Brofessor24 wrote:buzzkilloton wrote:Since many of you are Green 1 guys. Let me show you Hollinger's take on him from behind the athletic paywall. He actually doesnt even have Green ranked on his big board until number 5. Its as if some people dont scout from youtube highlights.
5. Jalen Green, SG, G League Ignite
A medium-risk, high-reward type pick, Green is a skinny, athletic shooting guard with blast-off quickness and elite leaping ability. You can’t teach this stuff, and it’s why he’s a certain high lottery pick. He’s the one guy who made the most “holy ****” plays in this draft, with fast-twitch hops reminiscent of Zach LaVine.
Green got off to a slow start in the G League but really picked up his play toward the end, figuring out how to take advantage of his speed and leaping ability to get to the rim. His weaknesses right now are all skill-based. He has to play off the ball because his handle isn’t advanced; he frequently lost his dribble making relatively basic moves in pick-and-roll. His shooting is decent but hardly great, and he relies too much on stepback 3s because he lacks advanced maneuvers with the rock. As a passer, he’s capable of basic reads, but that part of his game is still coming around. He’s not selfish; he just doesn’t have the whole picture yet.
He is decent defensively but not exceptional. Green should be able to dart into passing lines more often than he does, and his first slide actually looks slow — it’s surprising how often he was beaten off the dribble. However, he competed, and he has the athleticism to surprise shooters with shot challenges.
Green is only 19 and was a good-but-not-great G League player last season, so we’re talking about a developmental pick here. But his ceiling is high enough to make it worthwhile.
Green put up impressive numbers for a 18-19 year-old playing against professional players. The G-league has way way better competition than D1 basketball (don't even try to argue otherwise).
My thing with Jalen Green's g-league numbers is how do we really know how impressive they are? There is no precedent for top draft prospects playing in the g league that we can reference. The talent in the g league is of course higher than ncaa, but that doesn't really give us much context to analyse his numbers. Just because a league has more talent, does not mean its harder to accumulate numbers. Think of the Euroleague vs the NBA. Its obviously not a perfect comparison because the g league is much closer to the nba style than the euroleague but numbers aren't always representative of the talent of competition.
By most metrics I've seen, Green was a slightly above average g league player. Again, there is no precedent for us to contextualise what this means for a top draft prospect age 18/19. We have no idea how someone like Zion or even Cade would've played in the g league. They might've been worse, they might've been far better, we have no idea.
That risk is just way too high to justify taking him 1st overall. Anything after that, I would consider it.
I don't think numbers are a great justification for why some seem to view Green as 'generational' or a reason for him to go ahead of Cade. You would almost have to be relying on the eye test and potential far more than any metrics.