TheSuzerain wrote:6'9" super athletes with elite strokes and sufficient ball skills don't fall to 10th overall.
You are overstating things.
No I am not. And BTW...Paul George rose to 10th, he didn't fall.
The reason why Paul George was pick 10th was because that's all he had that people thought would totally translate to the NBA
A 6'9 athlete with an elite stroke and a potential to play elite defense. He wasn't necessarliy projected to be a star wing player, which is the role he had in college...because of
His inability to effectively use an iso handle to get to the lane
He is turnover prone
The fact that he struggles shooting off the dribble
The fact that he became a 3 point bomber in his second year and didn't see a shot he didn't like
He played against crappy competition and his team didn't even win much
He still has a shaky handle, still bombs 3s and he still is extremely turnover prone, those things hasn't changed about Paul George. What has changed is he improved on his shaky handle enough that it isn't detriment to his offensive game like it was in college. His ability to shoot over defenses and actually make the shot has improved. His 3 ball currently has more consistency. He gets to the line more...that's about it.
PACERS accurately and successfully picked up Paul George where is supposed to be drafted and he turned out to be a Star.
It was an excellent pick because if he turns out to be just a shooter and defender...he is a 6'10 shooter and defender.
If he irons out his game and turns out to be star wing player...well you got a star wing player.
My point is, players don't change. You not gonna get a player that has demonstrated a lack of range throughout his entire life and he turns into volume 3 point shooter attempting 6 threes making 40 percent. You not gonna get a player that can't pass for crap and he suddenly turns into a 8 assist a game 3 TOs player. Not gonna get a player that can't post up...and then he lives in the post.
Players don't dramatically improve, they really just become better versions of what they already are. So adding these new skills to guys, like becoming a 3 point shooter, or getting a handle or getting a post game is silly.
The whole, "wait til player x gets skill x then he'll be unstoppable" needs to stop because it doesn't happen.
Dr Positivity wrote:
George was essentially Giannis 2010, though. Putting up "just" 17, 7 and 3 .57 TS on a below .500 WAC team that could never get on TV, gave him nearly as much of a mystery box and "international man of mystery" reputation as playing in a Greek league - and was called a high upside player who was the riskiest in the draft, because nothing about picking him came from production. This except from Simmons draft diary sums up why George likely fell.
Paul George didn't fall. PG rose to the 10th because his production, his physical profile and his age. Nobody was really interested in him the end of his freshmen season.
Like I said, he already had stroke and he was used to playing with the ball in his hands and he was a ridiculous athlete.
So if he doesn't become a star...he'll be 3 and D guy at 6'9...which is a role he played when he first got to the NBA and he was pretty good at it.
So how is that risky at 10? And Giannis went 15...so how much of a risk are you taking with 6'9 guys with some ball skills and defensively ability.
Paul George and Giannis would be easy picks for me if they were outside the top 8, which they were.