliers though. What elite skill does Cade have besides shooting? I'm not seeing any.


they are not outliers at all...a lot of the top players in the league are not top tier athletes...Tatum, Luka, Steph, Harden, Leonard, Dame, Cp3, Booker, Butler...etc etc...in fact actual bball skill and bbiq is way more of a predictor of success than top tier athleticism...once you reach that NBA level threshold of athleticism, it starts becoming much more about everything else than straight line speed or vertical pop.

and it's pretty obvious, Cade's a sophisticated 3-level scorer who shoots 85% from the line, can slide and switch defensively with no issue, has the size to take the POA on defense against opposing 1s/2s, has high overall BBIQ and whether you think he can be a primary playmaker or not, it's pretty obvious he has + passing chops for his height in the NBA.

if u think he's just being look at @ #1 because he's a good shooter you should put on the tape again.


1. He's not a sophisticated 3 level scorer. His 2pt% was subpar due to his lack of athleticism/poor footwork/BBIQ. He relied on bullying smaller guys & step back 3's in college.

2. He had a negative assist to turnover ratio. While he is a willing passer, he doesn't have next level vision. He got a lot of assists due to having a high usage percentage.

3. He'll be fine on defense, nothing special unless he really dedicates himself to it on that end.

So that makes him a subpar athlete 3 & D wing guy with a bit of ball handing & passing ability. He's exactly who you would want on your team as a glue guy. I just don't see him being a number one on a contender. Which is what you should be getting with the number 1 pick.



1 lol...what are you talking about? he shot 46% from the 2 in college, and again, some of the best finishers in the league don't necessarily have best athleticism...Luka, Tatum, Steph...again, once you reach NBA level physical profile threshold, it's diminishing returns and it becomes much more about balls skills and ancillary skills...also i'm tired of hearing Cade isn't athletic nonsense, yea he's not sudden and doesn't have vertical pop, but that's not all what athleticism is. it's weird that this always has to be explained to people.

2 see, this is how I can tell you don't actually watch players you talk about, you look at stats and come here to flex nuts about u know how to break these prospects down...no, his A/TO ratio isn't because of a lack of vision, it's because his decision making needs cleaning up...he's not LeBron but his overall feel and vision is already above avg at the NBA level for the PG position.

3 that's all he needs to be, he doesn't need to be a defensive stopper with the overall toolset and player profile he brings to the table.

no, you're getting a 6-7 secondary (at worst) playmaker who can score on 3 levels, who has the makings of a top tier shooter, who's lethal in transition and who will be switchable and be able to guard 1/2s at high level in the NBA, who will be a stabilizing force for a franchise on day one.

you are essentially getting Khris Middleton as a likely midish outcome with a much faster development curve...if that's not a top 3 pick player is any draft really I dunno who is.
جُنْد فِلَسْطِيْن
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,757
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#22 » by Big J » Wed Jul 21, 2021 5:47 pm

clyde21 wrote:
Big J wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
they are not outliers at all...a lot of the top players in the league are not top tier athletes...Tatum, Luka, Steph, Harden, Leonard, Dame, Cp3, Booker, Butler...etc etc...in fact actual bball skill and bbiq is way more of a predictor of success than top tier athleticism...once you reach that NBA level threshold of athleticism, it starts becoming much more about everything else than straight line speed or vertical pop.

and it's pretty obvious, Cade's a sophisticated 3-level scorer who shoots 85% from the line, can slide and switch defensively with no issue, has the size to take the POA on defense against opposing 1s/2s, has high overall BBIQ and whether you think he can be a primary playmaker or not, it's pretty obvious he has + passing chops for his height in the NBA.

if u think he's just being look at @ #1 because he's a good shooter you should put on the tape again.


1. He's not a sophisticated 3 level scorer. His 2pt% was subpar due to his lack of athleticism/poor footwork/BBIQ. He relied on bullying smaller guys & step back 3's in college.

2. He had a negative assist to turnover ratio. While he is a willing passer, he doesn't have next level vision. He got a lot of assists due to having a high usage percentage.

3. He'll be fine on defense, nothing special unless he really dedicates himself to it on that end.

So that makes him a subpar athlete 3 & D wing guy with a bit of ball handing & passing ability. He's exactly who you would want on your team as a glue guy. I just don't see him being a number one on a contender. Which is what you should be getting with the number 1 pick.



1 lol...what are you talking about? he shot 46% from the 2 in college, and again, some of the best finishers in the league don't necessarily have best athleticism...Luka, Tatum, Steph...again, once you reach NBA level physical profile threshold, it's diminishing returns and it becomes much more about balls skills and ancillary skills...also i'm tired of hearing Cade isn't athletic nonsense, yea he's not sudden and doesn't have vertical pop, but that's not all what athleticism is. it's weird that this always has to be explained to people.

2 see, this is how I can tell you don't actually watch players you talk about, you look at stats and come here to flex nuts about u know how to break these prospects down...no, his A/TO ratio isn't because of a lack of vision, it's because his decision making needs cleaning up...he's not LeBron but his overall feel and vision is already above avg at the NBA level for the PG position.

3 that's all he needs to be, he doesn't need to be a defensive stopper with the overall toolset and player profile he brings to the table.

no, you're getting a 6-7 secondary (at worst) playmaker who can score on 3 levels, who has the makings of a top tier shooter, who's lethal in transition and who will be switchable and be able to guard 1/2s at high level in the NBA, who will be a stabilizing force for a franchise on day one.

you are essentially getting Khris Middleton as a likely midish outcome with a much faster development curve...if that's not a top 3 pick player is any draft really I dunno who is.


Yea, I have stated numerous times that I think he's going to be a solid pro, but the expectations way too high on him. Middleton is a better comp than I've seen from most, but at Middleton is still capped out as a number 2 on a contender. I put him closer to the Turkoglu range, who also was a 2/3 on that contending Magic team. So, I suppose we are closer on him than we both originally thought. Neither of those guys you would want to be taking with the number one pick laying all of your hopes on.
User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 64,136
And1: 70,284
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
     

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#23 » by clyde21 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 5:52 pm

a #2 on a contender is well worth a top 3 pick unless you have 3 Zions staring you in the face.
جُنْد فِلَسْطِيْن
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,757
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#24 » by Big J » Wed Jul 21, 2021 5:59 pm

clyde21 wrote:a #2 on a contender is well worth a top 3 pick unless you have 3 Zions staring you in the face.


Well, I guess you could do worse. I also think that the entertainment/marketability factor matters also when you are drafting these guys this high. Cade's game & personality are boring as ****, that can't be denied. You know that the first month of the season Green's going to be blowing up Twitter & sportscaster nightly just like Vince, Blake, & Zion did their rookie year, and Cade will be doing a lot of dribbling, pump faking and step back 3s mixed with a lot of boring interviews in a Wiggins esque monotone.
User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 64,136
And1: 70,284
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
     

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#25 » by clyde21 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:08 pm

Big J wrote:
clyde21 wrote:a #2 on a contender is well worth a top 3 pick unless you have 3 Zions staring you in the face.


Well, I guess you could do worse. I also think that the entertainment/marketability factor matters also when you are drafting these guys this high. Cade's game & personality are boring as ****, that can't be denied. You know that the first month of the season Green's going to be blowing up Twitter & sportscaster nightly just like Vince, Blake, & Zion did their rookie year, and Cade will be doing a lot of dribbling, pump faking and step back 3s mixed with a lot of boring interviews in a Wiggins esque monotone.


uhhh of course you can do worse...you can do a lot worse...how many drafts even have 1 guy that can be a #1 on a championship team?

also, why do you think Green can be your #1 on a contender but not Cade? based on what?

and it seems like you're just interested in sportscenter highlights...good luck with that. :lol:
جُنْد فِلَسْطِيْن
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,757
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#26 » by Big J » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:25 pm

clyde21 wrote:
Big J wrote:
clyde21 wrote:a #2 on a contender is well worth a top 3 pick unless you have 3 Zions staring you in the face.


Well, I guess you could do worse. I also think that the entertainment/marketability factor matters also when you are drafting these guys this high. Cade's game & personality are boring as ****, that can't be denied. You know that the first month of the season Green's going to be blowing up Twitter & sportscaster nightly just like Vince, Blake, & Zion did their rookie year, and Cade will be doing a lot of dribbling, pump faking and step back 3s mixed with a lot of boring interviews in a Wiggins esque monotone.


uhhh of course you can do worse...you can do a lot worse...how many drafts even have 1 guy that can be a #1 on a championship team?

also, why do you think Green can be your #1 on a contender but not Cade? based on what?

and it seems like you're just interested in sportscenter highlights...good luck with that. :lol:


I can tell Green has what it takes based on the eye test. It's like when you watched Iverson at Georgetown, or Zion at Duke. You can just tell that he has "it".

Highlights matter, all of the great wings have great highlights. Which guys dominated sport center last year? Giannis, Lamelo, Curry, Dame, Luka, Zion.... the common thread is that these guys are special. Nobody pounding the table wanting to watch more regular season Middleton highlights.
User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 64,136
And1: 70,284
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
     

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#27 » by clyde21 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:26 pm

Big J wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
Big J wrote:
Well, I guess you could do worse. I also think that the entertainment/marketability factor matters also when you are drafting these guys this high. Cade's game & personality are boring as ****, that can't be denied. You know that the first month of the season Green's going to be blowing up Twitter & sportscaster nightly just like Vince, Blake, & Zion did their rookie year, and Cade will be doing a lot of dribbling, pump faking and step back 3s mixed with a lot of boring interviews in a Wiggins esque monotone.


uhhh of course you can do worse...you can do a lot worse...how many drafts even have 1 guy that can be a #1 on a championship team?

also, why do you think Green can be your #1 on a contender but not Cade? based on what?

and it seems like you're just interested in sportscenter highlights...good luck with that. :lol:


I can tell Green has what it takes based on the eye test. It's like when you watched Iverson at Georgetown, or Zion at Duke. You can just tell that he has "it".

Highlights matter, all of the great wings have great highlights. Which guys dominated sport center last year? Giannis, Lamelo, Curry, Dame, Luka, Zion.... the common thread is that these guys are special. Nobody pounding the table wanting to watch more regular season Middleton highlights.


stick to your sportscenter scouting my man :lol:
جُنْد فِلَسْطِيْن
Marcus
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 10,315
And1: 5,173
Joined: Mar 03, 2014

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#28 » by Marcus » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:33 pm

clyde21 wrote:
Big J wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
uhhh of course you can do worse...you can do a lot worse...how many drafts even have 1 guy that can be a #1 on a championship team?

also, why do you think Green can be your #1 on a contender but not Cade? based on what?

and it seems like you're just interested in sportscenter highlights...good luck with that. :lol:


I can tell Green has what it takes based on the eye test. It's like when you watched Iverson at Georgetown, or Zion at Duke. You can just tell that he has "it".

Highlights matter, all of the great wings have great highlights. Which guys dominated sport center last year? Giannis, Lamelo, Curry, Dame, Luka, Zion.... the common thread is that these guys are special. Nobody pounding the table wanting to watch more regular season Middleton highlights.


stick to your sportscenter scouting my man :lol:


My favorite part is that only two of six guys he named hit sportscenter off physical gifts. The other four for passing and shooting.
Watch More Basketball

Sometimes silence is the best thing you can contribute to a conversation

after what he did to Moses Moody's name, I got DJ K. Perk in a Verzuz battle against ANYBODY
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,757
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#29 » by Big J » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:40 pm

Marcus wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
Big J wrote:
I can tell Green has what it takes based on the eye test. It's like when you watched Iverson at Georgetown, or Zion at Duke. You can just tell that he has "it".

Highlights matter, all of the great wings have great highlights. Which guys dominated sport center last year? Giannis, Lamelo, Curry, Dame, Luka, Zion.... the common thread is that these guys are special. Nobody pounding the table wanting to watch more regular season Middleton highlights.


stick to your sportscenter scouting my man :lol:


My favorite part is that only two of six guys he named hit sportscenter off physical gifts. The other four for passing and shooting.


That’s the thing though, it’s not just the physical gifts, he also plays a very boring style of basketball.
Marcus
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 10,315
And1: 5,173
Joined: Mar 03, 2014

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#30 » by Marcus » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:46 pm

Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
stick to your sportscenter scouting my man :lol:


My favorite part is that only two of six guys he named hit sportscenter off physical gifts. The other four for passing and shooting.


That’s the thing though, it’s not just the physical gifts, he just plays a very boring style of basketball.


We get it, he's not entertaining to you. Nothing wrong with that. Just doesn't make a ton of sense to make that the basis of your scouting.
Watch More Basketball

Sometimes silence is the best thing you can contribute to a conversation

after what he did to Moses Moody's name, I got DJ K. Perk in a Verzuz battle against ANYBODY
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,757
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#31 » by Big J » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:54 pm

Marcus wrote:
Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
My favorite part is that only two of six guys he named hit sportscenter off physical gifts. The other four for passing and shooting.


That’s the thing though, it’s not just the physical gifts, he just plays a very boring style of basketball.


We get it, he's not entertaining to you. Nothing wrong with that. Just doesn't make a ton of sense to make that the basis of your scouting.


Have you ever heard of the “it” factor?
Marcus
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 10,315
And1: 5,173
Joined: Mar 03, 2014

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#32 » by Marcus » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:58 pm

Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Big J wrote:
That’s the thing though, it’s not just the physical gifts, he just plays a very boring style of basketball.


We get it, he's not entertaining to you. Nothing wrong with that. Just doesn't make a ton of sense to make that the basis of your scouting.


Have you ever heard of the “it” factor?


I'll go down this rabbit hole with you on two conditions.

1. I asked before and you never responded so I'll ask again. How old are you?

2. Where on your scouting report does "it factor" rank?
Watch More Basketball

Sometimes silence is the best thing you can contribute to a conversation

after what he did to Moses Moody's name, I got DJ K. Perk in a Verzuz battle against ANYBODY
User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 64,136
And1: 70,284
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
     

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#33 » by clyde21 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:59 pm

Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Big J wrote:
That’s the thing though, it’s not just the physical gifts, he just plays a very boring style of basketball.


We get it, he's not entertaining to you. Nothing wrong with that. Just doesn't make a ton of sense to make that the basis of your scouting.


Have you ever heard of the “it” factor?


this nonsense might work on the general board broski but not here.
جُنْد فِلَسْطِيْن
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,757
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#34 » by Big J » Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:08 pm

Marcus wrote:
Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
We get it, he's not entertaining to you. Nothing wrong with that. Just doesn't make a ton of sense to make that the basis of your scouting.


Have you ever heard of the “it” factor?


I'll go down this rabbit hole with you on two conditions.

1. I asked before and you never responded so I'll ask again. How old are you?

2. Where on your scouting report does "it factor" rank?


1. We’re discussing prospects, my age has nothing to do with any of this.

2. It factor ranks differently based on where guys are drafted. Top 3 picks it matters a lot, guys drafted lower it doesn’t really matter as much. You are asking a lot more from a top pick than you are of a guy you draft further down.
Marcus
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 10,315
And1: 5,173
Joined: Mar 03, 2014

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#35 » by Marcus » Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:13 pm

Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Big J wrote:
Have you ever heard of the “it” factor?


I'll go down this rabbit hole with you on two conditions.

1. I asked before and you never responded so I'll ask again. How old are you?

2. Where on your scouting report does "it factor" rank?


1. We’re discussing prospects, my age has nothing to do with any of this.

2. It factor ranks differently based on where guys are drafted. Top 3 picks it matters a lot, guys drafted lower it doesn’t really matter as much. You are asking a lot more from a top pick than you are of a guy you draft further down.


Fair enough, had my own selfish reasons for that so I'll respect that.

As far as IT factor goes when you say "a lot" I'm asking where it stands. Does It factor go before physical profile? Does it go before skillset? Does it go before fit? Where does it rank in the context of this conversation since we're talking top guys?
Watch More Basketball

Sometimes silence is the best thing you can contribute to a conversation

after what he did to Moses Moody's name, I got DJ K. Perk in a Verzuz battle against ANYBODY
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,757
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#36 » by Big J » Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:36 pm

Marcus wrote:
Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
I'll go down this rabbit hole with you on two conditions.

1. I asked before and you never responded so I'll ask again. How old are you?

2. Where on your scouting report does "it factor" rank?


1. We’re discussing prospects, my age has nothing to do with any of this.

2. It factor ranks differently based on where guys are drafted. Top 3 picks it matters a lot, guys drafted lower it doesn’t really matter as much. You are asking a lot more from a top pick than you are of a guy you draft further down.


Fair enough, had my own selfish reasons for that so I'll respect that.

As far as IT factor goes when you say "a lot" I'm asking where it stands. Does It factor go before physical profile? Does it go before skillset? Does it go before fit? Where does it rank in the context of this conversation since we're talking top guys?


Yea, I’d put it ahead of those things. Lots of guys who’ve been drafted super high that have been lacking it end up disappointing; Wiggins, Fultz, Darko, Mike Dunleavy Jr.
Marcus
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 10,315
And1: 5,173
Joined: Mar 03, 2014

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#37 » by Marcus » Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:55 pm

Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Big J wrote:
1. We’re discussing prospects, my age has nothing to do with any of this.

2. It factor ranks differently based on where guys are drafted. Top 3 picks it matters a lot, guys drafted lower it doesn’t really matter as much. You are asking a lot more from a top pick than you are of a guy you draft further down.


Fair enough, had my own selfish reasons for that so I'll respect that.

As far as IT factor goes when you say "a lot" I'm asking where it stands. Does It factor go before physical profile? Does it go before skillset? Does it go before fit? Where does it rank in the context of this conversation since we're talking top guys?


Yea, I’d put it ahead of those things. Lots of guys who’ve been drafted super high that have been lacking it end up disappointing; Wiggins, Fultz, Darko, Mike Dunleavy Jr.


got it...nuff said
Watch More Basketball

Sometimes silence is the best thing you can contribute to a conversation

after what he did to Moses Moody's name, I got DJ K. Perk in a Verzuz battle against ANYBODY
Big J
RealGM
Posts: 11,625
And1: 8,757
Joined: May 26, 2020

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#38 » by Big J » Wed Jul 21, 2021 8:07 pm

Marcus wrote:
Big J wrote:
Marcus wrote:
Fair enough, had my own selfish reasons for that so I'll respect that.

As far as IT factor goes when you say "a lot" I'm asking where it stands. Does It factor go before physical profile? Does it go before skillset? Does it go before fit? Where does it rank in the context of this conversation since we're talking top guys?


Yea, I’d put it ahead of those things. Lots of guys who’ve been drafted super high that have been lacking it end up disappointing; Wiggins, Fultz, Darko, Mike Dunleavy Jr.


got it...nuff said


:beer:
God Squad
RealGM
Posts: 13,391
And1: 11,652
Joined: Feb 22, 2010
Location: Toronto
   

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#39 » by God Squad » Thu Jul 22, 2021 6:11 am

Awful takes in this thread...GB level takes. Statements without facts or stats in disprove prospects.
User avatar
bon
General Manager
Posts: 7,858
And1: 13,546
Joined: Jul 17, 2015
 

Re: Lots of Hype equal lots of disappointments 

Post#40 » by bon » Thu Jul 22, 2021 6:47 pm

Biggest candidate to disappoint this draft is definitely Jalen Green. His hype and popularity right now is unmatched in this draft class.
Image

Return to NBA Draft