greg4012 wrote:BringtheD wrote:greg4012 wrote:Looking for feedback -- what makes Kaminsky a better NBA prospect than Kelly Olynyk? I see very similar NBA ceilings for them
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kaminsky is a better shooter, can put the ball on the floor a little, and has a back to the basket game, all around offensive tool set. olynyk is a poor man's okur, rebounds and shoots, but doesn't even have the back to the basket game that okur had. .kaminsky is at least a richmans okur, if not a poormans nowitzki.
Is he a better shooter though? Olynyk wasn't asked to shoot 3s at Gonzaga, but proved off the bat in the NBA that he was an adept 3 point shooter. Further, his shot %'s from everywhere else on the court (in college) were as good or better than Frank's. 53% for Olynyk on 2 point jumpshots as a Junior vs. 38% on 2 point jumpshots for Frank.
As such, since Olynyk spent less time on the perimeter, he actually scored A LOT from his back to the basket game in college. 64% of Olynyk's FGA in college were around the rim (largely from his back to the basket game) whereas 41% of Frank's FGA were around the rim. Both converted around 70%.
I really just don't see a big difference in skillset and I'm look for more than no because not. It has me concerned that Olynyk is a good indicator for what Frank's NBA projection could be. Not that Olynyk is a poor player at all. He is a solid rotation player, and I'm confident Frank will be similar. I just think this talk of Dirk comparisons and Okur as his floor is madness.
unfortunately olynyks stats in college don't represent the player he is in the nba, and i watched him in college and he didn't have any footwork then and he doesn't now, and no one is asking him to live in the paint in the nba which is why he is just there to stretch the floor because he can't handle the ball and you can't ask him to get you points in the paint. kaminsky is the better shooter as of this moment and will be going forward especially in transistion where it matters the most. olynyk might have an edge in the midrange game as a shooter but that's where seven footers get most of their open looks in the nba, while in the college game it is more crowded, and you know kaminsky didn't get the open looks in college that olynyk got anywhere on the court, in the nba those midrange shots will either be uncontested or they will be passing situations. if i've ever seen olynyk hit a three in transistion i must've overlooked it, but that is a skill that okur had and kaminsky has shown he has.
then there is dirk who is so fast to the line and will just kill you if you leave him open, i don't remember olynyk ever hitting a three in transistion and i think that is something that translates to the nba, unlike how olynyk got his buckets doesn't translate to the nba, how kaminsky gets his buckets will translate, because of footwork, ballhandling, and shooting skills that olynyk doesn't have because he's too clumsy. in the face up game, olynyk will never, ever be a threat to dribble past anyone, that's something out of the realm of possibility for olynyk. okur could do it every once in awhle, dirk has a great first step, and this is the part of the game where i wonder how effective kaminsky will be, i'm not too worried about whether olynyk shoots the open midrange shot better than kaminsky right now. so i think my comparisons are pretty valid. if olynyk was any kind of threat to dribble and create a shot he wouldn't be such a good midrange shooter because he wouldn't be getting those open looks so much. kaminsky is faster and more athletic than okur but really there aren't many 7fters who are good shooters and were good. olynyk is better than hawes, but not by a whole lot. thats the best i can say about him but i don't think its saying much because i don't think he's as athletic or as skilled, he's just better because he plays like he wants to win.
olynyk plays with a chip on his shoulder and i like that, but at the end of the day he's too clumsy and slow to be compared to kaminsky, kaminsky can do alot of things that olynyk simply can't, so i'd rather compare kaminsky to good players because it's a better comparison, while i think hawes is more comparable to olynyk in terms of overall effectiveness.