peZt wrote:I'm still sceptical about his NBA role and ceiling, but at some point you just gotta stop overthinking and take the productivity at face value.
HOw many busts do we have that dominated High School, came in and dominated College as a freshman, showed all kinds of translatable skills like 3pts shot, playmaking and assist rate, rebounding rate etc., had dominant stats but then busted in the NBA? Usually the kind of busts that play similiar to Boozer have neither the playmaking or shooting and do what he does as a junior or senior.
Being completely dominant as a rookie or freshman at the big stage is usually teh number 1 sign that they won't be a bust, even if some parts of their game raise question marks. Similiar to a Sengun, if somebody is this dominant at age 18 against older players and clearly show next level skill set, you just draft them, despite some perceived flaws or questino marks
I see a close to zero percent chance he is a bust. He is simply too smart and too talented to bust. That said, of the big four in this draft class, I think he has the highest floor, but also the lowest ceiling. If all these guys max out their talent, he will be the 4th best player in this class. There is nothing wrong with that, he will be a good player on a good NBA team almost by default. And there is value in that certainty.
