clyde21 wrote:Best thing to happen to Ayton. Don't risk injury. Leave Arizona and train on your own.
Virtual lock for for the #1 pick.
facts
Moderators: Marcus, Duke4life831
clyde21 wrote:Best thing to happen to Ayton. Don't risk injury. Leave Arizona and train on your own.
Virtual lock for for the #1 pick.
Today he played with that motor.Dr Positivity wrote:My model has this guy as serious bust risk. Don't want to mess with bigs with bad statistical indicators and motor concerns. And getting picked over Doncic and Young? Man
Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:Today he played with that motor.Dr Positivity wrote:My model has this guy as serious bust risk. Don't want to mess with bigs with bad statistical indicators and motor concerns. And getting picked over Doncic and Young? Man
I'm also curious about what statistics. My very first impressions were Mo Bamba and Jaren Jackson are better than Deandre Ayton. Both appeared to have a better motor to me.
Now I'm not so sure about that.
Sent from my [device_name] using [url]RealGM mobile app[/url]
Dr Positivity wrote:Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:Today he played with that motor.Dr Positivity wrote:My model has this guy as serious bust risk. Don't want to mess with bigs with bad statistical indicators and motor concerns. And getting picked over Doncic and Young? Man
I'm also curious about what statistics. My very first impressions were Mo Bamba and Jaren Jackson are better than Deandre Ayton. Both appeared to have a better motor to me.
Now I'm not so sure about that.
Sent from my [device_name] using [url]RealGM mobile app[/url]
Ayton has a very low steal and block rate for his size. Out of these all-star big men PF: Griffin, Bosh, Love, Davis, Aldridge, Millsap, Boozer, Simmons, West, Draymond, C: Embiid, Cousins, Towns, Drummond, Horford, Noah, Hibbert, Deandre, the only big with lower stls/40 than Ayton is Deandre. He has a lower block rate than any of the centers on that list, although if you treat his position at PF it would be more like average.
To put it in perspective with three of the gold standards for big men prospects lately:
Davis 1.7 stl/40, 5.8 blk/40
Towns 0.9 stl/40, 4.3 blk/40
Embiid 1.5 stl/40, 4.5 blk/40
Ayton 0.6 stl/40, 2.4 blk/40
Draft mistakes that get made often:
- Obsession with a big man's physical measurements, rather than how he USES those physical measurements on the court. Ayton may be 7'1 but he struggles to use his size on the court. Even Drummond who was criticized for floating did 1.2 stl, 3.8 blk per 36.
- Treating scoring as the most important stat for NCAA prospect when it is arguably the least predictive stat. (See prospects like Bennett, Ingram, Okafor where points was by far their most impressive part of their college game) That's the one thing Ayton exceptionally well, he has a higher Pts/40 in college than anyone did as a freshman on the above list but Cousins
I think he has a chance to be a good player but I would not count on him to become the next David Robinson. The trend seems to be that the all time great big men destroy college when they're there. I suspect if Ayton becomes a perennial all-star it looks more like Bosh and LMA
GimmeDat wrote:Dr Positivity wrote:Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:Today he played with that motor.
I'm also curious about what statistics. My very first impressions were Mo Bamba and Jaren Jackson are better than Deandre Ayton. Both appeared to have a better motor to me.
Now I'm not so sure about that.
Sent from my [device_name] using [url]RealGM mobile app[/url]
Ayton has a very low steal and block rate for his size. Out of these all-star big men PF: Griffin, Bosh, Love, Davis, Aldridge, Millsap, Boozer, Simmons, West, Draymond, C: Embiid, Cousins, Towns, Drummond, Horford, Noah, Hibbert, Deandre, the only big with lower stls/40 than Ayton is Deandre. He has a lower block rate than any of the centers on that list, although if you treat his position at PF it would be more like average.
To put it in perspective with three of the gold standards for big men prospects lately:
Davis 1.7 stl/40, 5.8 blk/40
Towns 0.9 stl/40, 4.3 blk/40
Embiid 1.5 stl/40, 4.5 blk/40
Ayton 0.6 stl/40, 2.4 blk/40
Draft mistakes that get made often:
- Obsession with a big man's physical measurements, rather than how he USES those physical measurements on the court. Ayton may be 7'1 but he struggles to use his size on the court. Even Drummond who was criticized for floating did 1.2 stl, 3.8 blk per 36.
- Treating scoring as the most important stat for NCAA prospect when it is arguably the least predictive stat. (See prospects like Bennett, Ingram, Okafor where points was by far their most impressive part of their college game) That's the one thing Ayton exceptionally well, he has a higher Pts/40 in college than anyone did as a freshman on the above list but Cousins
I think he has a chance to be a good player but I would not count on him to become the next David Robinson. The trend seems to be that the all time great big men destroy college when they're there. I suspect if Ayton becomes a perennial all-star it looks more like Bosh and LMA
Worth considering - I saw this as somewhat of a concern with Markkanen before we drafted him, especially since it was a red flag brought up for McDermott previously. Markkanen's not picking up those counting stats at the NBA level either but he's still a really solid defender.
Dr Positivity wrote:Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:Today he played with that motor.Dr Positivity wrote:My model has this guy as serious bust risk. Don't want to mess with bigs with bad statistical indicators and motor concerns. And getting picked over Doncic and Young? Man
I'm also curious about what statistics. My very first impressions were Mo Bamba and Jaren Jackson are better than Deandre Ayton. Both appeared to have a better motor to me.
Now I'm not so sure about that.
Sent from my [device_name] using [url]RealGM mobile app[/url]
Ayton has a very low steal and block rate for his size. Out of these all-star big men PF: Griffin, Bosh, Love, Davis, Aldridge, Millsap, Boozer, Simmons, West, Draymond, C: Embiid, Cousins, Towns, Drummond, Horford, Noah, Hibbert, Deandre, the only big with lower stls/40 than Ayton is Deandre. He has a lower block rate than any of the centers on that list, although if you treat his position at PF it would be more like average.
To put it in perspective with three of the gold standards for big men prospects lately:
Davis 1.7 stl/40, 5.8 blk/40
Towns 0.9 stl/40, 4.3 blk/40
Embiid 1.5 stl/40, 4.5 blk/40
Ayton 0.6 stl/40, 2.4 blk/40
Draft mistakes that get made often:
- Obsession with a big man's physical measurements, rather than how he USES those physical measurements on the court. Ayton may be 7'1 but he struggles to use his size on the court. Even Drummond who was criticized for floating did 1.2 stl, 3.8 blk per 36.
- Treating scoring as the most important stat for NCAA prospect when it is arguably the least predictive stat. (See prospects like Bennett, Ingram, Okafor where points was by far their most impressive part of their college game) That's the one thing Ayton exceptionally well, he has a higher Pts/40 in college than anyone did as a freshman on the above list but Cousins
I think he has a chance to be a good player but I would not count on him to become the next David Robinson. The trend seems to be that the all time great big men destroy college when they're there. I suspect if Ayton becomes a perennial all-star it looks more like Bosh and LMA
LookToShoot wrote:Melo is the only player that makes the Rockets watchable for the basketball purists. Otherwise it would just be three point shots and pick n roll.
paulbball wrote:Am I supposed to believe that this dude can be a two way player in the NBA, anchor a defense and dominate on offense while getting blown out by a 13 seed without even a center?
14 points on 13 shots? Zero defensive impact.